Abstract
Changes in the economy are associated with changes in support for the incumbent President (or members of his party) at the aggregate level but not generally at the individual level. That is, thepersonal impact of economic hardships has only rarely been linked to individual political responses. This paper finds again that various indicators of personal economic grievances are not in general associated with either economic policy preferences or support for President Carter. However, some rare circumstances in which the personal impact of economic grievances did have more power were identified, specifically when voters blamed the President for their economic hardships. Support was also found for Kinder and Kiewiet's (1979) notion that collective judgments about the health of the economy, rather than one's personal economic situation, drive political responses.
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Lau, R.R., Sears, D.O. Cognitive links between economic grievances and political responses. Polit Behav 3, 279–302 (1981). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00989811
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00989811