Skip to main content
Log in

Increased protection in the 1980s: Exchange rates and institutions

  • Published:
Public Choice Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The strong appreciation of the U.S. dollar between 1980 and 1985 encouraged the substitution of imports for domestically produced goods for a variety of products. This, in turn, increased the demand for trade protection. Many of these demands were satisfied via “apolitical” U.S. antidumping and countervail regulations, yieldingad valorem tariffs well above current average statutory duties. The supply of trade protection is developed via a principal-agent model that describes the potential gains to both the regulatory agency and the legislator. Empirical results support the model specification, finding both exchange rate and political cycles in the use of “apolitical” trade protection.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Aranson, P.H., Gellhorn, E. and Robinson, G.O. (1982). A theory of legislative delegation.Cornell Law Review 68 (November): 1–67.

    Google Scholar 

  • Baldwin, R.E. (1985).The political economy of U.S. import policy. Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Baldwin, R.E. (1989). U.S. trade policy: Recent changes and future U.S. interests.American Economic Review 79 (May): 128–133.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bello, J.H. and Holmer, A.F. (1985). The trade and tariff act of 1984: Principal anti-dumping and countervailing duty provisions.International Lawyer 19(2): 639–673.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bhagwati, J. (1988). The United States and trade policy: Reversing gears.Journal of International Affairs 42 (Fall): 93–108.

    Google Scholar 

  • Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. (1978). Index of the weighted-average exchange value of the U.S. dollar: Revision.Federal Reserve Bulletin 64 (November): 700.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bordo, M.D. and Schwartz, A.J. (1991). What has foreign exchange market intervention since the Plaza Agreement accomplished?Open Economies Review 2(2): 39–64.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cameron, A.C. and Trivedi, P.K. (1986). Econometric models based on count data: Comparisons and applications of some estimators and tests.Journal of Applied Econometrics 1 (April): 29–53.

    Google Scholar 

  • Chappell, W.F., Kimenyi, M.S. and Mayer, W.J. (1990). A Poisson probability model of entry and market structure with an application to U.S. industries during 1972–77.Southern Economic Journal 56 (April): 918–927.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cheaper shopping in Japan. (1989).The Economist 310 (28 January): 15.

    Google Scholar 

  • Conference on novel issues. (1983). Held in Washington, DC, 4 November 1983. Annapolis: Free State Reporting, Inc.

    Google Scholar 

  • Corden, W.M. (1987).Protection and liberalization: a review of the issues. Occasional paper 54. Washington DC: International Monetary Fund.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dale, R. (1980).Anti-dumping law in a liberal trade order. London: Trade Policy Research Center.

    Google Scholar 

  • Destler, I.M. and Odell, J.S. (1987).Anti-protection: Changing forces in United States trade politics. Washington, DC: Institute for International Economics.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dornbusch, R.J. (1988). Flexible exchange rates and excess capital mobility. In L. Melamed (Ed.),The merits of flexible exchange rates: an anthology, 489–499. Fairfax, VA: George Mason University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Eichengreen, B.J. and van der Ven, H. (1984). U.S. antidumping policies: The case of steel. In R.E. Baldwin and A. Krueger (Eds.),The structure and evolution of recent U.S. trade policy, 67–103. Chicago: The University of Chicago Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ethier, W.J. (1982). Dumping.Journal of Political Economy 90 (June): 487–506.

    Google Scholar 

  • Feldstein, M. (1987). Correcting the trade deficit.Foreign Affairs 65 (Spring): 795–806.

    Google Scholar 

  • Funabashi, Y. (1988).Managing the dollar: From the Plaza to the Louvre. Washington, DC: Institute for International Economics.

    Google Scholar 

  • Finger, J.M., Hall, H.K. and Nelson, D.R. (1982). The political economy of administered protection.American Economic Review 72 (June): 452–466.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fiorina, M.P. (1977).Congress, keystone of the Washington establishment. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gingering Japan's distribution system. (1989).The Economist 310 (28 January): 70–71.

    Google Scholar 

  • Green, W.H. (1990).LIMDEP version 5.1. New York: Econometric Software, Inc.

    Google Scholar 

  • Grier, K.B. (1989).An agency model of Congressional-Fed interaction. Unpublished manuscript.

  • Haberler, G. (1988). The international monetary system — once again. In L. Melamed (Ed.),The merits of flexible exchange rates: An anthology, 159–166. Fairfax, VA: George Mason University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hausman, J., Hall, B.H. and Griliches, Z. (1984). Econometric models for count data with an application to the patents-r & d relationship.Econometrica 52 (July): 909–938.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jones, K. (1986).Politics vs economics in world steel trade. London: Allen & Unwin Ltd.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kelly, M., Kirmani, N., Xafa, M., Boonekamp, C. and Winglee, P. (1988).Issues and developments in international trade policy.Occasional paper 63. Washington DC: International Monetary Fund.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kiernan, M. (1989). Your guy in Washington.U.S. News and World Report 107 (August 7): 54–56.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lachica, E. (1989). U.S. proposes stronger rules on dumping.Wall Street Journal 214 (22 November): A7.

  • Lipsey, R.G. (1988). Global imbalances and American trade policy.Atlantic Economic Journal 16 (June): 1–11.

    Google Scholar 

  • Magee, S.P., Brock, W.A. and Young, L. (1989).Black hole tariffs and endogenous policy theory: Political economy in general equilibrium. New York: Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • McCubbins, M.D. and Page, T. (1986). The congressional foundations of agency performance.Public Choice 51(2): 173–190.

    Google Scholar 

  • McCulloch, R. (1988). Unexpected real consequences of floating exchange rates. In L. Melamed (Ed.),The merits of flexible exchange rates: an anthology, 223–244. Fairfax, VA: George Mason University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Moore, M. (1991). Rules or politics?: An empirical analysis of ITC antidumping decisions.Economic Inquiry, forthcoming.

  • Morton, C.S. (1989).Subsidies negotiations and the politics of trade. Canada-U.S. Outlook 1. Washington, DC: National Planning Association.

    Google Scholar 

  • Niskanen, W.A. (1971).Bureaucracy and representative government. Chicago: Aldine Atherton.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rhomberg, R.R. (1976). Indices of effective exchange rates.International Monetary Fund Staff Papers 23 (March): 88–112.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rowley, C.K. and Tollison, R.D. (1988). Rent-seeking and trade protection. In C.K. Rowley, R.D. Tollison and G. Tullock (Eds.),The political economy of rent-seeking, 217–37. Boston: Kluwer Academic Publishers.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rugman, A. and Anderson, A. (1987).Administered protection in America. New York: Croom Helm.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shughart, W.F. and Tollison, R.D. (1985). The cyclical character of regulatory activity.Public Choice 45(3): 303–311.

    Google Scholar 

  • Stallings, D. (1990).Flexible exchange rates and administered protection. Unpublished Ph.D. dis-seration. George Mason University: Fairfax, VA.

    Google Scholar 

  • Takacs, W.E. (1981). Pressures for protectionism: an empirical analysis.Economic Inquiry 19 (October): 687–693.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tullock, G. (1984). How to do well by doing good! In D.C. Colander (Ed.),Neoclassical political economy, 229–240. Cambridge, MA: Ballinger.

    Google Scholar 

  • United States Bureau of the Census. (1975).Historical statistics of the United States: Colonial times to 1970, bicentennial edition, Part 2. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office.

    Google Scholar 

  • United States International Trade Commission.Annual report. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, various issues.

  • Vermulst, E.A. (1987).Antidumping law and practice in the United States and the European Communities. Amsterdam: Elsevier Science Publishers B.V.

    Google Scholar 

  • Vermulst, E.A. (1989). The antidumping systems of Australia, Canada, the EEC and the USA: Have antidumping laws become a problem in international trade. In J.H. Jackson and E.A. Vermulst (Eds.),Antidumping law and practice: a comparative study, 425–466. Ann Arbor: The University of Michigan Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Weingast, B.R. and Moran, M.J. (1983). Bureaucratic discretion or congressional control? Regulatory policymaking by the Federal Trade Commission.Journal of Political Economy 91 (October): 132–163.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wolf, C. Jr. (1979). A theory of nonmarket failure: Framework for implementation analysis.Journal of Law and Economics 22 (April): 107–139.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Additional information

The views expressed are solely the property of the author and do not reflect those of the Department of Agriculture, the Economic Research Service, or any other agency of the U.S. Government. David Skully and an anonymous referee provided useful suggestions for improvement, but should be held blameless for any errors herein.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Stallings, D.A. Increased protection in the 1980s: Exchange rates and institutions. Public Choice 77, 493–521 (1993). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01047857

Download citation

  • Accepted:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01047857

Keywords

Navigation