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Earthquake mechanism and predictability shown by a laboratory fault

  • Rock Friction and Shear Zone Mechanics: Laboratory Studies
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Abstract

Slip events generated in a laboratory fault model consisting of a circulinear chain of eight spring-connected blocks of approximately equal weight elastically driven to slide on a frictional surface are studied. It is found that most of the input strain energy is released by a relatively few large events, which are approximately time predictable. A large event tends to roughen stress distribution along the fault, whereas the subsequent smaller events tend to smooth the stress distribution and prepare a condition of simultaneous criticality for the occurrence of the next large event. The frequency-size distribution resembles the Gutenberg-Richter relation for earthquakes, except for a falloff for the largest events due to the finite energy-storage capacity of the fault system. Slip distributions, in different events are commonly dissimilar. Stress drop, slip velocity, and rupture velocity all tend to increase with event size. Rupture-initiation locations are usually not close to the maximum-slip locations.

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King, CY. Earthquake mechanism and predictability shown by a laboratory fault. PAGEOPH 143, 457–482 (1994). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00874338

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00874338

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