Eurasian Economic Review

, Volume 6, Issue 1, pp 125–151 | Cite as

A long-term mortality analysis of subsidized firms in rural areas: an empirical study in the Portuguese Alentejo region

  • Anabela Santos
  • Paulo Neto
  • Maria Manuel Serrano
Original Paper

Abstract

Studies have demonstrated that public policies to support private firms’ investment have the ability to promote entrepreneurship, but the sustainability of subsidized firms has not often been analysed. This paper aims to examine this dimension specifically through evaluating the mortality of subsidized firms in the long-term. The analysis focuses on a case study of the LEADER+ Programme in the Alentejo region of Portugal. With this purpose, the paper examines the activity status (active or not active) of 154 private, rural, for-profit firms in Alentejo that had received a subsidy to support investment between 2002 and 2008 under the LEADER+ Programme. The methodology is based on binary choice models in order to study the probability of these firms still being active. The explanatory variables used are the following: (1) the characteristics of entrepreneurs and managers’ strategic decisions, (2) firm profile and characteristics, (3) regional economic environment. Data assessment showed that the cumulative mortality rate of firms on 31st December 2013 is over 20 %. Interpretation of the regression model revealed that the probability of firms’ survival increases with higher investment, firm age and regional business concentration, whereas the number of applications made by firms has a negative impact on their survival. So it seems that for subsidized firms the amount of investment is as important as its frequency.

Keywords

Public policy Subsidized firms Firms’ sustainability Long-term mortality analysis Binary choice models 

JELClassification

R58 D21 C25 

Notes

Acknowledgments

The authors would like to thank Rui Veríssimo Batista (LEADER+ Project Manager in Portugal) and all LAG of Alentejo for the information provided, and the referees for their comments.

References

  1. Agarwal, R. (1997). Survival of firms over the product life cycle. Southern Economic Journal, 63(3), 571–584. doi: 10.2307/1061095.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  2. Alonso-Nuez, M. J., & Galve-Górriz, C. (2011). The evaluation of public policy for the creation of businesses: an empirical study for the Spanish case. African Journal of Business Management, 5(3), 737–746. doi: 10.5897/AJBM10.231.Google Scholar
  3. Alvarez, R., Crespi, G. & Cuevas, C. (2012). Public Programs, Innovation, and Firm Performance in Chile. Technical notes no IDB-TN-375, Competitiveness and Innovation Division (IFD/CTI), Inter-American Development Bank, [online] Available at http://publications.iadb.org/handle/11319/5398?locale-attribute=en. Accessed 1 Jun 2014.
  4. Autoridade de Gestão do PIC Leader+ (2008). Listagem dos projectos aprovados. Lisboa.Google Scholar
  5. Base de dados de Empresas (Portuguese Company Database) Website: http://www.linkb2b.pt. Accessed 1 Mar to 31 May 2014.
  6. Battistin, E., Gavosto, A., & Rettore, E. (2001). Why do subsidised firms survive longer? An evaluation of a program promoting youth entrepreneurship in Italy. Econometric Evaluation of Labour Market Policies, ZEW Economic Studies, 13, 153–181. doi: 10.1007/978-3-642-57615-7_7.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  7. Bell, S. & Morse, S. (2008). Sustainability indicators: measuring the immeasurable? 2nd Edition.UK: Routledge.Google Scholar
  8. Bernini, C., & Pellegrini, G. (2011). How are growth and productivity in private firms affected by public subsidy? Evidence from a regional policy. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 41(3), 253–265. doi: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2011.01.005.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  9. Bernini, C., & Pellegrini, G. (2013). Is subsidising tourism firms an effective use of public funds? Tourism Management, 2013(35), 156–167. doi: 10.1016/j.tourman.2012.06.012.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  10. Brixy, U., & Grotz, R. (2007). Regional patterns and determinants of birth and survival of new firms in Western Germany. Entrepreneurship and Regional Development, 19(4), 293–312. doi: 10.1080/08985620701275510.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  11. Buddelmeyer, H., Jensen, P. H. & Webster, E. (2006). Innovation and the Determinants of Firm Survival. Discussion Paper No. 2386, Germany:IZA, Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit, Institute for the Study of Labor.Google Scholar
  12. Carvalho, J., Lopes, J., & Reimão, C. (2011). Inovação, Decisão e Ética. Lisboa: Edições Sílabo.Google Scholar
  13. CCDRA—Comissão de Coordernação da Região Alentejo (2011). Observações das dinâmicas regionais—Políticas Públicas para os Territórios de Baixa Densidade, Évora.Google Scholar
  14. Cerqua, A., & Pellegrini, G. (2014). Do subsidies to private capital boost firms’ growth? A multiple regression discontinuity design approach. Journal of Public Economics, 109, 114–126. doi: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2013.11.005.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  15. Clarke, G. R. G., Cull, R., & Kisunko, G. (2012). External finance and firm survival in the aftermath of the crisis: evidence from Eastern Europe and Central Asia. Journal of Comparative Economics, 40(3), 372–392. doi: 10.1016/j.jce.2012.01.003.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  16. Colombo, M. G., Croce, A., & Guerini, M. (2013). The effect of public subsidies on firms’ investment—cash flow sensitivity: transient or persistent? Research Policy, 42(9), 1605–1623. doi: 10.1016/j.respol.2013.07.003.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  17. Community Support Framework Portugal 2000–2006 Website: http://www.qca.pt.
  18. CTOC (2009). IRC—Dissolução e Liquidação, Consultório Técnico. Revista da Câmara dos Técnicos Oficiais de Contas no. 111, Ano X, Jun 2009, 61–62.Google Scholar
  19. European Commission (2006). The LEADER Approach—A basic Guide. Belgium: Directorate-General for Agriculture and Rural Development.Google Scholar
  20. European Commission (2008). Evalsed, the resource for the Evaluation of Socio-Economic Development—Guide. Luxembourg: Directorate—General for Regional Policy.Google Scholar
  21. De Silva, D. G., & McComb, R. P. (2012). Geographic concentration and high tech firm survival. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 42(4), 691–701. doi: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2012.03.001.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  22. Del Monte, A., & Scalera, D. (2001). The Life Duration of small firms born within a start-up programme: evidence from Italy. Regional Studies, 35(1), 11–21. doi: 10.1080/00343400120025646.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  23. Déprez, S. (2010). Nouvelles entreprises, cinq ans après: plus d’une sur deux est toujours active en 2007, pôle Démographie des entreprises et des établissements. INSEE no. 1274, Paris.Google Scholar
  24. Duhautois, R., Redor, D. & Desiage, L. (2015). Long term effect of public subsidies on start-up survival and economic performance: an empirical study with French Data. Revue d’économie industrielle no. 149, 1er trimestre 2015, 11–41.Google Scholar
  25. Durafour, D. (2003). Marketing Express (3ème ed.). Paris: Dunod.Google Scholar
  26. Gallié, E. P. Guichard, R. & Benslimane, S. (2009). Economic impacts of public subsidies on young innovating SMEs’ performances: the case of the French National Competition for creation of New Technology-based Firms. Proceedings of the 4th European Conference on Innovation and Entrepreneurship, The University of Antwerp, Belgium 10–11 September 2009, edited by Johan Braet, 125–132.Google Scholar
  27. Eurostat (2014). Eurostat regional year book 2014. Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union.Google Scholar
  28. Falck, O. (2007). Survival chances of new businesses: do regional conditions matter? Applied Economics, 39(16), 2039–2048. doi: 10.1080/00036840600749615.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  29. Ferreira, L., Oliva, F., Santos, S., Grisi, C., & Lima, A. (2012). Análise quantitativa sobre a mortalidade precoce de micro e pequenas empresas da cidade de São Paulo. Gestão and Produção, 19(4), 811–823. doi: 10.1590/S0104-530X2012000400011.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  30. Fukuda, K. (2012). A simple method for age–period–cohort decomposition of firm survival data. Applied Mathematics and Computation, 219(2), 741–747. doi: 10.1016/j.amc.2012.06.067.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  31. Gennari, E. & Lotti, F. (2013). Female entrepreneurship and government policy: evaluating the impact of subsidies on firms’ survival. Questioni di Economia e Finanza, Occasional papers, 192, June 2013, Bank of Italy.Google Scholar
  32. Geroski, P. A., Mata, J., & Portugal, P. (2010). Founding conditions and the survival of new firms. Strategic Management Journal, 31(5), 510–529. doi: 10.1002/smj.823.Google Scholar
  33. Grapeggia, M., Lezana, A., Ortigara, A., & Santos, P. (2011). Fatores condicionantes de sucesso e/ou mortalidade de micro e pequenas empresas em Santa Catarina. Produção, 21(3), 444–455. doi: 10.1590/S0103-65132011005000025.Google Scholar
  34. Guloglu, B., & Baris Tekin, R. (2012). A panel causality analysis of the relationship among research and development, innovation, and economic growth in high-income OECD countries. Eurasian Economic Review, 2(1), 32–47. doi: 10.14208/BF03353831.Google Scholar
  35. Gur, N. (2012). Financial constraints, quality of institutions and firm size: what do perceptions tell us? Eurasian Economic Review, 2(2), 17–36. doi: 10.14208/BF03353835.Google Scholar
  36. Holmes, P., Hunt, A., & Stone, I. (2010). An analysis of new firm survival using a hazard function. Applied Economics, 42(2), 185–195. doi: 10.1080/00036840701579234.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  37. INE. (2002). Anuário Estatístico da região Alentejo 2001. Évora: Instituto Nacional de Estatística, I.P.-Direcção Regional do Alentejo.Google Scholar
  38. INE. (2013). Statistical Yearbook of Alentejo Region 2012. Lisboa: Instituto Nacional de Estatística, I.P.Google Scholar
  39. INE. (2014). Empresas em Portugal—2012. Lisboa: Instituto Nacional de Estatística.Google Scholar
  40. INE—Instituto Nacional de Estatística de Portugal (Statistics Portugal) Website: http://www.ine.pt.
  41. Mamede, R., Fernandes, T., & Silva, A. A. (2013). Análise contrafactual dos impactos dos incentivos do POE/PRIME na sobrevivência e no crescimento das empresas. Coleção e + cadernos do Observatório do QREN. Lisboa: Observatório do QREN.Google Scholar
  42. MEDDE Website (Ministère de l’écologie, du développement durable et de l’énergie): Indicateurs de développement durable territoriaux—Les créations d’entreprises. [online] Available at: http://www.statistiques.developpement-durable.gouv.fr/indicateurs-indices/f/1826/1346/taux-creation-survie-entreprises.html. Accessed 1 Jun 2014.
  43. Nafziger, E. W., & Terrell, D. (1996). Entrepreneurial human capital and the long-run survival of firms in India. World Development, 24(4), 689–696. doi: 10.1016/0305-750X(95)00161-5.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  44. Neto, P., Santos, A. & Serrano, M. M. (2012). Public Policies Supporting Local Based Networks for Entrepreneurship and Innovation—Contributions to the Effectiveness and Added Value Assessment. In Iréne Bernhard (Ed.), Entrepreneurship and Innovation Networks, Research Reports, 2012(02), Trollhätan: University West, 627–648.Google Scholar
  45. Neto, P., Santos, A., & Serrano, M. M. (2014). Public policies supporting local networks for entrepreneurship and innovation. Effectiveness and added value analysis of LEADER program in the Alentejo region of Portugal. International Journal of Entrepreneurship and Small Business, 21(3), 406–435. doi: 10.1504/IJESB.2014.060900.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  46. Paunov, C. (2012). The global crisis and firm investments in innovation. Research Policy, 41(1), 24–35. doi: 10.1016/j.respol.2011.07.007.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  47. Portal da Empresa (Portuguese Company Portal) Website: http://www.portaldaempresa.pt Accessed 1 Mar to 31 May 2014.
  48. Portal da Justiça (Portuguese Ministry of Justice) Website: http://publicacoes.mj.pt Accessed 1 Mar to 31 May 2014.
  49. Portal das Finanças (Portuguese Ministry of Finance) Website: https://www.portaldasfinancas.gov.pt Accessed 1 Mar to 31 May 2014.
  50. Programa de Desenvolvimento Rural (Portuguese Rural Development Programme) Website: http://www.proder.pt.
  51. Santos, A. (2012). Análise dos efeitos do Programa de Iniciativa Comunitária LEADER na região Alentejo, entre 1991 e 2006, dissertação de Mestrado em Economia. Évora: Universidade de Évora.Google Scholar
  52. Santos, A., Serrano, M. M., & Neto, P. (2015). Análise da eficácia, eficiência e valor acrescentado de políticas públicas place-based—uma aplicação a territórios rurais. Revista de Economia e Sociologia Rural, 53(1), S033–S048. doi: 10.1590/1234-56781806-94790053s01003.Google Scholar
  53. Serrano, M. M., Neto, P. & Santos, A. (2015). Eficácia, Eficiência e Mortalidade Empresarial. Proceedings 1st International Meeting of Industrial Sociology, Sociology of Organizations and Work on the theme of Work, Social Change and Economic Dynamics: Challenges for Contemporary Societies, 136–148.Google Scholar
  54. Serrano, M. M., Santos, A. & Neto, P. (2014). Análise da Mortalidade das Empresas Apoiadas por Políticas Públicas. O Caso do Programa LEADER+. Actas do 20th APDR Congress—Renaissance of the Regions of Southern Europe, Universidade de Évora, 10 e 11 de Julho de 2014, 131–141.Google Scholar
  55. Smida, A. & Khelil, N. (2010). Repenser l’échec entrepreneurial des petites entreprises émergentes. Revue internationale P.M.E., 23(2), 65–106, doi: 10.7202/1005762ar.
  56. Stearns, T. M., Carter, N. M., Reynolds, P. D., & Williams, M. L. (1995). New firm survival: industry, strategy, and location. Journal of Business Venturing, 10(1), 23–42.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  57. Tsoukas, S. (2011). Firm survival and financial development: evidence from a panel of emerging Asian economies. Journal of Banking and Finance, 35(7), 1736–1752. doi: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2010.12.008.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  58. Verbeek, M. (2008). A guide to modern econometrics (3rd ed.). England: Wiley.Google Scholar
  59. Voigt, P., & MOncada-Paternò-Castello, P. (2012). Can fast growing R&D-intensive smes affect the economic structure of the EU economy? A projection to the year 2020. Eurasian Business Review, 2(2), 96–128. doi: 10.14208/BF03353814.Google Scholar
  60. Yu L., Orazem P. & Jolly R. (2009). Why do rural firms live longer? Working Paper No. 09013, USA: Iowa State University, Department of Economics.Google Scholar

Copyright information

© Eurasia Business and Economics Society 2015

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.iCite-International Centre for Innovation, Technology and Education Studies, Solvay Brussels School of Economics and ManagementUniversité Libre de BruxellesBrusselsBelgium
  2. 2.CEFAGE-UÉ, CIEO-UALG and UMPP-Planning and Evaluation Unit for Public Policies, Department of EconomicsUniversity of ÉvoraÉvoraPortugal
  3. 3.SOCIUS-CSG/ISEG-UL and UMPP-Planning and Evaluation Unit for Public Policies, Department of SociologyUniversity of ÉvoraÉvoraPortugal

Personalised recommendations