Skip to main content
Log in

Measuring values: A conceptual framework for interpreting transactions with special reference to contingent valuation of visibility

  • Published:
Journal of Risk and Uncertainty Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

People express their value for a good when they pay something for it. Interpretinggood andpayment very broadly, we offer a general analytical framework for characterizing such transactions. This framework is suitable for interpreting actual transactions as well as for creating hypothetical transactions for research purposes. It is described here both in general terms and with special application to one particular kind of transaction, contingent valuation studies in which individuals estimate the value of possible changes in atmospheric visibility. In these transactions, as in many others, risk (of undesired changes in visibility) is one principal feature; at least some uncertainty often surrounds other transaction features as well (For example: How much will visibility really change if I promise to pay for it? Will I really have to pay?). The framework presented here conceptualizes any transaction as involving (a) a good, (b) a payment, and (c) a social context within which the transaction is conducted. Each of these aspects in turn has a variety of features that might and in some cases should affect evaluations. For each such feature, the framework considers first the meaning of alternative specifications and then the difficulties of ensuring that they are understood and evaluated properly. As a whole, the framework provides an integrated approach to designing evaluation studies and interpreting their results.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Atkinson et al.S.S. Stevens' Handbook of Experimental Psychology. New York; Wiley, in press.

  • Bar Hillel, M. The Subjective Probability of Compound Events.Organizational Behavior and Human Performances (Vol. 9, 1973), pp 396–406.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bazerman, M.H. & Lewicki, R.J., eds.Negotiating in Organizations. Beverly Hills, CA: Sage, 1983.

    Google Scholar 

  • Beyth-Marom, R. How Probable is ‘Probable’?Journal of Forecasting (Vol. 1, 1982), pp 257–269.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bishop, R.C. & Heberlein, T.A. Does Contingent Valuation Work? In: R.G., Cummings, D.S., Brookshire, and W.D., Schulze, eds.,Valuing Environmental Goods: An Assessment of the Contingent Valuation Method. Totowa, NJ: Rowman & Allanheld, 1986, pp 123–147.

    Google Scholar 

  • Brehm, J.A Theory of Reactance. New York: Academic Press, 1969.

    Google Scholar 

  • Boyle, K.J., Bishop, R.C. & Welsh, M.P.. Starting Point Bias in Contingent Valuation Bidding Games,Land Economics (Vol. 61, 1969), pp 188–194.

    Google Scholar 

  • Burton, I., Kates, R.W., & White, C.F.The Environment as Hazard. New York: Oxford University Press, 1978.

    Google Scholar 

  • Coombs, C.H.A Theory of Data. New York: Wiley, 1964.

    Google Scholar 

  • Coursey, D.L., et al.Experimental Methods for Assessing Environmental Benefits: Volume II. Draft report, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1984.

  • Coursey, D.L. & Schulze, W.D. The Application of Experimental Economics to the Contingent Valuation of Public Goods.Public Choice (Vol. 49, No. 1, 1986), pp 47–68.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cox, L.A. Jr. Theory of Regulatory Benefits Assessment: Econometric and Expressed Preference Approaches. In: J.D., Bentkover, V.T., Covello, and J., Mumpower, eds.,Benefits Assessment. Dordrecht: D. Reidel, 1985.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cummings, R.G., Brookshire, D.S. & Schulze, W.D., eds.Valuing Environmental Goods: An Assessment of the Contingent Valuation Method. Totowa, NJ: Rowman & Allanheld, 1986.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dawes, R.M.Rational Choice in an Uncertain World. New York: Holt, Rinehart & Winston, in press.

  • Fischhoff, B. & Cox, L.A. Jr. Conceptual Framework for Regulatory Benefits Assessment. In: J.D., Bentkover, V.T., Covello, and J., Mumpower, eds.,Benefits Assessment. Dordrecht: D. Reidel, 1985.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fischhoff, B. & Furby, L.A Review and Critique of Tolley, Randall et al., “Establishing and Valuing the Effects of Improved Visibility in the Eastern United States”. ERI Technical Report 87–6. Eugene, OR: Eugene Research Institute, 1987.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fischhoff, B., Slovic, P., & Lichtenstein, S. Measuring Labile Values. In: T.S., Wallsten, ed.,Cognitive Processes in Judgment and Choice Behavior Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum, 1980.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fitts, P. & Posner, M.Human Performance. Belmont, CA: Brooks-Cole, 1965.

    Google Scholar 

  • Freeman, A.M.The Benefits of Environmental Improvement: Theory and Practice. Baltimore: John Hopkins Press, 1979.

    Google Scholar 

  • Furby, L. Psychological Studies of Justice. In: R.C., Cohen, ed.,Justice: Views from the Social Sciences. New York: Plenum, 1986.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gibson, M., ed.,Risk Consent and Air. Totowa, NJ: Rowman & Allenheld, 1983.

    Google Scholar 

  • Groves, T. & Ledyard, J. Optimal Allocation of Public Goods: A solution to the Free Rider Problem.Econometrica (Vol. 45, 1977), pp 783–809.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jones-Lee, M.W.The Value of Life: An Economic Analysis. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1976.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kahneman, D. & Tversky, A. Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk,Econometrica (Vol. 47, 1979), pp 263–291.

    Google Scholar 

  • Knetsch, J.L. & Sinden, J.A. Willingness to Pay and Compensation Demanded: Experimental Evidence of an Unexpected Disparity in Measures of Value.Quarterly Journal of Economics (Vol. 100, 1984), pp 507–521.

    Google Scholar 

  • Maler, J. A Note on the Use of Property Values in Estimating Marginal Willingness to Pay for Environmental Quality.Journal of Environmental Economics and Management (Vol. 4, 1977), pp 355–369.

    Google Scholar 

  • Malm, W., et al. Human Perception of Visual Air Quality (Uniform Haze).Atmospheric Environment (Vol. 15, 1981), pp 1875–1890.

    Google Scholar 

  • McGuire, W.J. Suspiciousness of Experimenters' Intent. In: R., Rosenthal and R.L., Rosnow, eds.,Artifacts in behavorial Research. New York: Academic Press, 1969.

    Google Scholar 

  • Middleton, P., Stewart, T.R., & Leary, J. On the Use of Human Judgment and Physical/Chemical Measurements in Visual Air Quality Management.Journal of the Air Pollution Control Association (Vol. 35, No. 1, 1985), pp 11–18.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mitchell, R.C. & Carson, R.T.Using Surveys to Value Public Goods: The Contingent Valuation Method. In press.

  • Mosteller, F.A. & Tukey, J.Exploratory Data Analysis. Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley, 1976.

    Google Scholar 

  • National Research Council.Survey Measures of Subjective Phenomena. Washington, DC: Author, 1982.

  • Peterson, C.R. & Beach, L.R. Man as an Intuitive Statistician.Psychological Bulletin (Vol. 68, 1967), pp 29–46.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rokeach, M.The Nature of Human Values. New York: Free Press, 1973.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rosenthal, R. & Rosnow, R.L., eds.Artifacts in Behavioral Research. New York: Academic Press, 1969.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rowe, R.D. & Chestnut, L.G.The Value of Visibility: Theory and Application. Cambridge: Abt Books, 1982.

    Google Scholar 

  • Smith, T.W. Non Attitudes: A Review and Evaluation. In: C.F., Turner & E., Martin, eds.,Surveying Subjective Phenomena. Beverly Hills, CA: Sage, 1985.

    Google Scholar 

  • Smith, V.K. To Keep or Toss the Contingent Valuation Method. In: R.G., Cummings, D.S., Brookshire, & W.D., Schulze, eds.,Valuing Environmental Goods: An Assessment of the Contingent Valuation Method. Totowa, NJ: Rowman & Allanheld, 1986, pp 162–179.

    Google Scholar 

  • Smith, V.K. & Desvousges, W.H.Measuring Water Quality Benefits. Boston: Kluwer-Nijhoff Publishing, 1986.

    Google Scholar 

  • Stokols, D. & Altman, I., eds.,Handbook of Environmental Psychology. New York: Wiley-Interscience, 1986.

    Google Scholar 

  • Thaler, R. Toward a Positive Theory of Consumer Choice.Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization (Vol. 1, 1980), pp 39–60.

    Google Scholar 

  • Thaler, R. & Rosen, S. The Value of Saving a Life: Evidence from the Labor Market. In: N., Terleckyj, ed.,Household Production and Consumption. New York: Columbia University Press, 1976.

    Google Scholar 

  • Thaler, R.H. & Shefrin, H.M. An Economic Theory of Self Control.Journal of Political Economy (Vol. 89, 1981), pp 392–406.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tolley, G. et al.Establishing and Valuing the Effects of Improved Visibility in Eastern United States (USEPA Grant #807768–01–0). Washington, D.C.: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1986.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tribe, L.H. Policy Science: Analysis or Ideology?Philosophy and Public Affairs (Vol. 2, 1972), pp 66–110.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tufte, E.Visual Display of Quantitative Data. Cheshire, CT: Graphics Press, 1983.

    Google Scholar 

  • Turner, C. & Martin, E.Measuring Subjective Phenomena (2 vols). Beverly Hills, CA: Sage, 1985.

    Google Scholar 

  • Vickrey, W. Auctions, Markets, and Optimal Allocation. In: Y., Amihud, ed.,Bidding and Auctioning for Procurement and Allocation. New York: New York University Press, 1976.

    Google Scholar 

  • Viscusi, W.K.Risk by Choice: Regulating Health Safety in the Work Place. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1983.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wright, P. Writing Technical Information.Review of Research in Education. 1987.

Download references

Authors

Additional information

Eugene Research Institute and Carnegie Mellon University

Eugene Research Institute

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Fischhoff, B., Furby, L. Measuring values: A conceptual framework for interpreting transactions with special reference to contingent valuation of visibility. J Risk Uncertainty 1, 147–184 (1988). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00056166

Download citation

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00056166

Key words

Navigation