, Volume 48, Issue 3, pp 1081–1104

Understanding the “Russian Mortality Paradox” in Central Asia: Evidence from Kyrgyzstan

  • Michel Guillot
  • Natalia Gavrilova
  • Tetyana Pudrovska


In the former Soviet republics of central Asia, ethnic Russians have exhibited higher adult mortality than native ethnic groups (e.g., Kazakh, Kyrgyz, Uzbek) in spite of the higher socioeconomic status of ethnic Russians. The mortality disadvantage of ethnic Russians at adult ages appears to have even increased since the breakup of the Soviet Union. The most common explanation for this “Russian mortality paradox,” is that deaths are better reported among ethnic Russians. In this study, we use detailed mortality data from Kyrgyzstan between 1959 and 1999 to evaluate various explanations for the Russian mortality paradox: data artifacts, migration effects, and cultural effects. We find that the most plausible explanation is the cultural hypothesis because the personal behaviors that appear to generate a large part of the observed mortality differences (alcohol consumption, in particular) seem to be closely tied to cultural practices. We examine the implications of this finding for understanding the health crisis in post-Soviet states.


Adult mortality Central Asia Kyrgyzstan Alcohol Former Soviet Union 

Copyright information

© Population Association of America 2011

Authors and Affiliations

  • Michel Guillot
    • 1
  • Natalia Gavrilova
    • 2
  • Tetyana Pudrovska
    • 3
  1. 1.Population Studies CenterUniversity of PennsylvaniaPhiladelphiaUSA
  2. 2.Center on AgingNORC/University of ChicagoChicagoUSA
  3. 3.Population Research CenterUniversity of TexasAustinUSA

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