Abstract
It is widely believed that electoral pressures cause legislators to favor government spending programs. This “electoral theory of spending” is shown to encompass two core hypotheses: (1) the electoral consequences hypothesis, which states that support for spending programs improves the representative's electoral showing; and (2) the legislator insecurity hypothesis, which states that greater electoral insecurity leads representatives to be more in favor of spending programs. A test of these ideas using spending scores for U.S. representatives in 1986 finds that neither hypothesis is supported by the data.
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Payne, J.L. Elections and government spending. Public Choice 70, 71–82 (1991). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00239345
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00239345