Skip to main content
Log in

Ethical considerations regarding public opinion polling during election campaigns

  • Published:
Journal of Business Ethics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Commercial public opinion polling is an increasingly important element in practically all elections in democratic countries around the world. Poll results and pollsters are relatively new and autonomous voices in our human communities. Here I try to connect such polling directly to morality and democratic processes. Several arguments have been and might be used for and against banning such polling during elections, i.e., for and against effectively silencing these voices. I present the arguments on both sides of this issue, and try to show that there are reasonable responses to all the arguments in favour of banning polls. Then I review some proposed Canadian legislation concerning banning polls and, alternatively, requiring disclosure of methodological features of polls. Finally, I offer a model set of disclosure standards for the publication of poll results during election campaigns.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Alwin, D. F. and Campbell, R. T.: 1987, ‘Continuity and Change in Methods of Survey Data Analysis’, Public Opinion Quarterly 51, pp. S139-S155.

    Google Scholar 

  • Andrews, F. M. and Withey, S. B.: 1974, ‘Developing Measures of Perceived Life Quality: Results from Several National Surveys’, Social Indicators Research 1, pp. 1–26.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Andrews, F. M. and Withey, S. B.: 1976, Social Indicators of Well-Being (Plenum Press, New York).

    Google Scholar 

  • Bailar, B. A. and Rothwell, N. D.: 1984, ‘Measuring Employment and Unemployment’, Surveying Subjective Phenomena, Vol. 2, C. F. Turner and E. Martin, eds. (Russell Sage Foundation, New York), pp. 129–142.

    Google Scholar 

  • Beggan, J. K., Messick, D. M. and Allison, S. T.: 1988, ‘Social Values and Egocentric Bias: Two Tests of the Might Over Morality Hypothesis’, Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 55, pp. 606–611.

    Google Scholar 

  • Beniger, J. R.: 1987, ‘Toward and Old New Paradigm: The Half-Century Flirtation with Mass Society’ Public Opinion Quarterly 51, pp. S46-S66.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bradburn, N. M., Rips, L. J. and Shevell, S. K.: 1987, ‘Answering Autobiographical Questions: The Impact of Memory and Inference on Surveys'“, Science 236, pp. 157–161.

    Google Scholar 

  • Boyer, P.: 1990, ‘10 Steps to a Better Election Law’, Policy Options Politques 11, pp. 32–34.

    Google Scholar 

  • Converse, P. E.: 1987, ‘Changing Conceptions of Public Opinion in the Political Process’, Public Opinion Quarterly 51, pp. S12-S25.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Converse, J. M. and Schuman, H.: 1984, ‘The Manner of Inquiry: An Analysis of Survey Question Form Across Organizations and Over Time’, Surveying Subjective Phenomena, Vol. 2, C. F. Turner and E. Martin, eds. (Russell Sage Foundation, New York), pp. 283–316.

    Google Scholar 

  • Converse, P. E. and Traugott, M. W.: 1986, ‘Assessing the Accuracy of Polls and Surveys’, Science 234, pp. 1094–1098.

    Google Scholar 

  • Crespi, I.: 1980, ‘The Case of Presidential Popularity’, Polling on the Issues, A. H. Cantril, ed. (Seven Locks Press, Cabin John, Maryland), pp. 28–45.

    Google Scholar 

  • Davis, E. E. and Fine-Davis, M.: 1978/79, ‘On the Relationship between Objective and Subjective Social Indicators: Implications for Social Planning in Ireland’, Journal of the Statistical and Social Inquiry Society of Ireland 24, pp. 91–131.

    Google Scholar 

  • DeBono, K. G. and Harnish, R. J.: 1988, ‘Source Expertise, Source Attractiveness, and the Processing of Persuasive Information: A Functional Approach’, Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 55, pp. 541–546.

    Google Scholar 

  • DeMaio, T. J.: 1984, ‘Social Desirability and Survey Measurement: A Review’, Surveying Subjective Phenomena, Vol. 2, C. F. Turner and E. Martin, eds. (Russell Sage Foundation, New York), pp. 257–282.

    Google Scholar 

  • Frankel, M. R. and Frankel, L. R.: 1987, ‘Fifty Years of Survey Sampling in the United States’, Public Opinion Quarterly 51, pp. S127-S138.

    Google Scholar 

  • Germond, J. W.: 1980, ‘The Impact of Polling on Journalism’, Polling on the Issues, A. H. Cantril, ed. (Seven Locks Press, Cabin John, Maryland), pp. 20–27.

    Google Scholar 

  • Goldfarb, M. and Axworthy, T.: 1988, Marching to a Different Drummer: An Essay on the Liberals and Conservatives in Convention (Stoddart Pub. Co. Ltd., Toronto).

    Google Scholar 

  • Gollin, A. E.: 1987, ‘Polling and the News Media’, Public Opinion Quarterly 51, pp. S86-S94.

    Google Scholar 

  • Groves, R. M.: 1987, ‘Research on Survey Data Quality’, Public Opinion Quarterly 51, pp. S156–172.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hessing, D. J., Elffers, H. and Weigel, R. H.: 1988, ‘Exploring the Limit of Self-Reports and Reasoned Action: An Investigation of the Psychology of Tax Evasion Behavior’, Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 54, pp. 405–413.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hippler, H-J., Schwarz, N. and Sudman, S. (eds): 1987, Social Information Processing and Survey Methodology (Springer-Verlag, New York).

    Google Scholar 

  • Hnatyshyn, R.: 1986, White Paper on Election Law Reform, Released in June by the Honourable Ray Hnatyshyn, President of the Queen's Privy Council for Canada and Government House Leader.

  • Holtgraves, T., Srull, T. K. and Socall, D.: 1989, ‘Conversation Memory: The Effects of Speaker Status on Memory for the Assertiveness of Conversation Remarks’, Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 56, pp. 149–160.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hoy, C.: 1989, Margin of Error: Pollsters and the Manipulation of Canadian Politics (Key Porter Books Ltd., Toronto).

    Google Scholar 

  • Inglehart, R. and Rabier J.-R.: 1986, ‘Aspirations Adapt to Situations — But Why are the Belgians So Much Happier Than the French? A Cross-Cultural Analysis of the Subjective Quality of Life’, Research on the Quality of Life, F. M. Andrews, ed. (Institute for Social Research, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor), pp. 1–56.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jacoby, L. L., Kelley, C., Brown, J. and Jasechko, J.: 1989, ‘Becoming Famous Overnight: Limits on the Ability to Avoid Unconscious Influences of the Past’, Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 56, pp. 326–338.

    Google Scholar 

  • Katz, E.: 1987, ‘Communications Research Since Lazarsfeld’, Public Opinion Quarterly 51, pp. S25-S46.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kozma, A. and Stones, M. J.: 1988, ‘Social Desirability in Measures of Subjective Well-Being: Age Comparison’, Social Indicators Research 20, pp. 1–14.

    Google Scholar 

  • Krosnick, J. A. and Schuman, H.: 1988, ‘Attitude Intensity Importance, and Certainty and Susceptibility to Response Effects’, Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 54, pp. 940–952.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lee, R. M.: 1989, One Hundred Monkeys: The Triumph of Popular Wisdom in Canadian Politics (Macfarlane Walter and Ross, Toronto).

    Google Scholar 

  • MacKuen, M. B.: 1984, ‘Reality, the Press and Citizens' Political Agendas’, Surveying Subjective Phenomena, Vol. 2, C. F. Turner and E. Martin, eds. (Russell Sage Foundation, New York), pp. 443–474.

    Google Scholar 

  • Michalos, A. C.: 1969, Principles of Logic (Prentice-Hall, Inc., Englewood Cliffs).

    Google Scholar 

  • Michalos, A. C.: 1970, ‘Cost-Benefit Versus Expected Utility Acceptance Rules’, Theory and Decision 1, pp. 61–88.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Michalos, A. C.: 1970a, ‘The Costs of Decision-Making’, Public Choice 4, pp. 39–51.

    Google Scholar 

  • Michalos, A. C.: 1970b, Improving Your Reasoning (Prentice-Hall, Inc., Englewood Cliffs).

    Google Scholar 

  • Michalos, A. C.: 1971, The Popper-Carnap Controversy (Martinus Nijhoff: The Hague).

    Google Scholar 

  • Michalos, A. C.: 1972, ‘Efficiency and Morality’, The Journal of Value Inquiry 6, pp. 137–143.

    Google Scholar 

  • Michalos, A. C.: 1978, Foundations of Decision-Making (Canadian Library of Philosophy, Ottawa).

    Google Scholar 

  • Michalos, A. C.: 1980, North American Social Report, Vol. 1: Foundations, Population and Health (D. Reidel Pub. Co., Dordrecht).

    Google Scholar 

  • Michalos, A. C.: 1980a, ‘A Reconsideration of the Idea of a Science Court’, Philosophy and Technology 3, pp. 10–28.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Michalos, A. C.: 1981, North American Social Report, Vol 3: Science, Education and Recreation (D. Reidel Pub. Co., Dordrecht).

    Google Scholar 

  • Michalos, A. C.: 1981a, North American Social Report, Vol. 4: Environment, Transportation and Housing (D. Reidel Pub. Co., Dordrecht).

    Google Scholar 

  • Michalos, A. C.: 1981b, ‘Technology Assessment, Facts and Values’, Research in Philosophy and Technology 4, pp. 59–81.

    Google Scholar 

  • Michalos, A. C.: 1982, North American Social Report, Vol. 5: Economics, Religion and Morality (D. Reidel Pub. Co., Dordrecht).

    Google Scholar 

  • Michalos, A. C.: 1985, ‘Multiple Discrepancies Theory (MDT)’, Social Indicators Research 16, pp. 347–413.

    Google Scholar 

  • Michalos, A. C.: 1987, ‘What Makes People Happy?’ Levekarsforskning Konferanserapport (Proceedings of the Seminar on Welfare Research) (Norwegian Research Council for Science and the Humanities, Oslo, Norway), pp. 12–93.

    Google Scholar 

  • Michalos, A. C.: 1988, ‘A Case for a Progressive Annual Net Wealth Tax’, Public Affairs Quarterly 2, pp. 105–140.

    Google Scholar 

  • Michalos, A. C.: 1988a, ‘Integrated Development Planning Using Socio-Economic and Quality-of-Life Indicators’, Innovative Approaches to Development Planning (Unesco, Paris), pp. 113–216.

    Google Scholar 

  • Michalos, A. C.: 1990, ‘The Impact of Trust on Business International Security and the Quality of Life’, Journal of Business Ethics 9, pp. 619–638.

    Google Scholar 

  • Miller, D. T. and Turnbull, W.: 1986, ‘Expectancies and Interpersonal Process’, Annual Review of Psychology 37, pp. 233–256.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Moum, T.: 1981, ‘Social Inequality, Social Status, and Quality of Life’, Psychiatry and Social Science 1, pp. 177–195.

    Google Scholar 

  • Moum, T.: 1983, ‘Resignation and Quality of Life: On the Self-Regulatory Nature of Subjective Well-Being’, Paper presented at the World Conference on Systems, Caracas, Venezuela, July 11–15, 1983.

  • Moum, T.: 1988, ‘Yea-Saying and Mood-of-the-Day Effects in Self-Reported Quality of Life’, Social Indicators Research 20, pp. 117–139.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nisbett, R. E. and Bellows N.: 1977, ‘Verbal Reports About Causal Influences on Social Judgments: Private Access Versus Public Theories’, Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 35, pp. 613–624.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nisbett, R. E. and Wilson T. D.: 1977, ‘Telling More Than we Can Know: Verbal Reports on Mental Process’, Psychological Review 84, pp. 231–259.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ottati, V., Fishbein, M. and Middlestadt S. E.: 1988, ‘Determinants of Voter's Beliefs About the Candidates' Stands on the Issues: The Role of Evaluative Bias Heuristics and the Candidates' Expressed Message’, Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 55, pp. 517–529.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Roos, J. P.: 1988, ‘Behind the Happiness Barrier’, Social Indicators Research 20, pp. 141–163.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Roper, B. W.: 1980, ‘The Impact of Journalism on Polling’, Polling on the Issues, A. H. Cantril, ed. (Seven Locks Press, Cabin John, Maryland) pp. 15–19.

    Google Scholar 

  • Royal Commission on Electoral Reform and Party Financing, 1990: Hearings from various cities.

  • Schwarz, N.: 1984, ‘Informative and Directive Functions of Affective States in Information Processing’. Paper presented at the 23rd International Congress of Psychology, Acapulco, Mexico, September.

  • Smith, T. W.: 1978, ‘In Search of House Effects: A Comparison of Responses to Various Questions by Different Survey Organizations’, Public Opinion Quarterly 42, pp. 443–463.

    Google Scholar 

  • Smith, T. W.: 1982, ‘House Effects and the Reproducibility of Survey Measurements: A Comparison of the 1980 GSS and the 1980 American National Election Study’, Public Opinion Quarterly 46, pp. 54–68.

    Google Scholar 

  • Snyder, M.: 1984, ‘When Belief Creates Reality’, Advances in Experimental Social Psychology 18, pp. 247–305.

    Google Scholar 

  • Stevens, G.: 1990, ‘Money's Ruining Electoral System’, Toronto Star, March 18, p. B3.

  • Stevens, G.: 1990a, ‘Sorting Out Bugs in Voting System’, Toronto Star, May 6, p. B3.

  • Strack, F. and Martin, L. L.: 1987, ‘Thinking, Judging, and Communicating: A Process Account of Context Effects in Attitude Surveys’, Social Information Processing and Survey Methodology, H-J. Hippler, N. Schwarz and S. Sudman, eds. (Springer-Verlag, New York), pp. 123–148.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sudman, S. and Bradburn, N. M.: 1987, ‘The Organizational Growth of Public Opinion Research in the United States’, Public Opinion Quarterly 51, pp. S67-S78.

    Google Scholar 

  • Toronto Star: May 4, 1990, ‘Banning Polls a Big Mistake’, p. A26.

  • Turner, C. F.: 1984, ‘Why Do Surveys Disagree? Some Preliminary Hypotheses and Some Disagreeable Examples’, Surveying Subjective Phenomena, Vol. 2, C. F. Turner and E. Martin, eds. (Russell Sage Foundation, New York) pp. 159–214.

    Google Scholar 

  • Turner, C. F. and E. Martin (eds.): 1984, Surveying Subjective Phenomena, Vols. 1 and 2 (Russell Sage Foundation, New York).

    Google Scholar 

  • Tversky, A. and Kahneman, D.: 1986, ‘Rational Choice and the Framing of Decisions’, Journal of Business 59, pp. s251-s278.

    Google Scholar 

  • Vienneau, D.: 1989, ‘Information Chief Criticizes Ministers’, Toronto Star, June 28, 1989.

  • Wedell, D. H. and Parducci A.: 1988, ‘The Category Effect in Social Judgment: Experimental Ratings of Happiness’, Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 55, pp. 341–356.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wood, L. A. and Johnson, J.: 1989. ‘Life Satisfaction Among the Rural Elderly: What Do the Numbers Mean?’, Social Indicators Research 21, pp. 379–408.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Additional information

Alex Michalos is the Editor-in-Chief of the Journal of Business Ethics, the Editor of Social Indicators Research and the author of 13 books and over 5 dozen articles. His five volume North American Social Report received the 1984 Canadian Secretary of State's Award for Excellence in Interdisciplinary Studies in the field of Canadian Studies. Volume One of his four volume Global Report on Student Well-Being has recently been released by Springer-Verlag.

An earlier and longer version of this paper was written for and presented to the Canadian Royal Commission on Electoral Reform and Party Financing in June 1990.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Michalos, A.C. Ethical considerations regarding public opinion polling during election campaigns. J Bus Ethics 10, 403–422 (1991). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00382824

Download citation

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00382824

Keywords

Navigation