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Uncertainties of estimates of climatic change: A review

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Abstract

While climate modeling gives substantial information about the future climate, there are still many uncertainties. This review addresses the question of the response of the climate system to forcing by increasing atmospheric trace gases. The uncertainties of greatest concern are: the transient adjustment controlled by ocean heat uptake; the cover of snow and ice in high latitudes; the change in cloud radiative properties; and shifts in regional patterns connected to the ocean and land surfaces and to the internal dynamics of the atmosphere.

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The National Center for Atmospheric Research is sponsored by the National Science Foundation.

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Dickinson, R.E. Uncertainties of estimates of climatic change: A review. Climatic Change 15, 5–13 (1989). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00138842

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00138842

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