Abstract
A method proposed by Henkel for long-term forecasting of solar activity is discussed. The prediction formula is interpreted as the equation of an oscillatory motion of nonstationary character. Estimates of the predictive accuracy are given.
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References
Gleissberg, W.: 1976, Kleinheubacher Berichte 19, 661.
Henkel, R.: 1971, Solar Phys. 20, 345.
Kendall, M. G. and Stuart, A.: 1968, The Advanced Theory of Statistics, Vol. 3, chapter 47, Griffin, London.
Yule, G. U.: 1927, Philos. Trans. Ser. A 226, 267.
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Schroeter, K.H. Comments on a formula describing the secular course of sunspot activity. Sol Phys 50, 501–504 (1976). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00155311
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00155311