Abstract
Abraham Lincoln's dictum that “you may fool all of the people some of the time; and some of the people all of the time; but you can't fool all of the people all of the time”, is interpreted in terms of a simple binomial model, and potential ambiguities in Lincoln's assertion are clarified.
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Grofman, B. A note on Abraham Lincoln in probabilityland. Theor Decis 11, 453–455 (1979). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00139453
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00139453