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The Florida palm coast fire: An analysis of fire incidence and residence characteristics

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Abstract

A quantitative analysis of the relationship between residential fire incidence, fire intensity, house characteristics, and location is presented. Fire intensity (ground vs. crown fire) was shown to be the most significant factor. Brush clearance and type of soffit vent were also shown to be related to fire incidence. Logit analysis was used to analyze the joint effect of the various factors. Five factors allowed the model to correctly predict whether a house burned in 83 percent of the observations.

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Literature Cited

  • Moore, Howard E.,Protecting Residences from Wildfires: A Guide for Homeowners, Lawmakers, and Planners, USDA Forest Service, Pacific Southwest Range and Experiment Station, General Technical Report PSW-50, 44 p., 1981.

  • Pindyck, Robert S. and Rubinfeld, Daniel L.,Econometric Models and Economic Forecasts, Second Edition, McGraw-Hill, 630 p., 1981.

  • Rice, Carol L., “Hazard Assessment for Potential House Loss Through Wildfire,” unpublished manuscript, Department of Forestry and Resource Management, University of California.

  • SAS Institute, Inc., SUGI Supplemental Library User's Guide, 1983 Edition, SAS Institute, Inc., Gary, NC, 402 p., 1983.

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Reference: Robert Abt, David Kelly, and Mike Kuypers, “The Florida Palm Coast Fire: An Analysis of Fire Incidence and Residence Characteristics,”Fire Technology, Vol. 23, No. 3, August 1987, pp. 186–197.

Florida Agricultural Experiment Station Journal Series No. 8241

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Abt, R., Kelly, D. & Kuypers, M. The Florida palm coast fire: An analysis of fire incidence and residence characteristics. Fire Technol 23, 230–252 (1987). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01036938

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01036938

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