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Irrigated agricultural expansion planning in developing countries: Performance vs. resilience vs. reliability

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Abstract

The conflict between performance measured in terms of economic and income redistribution objectives, resilience and reliability of irrigated agricultural expansions in developing countries is investigated via a planning framework consisting of three sequential optimization models. The first model determines the most economic planning alternatives. The second model examines, in terms of an income redistribution criterion, the social attractiveness of each plan. The third model determines resilience and operating rules of the various alternatives. The planning framework is appled for a hypothetical agricultural expansion on the order of 30 000 hectares based on data from the Nile Delta in Egypt. The trade-off between system performance, reliability and resilience is derived.

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Allam, M.N., Marks, D.H. Irrigated agricultural expansion planning in developing countries: Performance vs. resilience vs. reliability. Water Resour Manage 2, 87–102 (1988). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00577062

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00577062

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