Abstract
Of the recognized nonsteady-state factors that influence slope stability, probably most critical in many field situations is the character of precipitation and infiltration activity. A groundwater response model used in conjunction with precipitation records can provide a historical catalog of estimated maximum groundwater levels in a particular study area. An extreme-value statistical analysis of this catalog is linked with geotechnical slope stability analyses to provide a landslide hazard model for estimating the probability of slope failure within a given time. This modeling approach can provide meaningful input to risk assessments for landslide mitigation programs and to decision analyses and cost-benefit studies important for land-use planning and resource management.
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Miller, S.M. A temporal model for landslide risk based on historical precipitation. Math Geol 20, 529–542 (1988). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00890335
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00890335