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Apollo's oracle: Strategizing for peace

Abstract

This paper examines the role of power structures and strategic decisions in trajectories toward war and peace. Part I introduces a fuzzy inference engine for computationally simulating “balance of power”. Part II compares simulation results from hegemonic, bi-polar, and multi-polar system structures, each with three actors. Part III explores strategies for maximizing peace under each of these system structures. Part IV applies these lessons to real-world event chronologies.

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Seitz, S.T. Apollo's oracle: Strategizing for peace. Synthese 100, 461–495 (1994). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01063912

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01063912

Keywords

  • System Structure
  • Strategic Decision
  • Power Structure
  • Inference Engine
  • Fuzzy Inference Engine