Annals of Forest Science

, Volume 71, Issue 2, pp 131–137 | Cite as

Climate change impacts in European forests: the expert views of local observers

  • Peter Spathelf
  • Ernst van der Maaten
  • Marieke van der Maaten-Theunissen
  • Matteo Campioli
  • Dorota Dobrowolska
Opinion Paper

Keywords

Impact assessment Vulnerability Adaptation Regional differences Forest management 

Notes

Acknowledgments

The authors are grateful to all country nationals that contributed to this study by filling out the questionnaire. In particular, they wish to thank: Andrej Boncina, Asunción Cámara Obregón, Atilla Eredics, Boris Vrbek, Brian Tobin, Bruno Lasserre, Carlos García Güemes, Caroline Vincke, Daphné Asse, Duncan Ray, Elena Rafailova, Elina Vapaavuori, Emil Cienciala, Even Bergseng, František Zemek, Gabriel Spyroglou, Giorgio Matteucci, Guy Landmann, Harald Kvaalen, Heli Peltola, Henn Korjus, Hilppa Gregow, Igor Stefancik, Jan Weger, Joana Amaral Paulo, Kaliopi Radoglou, Kevin Black, Kirsti Jylhä, Liubcho Trichkov, Louis-Michel Nageleisen, Lucian Dincă, Mait Lang, Manuela Branco, Marco Marchetti, Martine Rebetez, Mathieu Jonard, Matija Klopcic, Matthew Saunders, Matteo Vizzarri, Michael Englisch, Michael Müller, Miroslav Svoboda, Myriam Legay, Nikica Ogris, Paula Soares, Quentin Ponette, Rafael Calama Sainz, Roque Rodríguez Soalleiro, Savvas Andrea, Seppo Kellomäki, Seppo Neuvonen, Tibor Priwitzer, Tina Simoncic, Urs Mühlethaler, Veiko Uri, Victor Dan Păcurar, Vladimir Caboun, and Zoran Galić. This research was initiated within the COST Action FP0703 ECHOES’ working group I on climate change impacts.

References

  1. Blatt J, Ellner B, Strixner L, Kreft S, Luthardt V, Ibisch P (2010) Index-basierte Erfassung der Klimawandel-Vulnerabilität von Wald- und Forstökosystemen im Nationalpark Unteres Odertal. In: Korn H, Schliep R, Stadler J (eds): Biodiversität und Klima – Vernetzung der Akteure in Deutschland VII. Ergebnisse des 7. Workshops an der Internationalen Naturschutzakademie des Bundesamtes für Naturschutz, Insel Vilm. 29.08.–01.09.2010. BfN Skripten 282: 55–59Google Scholar
  2. Bergh J, Freeman M, Sigurdsson B, Kellomäki S, Laitinen K, Niinisto S, Peltola H, Linder S (2003) Modelling the short-term effects of climate change on the productivity of selected tree species in Nordic countries. For Ecol Manage 183:327–340CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  3. Bolte A, Ammer C, Löf M, Madsen P, Nabuurs GJ, Schall P, Spathelf P, Rock J (2009) Adaptive forest management in central Europe: climate change impacts, strategies and integrative concept. Scan J For Res 24:473–482CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  4. Bolte A, Ammer C, Löf M, Nabuurs GJ, Schall P, Spathelf P (2010) Adaptive forest management: a prerequisite for sustainable forestry in the face of climate change. In: Spathelf P (ed) Sustainable forest management in a changing world—a European perspective. Managing Forest Ecosystems, vol 19. Springer, Heidelberg, pp 115–139CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  5. Brang P, Bugmann H, Bürgi A, Mühlethaler U, Rigling A, Schwitter R (2008) Klimawandel als waldbauliche Herausforderung. Schweiz Z Forstwes 159:362–373CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  6. Broadmeadow M, Ray D, Samuel CJA (2005) Climate change and the future for broadleaved tree species in Britain. Forestry 78:145–161Google Scholar
  7. Christensen JH, Hewitson B, Busuoic A, Chen A, Gao X, Held R, Jones R, Kolli RK, Kwon W-T, Laprise R, Magana Rueda V, Mearns L, Menéndez CG, Räisänen J, Rinke A, Sarr A, Whetton P (2007) Regional climate projections. In: Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M et al (eds) Climate Change 2007: the physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the fourth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, CambridgeGoogle Scholar
  8. Ciais P, Reichstein M, Viovy N, Granier A, Ogée J, Allard V, Aubinet M, Buchmann N, Bernhofer C, Carrara A, Chevallier F, De Noblet N, Friend A D, Friedlingstein P, Grünwald T, Heinesch B, Keronen P, Knohl A, Krinner G, Loustau D (2005) Europe-wide reduction in primary productivity caused by the heat and drought in 2003. Nature 437:529–533Google Scholar
  9. Coops NC, Waring RH, Beier C, Roy-Jauvin R, Wang T (2011) Modeling the occurrence of 15 coniferous tree species throughout the Pacific Northwest of North America using a hybrid approach of a generic process-based growth model and decision tree analysis. Appl Veg Sci 14:402–414CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  10. Davison J, Coe S, Finch D, Rowland E, Friggens M, Graumlich L (2012) Bringing indices of species vulnerability to climate change into geographic space: an assessment across the Coronado National Forest. Biodivers Conserv 21:189–204CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  11. Hanewinkel M (2008) Risiko und Klimawandel. FVA-Einblick + (Wald und Klima) 12, 1:16–19Google Scholar
  12. Heikkinen RK, Luoto M, Araújo MB, Virkkala R, Thuiller W, Sykes MT (2006) Methods and uncertainties in bioclimatic envelope modelling under climate change. Prog Phys Geogr 30:751–777CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  13. Ibisch PL, Vega AE, Herrman TM (2010) (eds.) Interdependance of biodiversity and development under global change. Technical Series No. 54. Secretariat of the Convention on Biological Diversity, Montreal (second corrected edition)Google Scholar
  14. Jolly WM, Dobbertin M, Zimmermann NE, Reichstein M (2005) Divergent vegetation growth responses to the 2003 heat wave in the Swiss Alps. Geophys Res Lett 32:1–4Google Scholar
  15. Jump AS, Hunt JM, Peñuelas J (2006) Rapid climate change-related growth decline at the southern range edge of Fagus sylvatica. Glob Change Biol 12:2163–2174Google Scholar
  16. Kolström M, Lindner M, Vilén T, Maroschek M, Seidl R, Lexer MJ, Netherer S, Kremer A, Delzon S, Barbati A, Marchetti M, Corona P (2011) Reviewing the science and implementation of climate change adaptation measures in European forestry. Forests 2:961–982CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  17. Lindner M, Maroschek M, Netherer S, Kremer A, Barbati A, Garcia-Gonzalo J, Seidl R, Delzon S, Corona P, Kolström M, Lexer MJ, Marchetti M (2010) Climate change impacts, adaptive capacity, and vulnerability of European forest ecosystems. For Ecol Manage 259:698–709CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  18. Linkosalo T, Häkkinen R, Terhivuo J, Tuomenvirta H, Hari P (2009) The time series of flowering and leaf bud burst of boreal trees (1846–2005) support the direct temperature observations of climatic warming. Agric For Meteorol 149:453–461CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  19. Maiorano L, Cheddadi R, Zimmermann NE, Pellissier L, Petitpierre B, Pottier J, Laborde H, Hurdu BI, Pearman PB, Psomas A, Singarayer JS, Broennimann O, Vittoz P, Dubuis A, Edwards ME, Binney HA, Guisan A (2012) Building the niche trough time: using 13,000 years data to predict the effects of climate change on three tree species in Europe. Global Ecol Biogeogr. doi: 10.1111/j.1466-8238.2012.00767.x
  20. Marmion M, Parviainen M, Luoto M, Heikkinen RK, Thuiller W (2009) Evaluation of consensus methods in predictive species distribution modelling. Divers Distrib 15:59–69CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  21. Millar CI, Stephenson NL, Stephens SL (2007) Climate change and forests of the future: managing in the face of uncertainty. Ecol Appl 17:2145–2151PubMedCrossRefGoogle Scholar
  22. Nabuurs G-J, Pussinen A, Karjalainen T, Erhard M, Kramer K (2002) Stemwood volume increment changes in European forests due to climate change—a simulation study with the EFISCEN model. Glob Change Biol 8:304–316CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  23. Päivinen R, Lehikoinen M, Schuck A, Häme T, Väätäinen S, Kennedy P, Folving S (2001) Combining earth observation data and forest statistics. European Forest Institute Research Report 14. European Forest Institute and Joint Research Centre–European CommissionGoogle Scholar
  24. Peñuelas J, Filella I, Comas P (2002) Changed plant and animal life cycles from 1952 to 2000 in the Mediterranean region. Glob Change Biol 8:531–544Google Scholar
  25. Pichler P, Oberhuber W (2007) Radial growth response of coniferous forest trees in an inner Alpine environment to heat-wave in 2003. For Ecol Manage 242:688–699Google Scholar
  26. Reyer CR, Leuzinger S, Rammig A, Wolf A, Bartholomeus RP, Bonfante A, de Lorenzi F, Dury M, Gloning P, Jaoudé RA, Klein T, Kuster TM, Martins M, Niedrist G, Riccardi M, Wohlfahrt G, de Angelis P, de Dato G, François L, Menzel A, Pereira M (2013) A plant’s perspective of extremes: terrestrial plant responses to changing climatic variability. Glob Chang Biol 19:75–89PubMedCrossRefGoogle Scholar
  27. Thies M, Hein S, Spiecker H (2009) Results of a questionnaire on management of valuable broadleaved forests in Europe. In: Spiecker H, Hein S, Makkonen-Spiecker K, Thies M (eds) Valuable broadleaved forests in Europe. European Forest Institute Research Report, vol 22. Brill, Leiden, pp. 27–41Google Scholar
  28. Zheng D, Freeman M, Bergh J, Røsberg I, Nilsen P (2002) Production of Picea abies in south-east Norway in response to climate change: a case study using process-based model simulation with field validation. Scand J For Res 17:35–46CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Copyright information

© INRA and Springer-Verlag France 2013

Authors and Affiliations

  • Peter Spathelf
    • 1
  • Ernst van der Maaten
    • 2
  • Marieke van der Maaten-Theunissen
    • 2
  • Matteo Campioli
    • 3
  • Dorota Dobrowolska
    • 4
  1. 1.Faculty of Forest and EnvironmentEberswalde University for sustainable developmentEberswaldeGermany
  2. 2.Institute for Forest GrowthAlbert-Ludwigs-UniversityFreiburgGermany
  3. 3.Research Group of Plant and Vegetation Ecology, Department of BiologyUniversity of AntwerpAntwerpBelgium
  4. 4.Department of Forest EcologyForest Research InstituteRaszynPoland

Personalised recommendations