Skip to main content
Log in

Uncertainties in global climate change estimates

An editorial essay

  • Published:
Climatic Change Aims and scope Submit manuscript

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

References

  • Dalkey, N. C.: 1967, ‘Delphi’, The RAND Corporation, P-30704, Santa Monica, CA.

    Google Scholar 

  • de Finetti, B.: 1974, Theory of Probability, Wiley, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Henrion, M. and Fischhoff, B.: 1986, ‘Assessing Uncertainties in Physical Constants’, Amer. J. Physics 54, 791–798.

    Google Scholar 

  • Howard, R. A. and Matheson, J. E.: 1984, Readings in the Principles and Practice of Decision Analysis, Strategic Decisions Group, Menlo Park, CA.

    Google Scholar 

  • Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change: 1996, Climate Change 1995, The Science of Climate Change: Contribution of Working Group I to the Second Assessment Report of the Intergovern- mental Panel on Climate Change, Houghton, J. T., Meira Filho, L. G., Callander, B. A., Harris, N., Kattenberg, A. and Maskell, K. (eds.), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.

    Google Scholar 

  • Morgan, M. G. and Keith, D. W.: 1995, ‘Subjective Judgments by Climate Experts’, Environmental Science and Technology 29, 468–476A.

    Google Scholar 

  • Morris, P. A.: 1977, ‘Combining Expert Judgment: A Bayesian Approach’, Management Sci. 23(7).

  • Savage, L. J.: 1954, The Foundations of Statistics, Wiley, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Senior Seismic Hazard Assessment Committee: 1995, ‘Recommendations for Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis: Guidance on Uncertainty and the Use of Experts’, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratories, Report UCRL-ID-122166, Livermore, CA, Sept. 1995; also: Nuclear Regulatory Commission, NUREG/CR-6372, Washington, DC.

  • Winkler, R. L.: 1986, ‘Expert Resolution’, Management Sci. 32(3).

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Paté-Cornell, E. Uncertainties in global climate change estimates. Climatic Change 33, 145–149 (1996). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00140245

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00140245

Navigation