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A probabilistic sedimentation analysis for predicting reservoir lifetime

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Abstract

This paper describes a melding of an established set of hydrological component processes to obtain a full-scale model for reservoir sedimentation. The goal is to achieve a probabilistic system relating reservoir sedimentation to standard injection, river flow, particle transport, and dam storage subsystems. In the conclucing section, it is found that for a certain assembly of process components, the sedimentation process is Poisson, with parameters interpretable in terms of physical variables. Moreover, for the resulting parameters, a Gaussian approximation can confidently be adopted.

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Abbreviations

CAP:

initial capacity of the reservoir

D :

particle volume

F :

(cumulative) distribution function (of subscripted variable)

G(v):

conversion of river velocity to volume

K(t):

current reservoir capacity

L :

distance from sediment source to the reservoir

N(t):

number of particles injected at timet

R():

the release law

S(t):

reservoir storage at timet

SED(t):

amount of sediment deposited by timet

T :

time from injection to reservoir entry

T end :

lifetime of the reservoir

v :

velocity at a given time

v:

history of velocities

x :

distance along river reach

Z(t):

indicator of whether a particle has been deposited.

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Gani, J., Yakowitz, S. A probabilistic sedimentation analysis for predicting reservoir lifetime. Water Resour Manage 3, 191–203 (1989). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00872342

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00872342

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