Skip to main content
Log in

Modelling mobility: the use of simulation to choose between near-equivalent models

  • Published:
Quality and Quantity Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The application of the log-linear model to frequency counts has rekindled interest in the traditional social mobility table. This recent literature is to a degree divided over several issues, including how to develop an acceptable model of mobility flows and how to choose between near-equivalent models which generate almost identical fitted counts but have different substantive implications. In reviewing some of these issues, we draw upon Goldthorpe's development of Hauser's “levels” model and present a general mobility model which, we argue on theoretical grounds, should be broadly applicable to modern industrial societies. We develop the model using Australian data, extend it to British and American mobility data, and use Monte Carlo methods to choose between alternative models. In developing our substantive interpretations of different models, we illustrate models that underfit, overfit, and adequately fit the observed mobility flows.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Atkinson, A.C. (1981). “Robustness, transformations and two graphical displays for outlying and influential observations in regression”, Biometrika 68: 13–20.

    Google Scholar 

  • Broom, L., Duncan-Jones, P., Jones, F.L. & McDonnell, P. (1977). Investigating Social Mobility. Department of Sociology, Research School of Social Sciences, the Australian National University (Department Monograph No 1.)

  • Broom, L., Jones, F.L., McDonnell, P. & Williams, T. (1980). The Inheritance of Inequality. London: Routledge & Kegan Paul.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bourdieu, P. (1977). “Cultural reproduction and social reproduction”, pp. 487–511 in J., Karabel & A. H. Halsey (eds), Power and Ideology in Education. New York: Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Davis, P. (1984). Social Mobility and Class Structure in Australia and New Zealand. Paper presented to Section 27 of the Australian and New Zealand Association for the Advancement of Science, May 1984.

  • Duncan, O.D. (1981). “How destination depends on origin in the occupational mobility table”, American Journal of Sociology 84: 793–804.

    Google Scholar 

  • Erikson, R. & Goldthorpe, J.H. (1985). “Are American rates of social mobility exceptionally high? New evidence on an old issue”, European Sociological Review 1: 1–28.

    Google Scholar 

  • Erikson, R. & Portacarero, L. (1979). “Intergenerational class mobility in three Western European societies: England, France and Sweden”, British Journal of Sociology 30: 415–41.

    Google Scholar 

  • Erikson, R. (1982). “Social fluidity in industrial nations”, British Journal of Sociology 33: 1–34.

    Google Scholar 

  • Featherman, D. & Hauser, R.M. (1978) Opportunity and Change. New York: Academic Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Goldthorpe, J.H. (1980). Social Mobility and Class Structure in Modern Britain. Oxford: Clarendon Press (in collaboration with Catriona Llewellyn and Clive Payne).

    Google Scholar 

  • Goodman, L.A. (1979). “Multiplicative models for the analysis of occupational mobility tables and other kinds of cross-classification tables”, American Journal of Sociology 84: 804–19.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gruen, F.H. (1965). “Rural Australia”, pp. 253–73 in A.F., Davies & S., Encel (eds), Australian Society: A Sociological Introduction. Melbourne: Chesire.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hauser, R.M. (1978). “A structural model of the mobility table”, Social Forces 56: 919–53.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hauser, R.M. (1980). “Some exploratory methods for modelling mobility tables and other crossclassified data”, pp. 413–58 in Schuessler, K.F. (Ed.), Sociological Methodology 1980. San Francisco: Jossey-Bass.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hauser, R.M. (1981). “Hope for the mobility ratio”, Social Forces 60: 544–56.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hope, K. (1984). “Intergenerational and career mobility in Britain: an integrated analysis”, Social Science Research 13: 20–37.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hout, M. (1983). Mobility Tables. Beverly Hills: Sage (No. 31 in Quantitative Applications in the Social Sciences).

    Google Scholar 

  • Hout, M. (1984). “Status, autonomy, and training in occupational mobility”, American Journal of Sociology 89: 1379–1409.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jones, F.L. (1985). “New and (very) old mobility ratios: Is there life after Benini”. Social Forces 63: 838–50.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jones, F.L. & Davis, P. (1986). Models of Society: Class, Stratification and Gender in Australia and New Zealand. Sydney: Croom Helm.

    Google Scholar 

  • Logan, J.A. (1983). “A multivariate model for mobility tables”, American Journal of Sociology 89: 324–49.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Macdonald, K. (1981). “On the formulation of a structural model of the mobility table”, Social Forces 60: 557–71.

    Google Scholar 

  • Macdonald, K. (1983). “On the interpretation of a structural model of the mobility table”, Quality & Quantity 17: 203–24.

    Google Scholar 

  • McCullagh, P. & Nelder, J.A. (1983). Generalized Linear Models. London: Chapman and Hall.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pontinen, S. (1982). “Models and social mobility research: a comparison of some log-linear models of a social mobility matrix”, Quality & Quantity 16: 91–107.

    Google Scholar 

  • Raftery, A.E. (1986). “Choosing models for cross-classifications”, American Sociological Review 51: 145–6.

    Google Scholar 

  • Williams, D.A. (1984). “Residuals in generalized linear models”, pp. 59–68 in the Invited Papers, Proceedings of the XIIth International Biometric Conference. Tokyo.

  • Yamaguchi, K. (1982). “The structure of intergenerational occupational mobility: generality and specificity in resources, channels, and barriers”, American Journal of Sociology 88: 718–45.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zubrzycki, J. (1969). “Migrants and the occupational structure”, pp. 31–44 in Throssel, H. (ed.), Ethnic Minorities in Australia: The Welfare of Aborigines and Migrants. Sydney: Australian Council of Social Services.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Jones, F.L., Wilson, S.R. & Pittelkow, Y. Modelling mobility: the use of simulation to choose between near-equivalent models. Qual Quant 24, 189–212 (1990). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00209551

Download citation

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00209551

Keywords

Navigation