Consequence of altered nitrogen cycles in the coupled human and ecological system under changing climate: The need for long-term and site-based research
Anthropogenically derived nitrogen (N) has a central role in global environmental changes, including climate change, biodiversity loss, air pollution, greenhouse gas emission, water pollution, as well as food production and human health. Current understanding of the biogeochemical processes that govern the N cycle in coupled human–ecological systems around the globe is drawn largely from the long-term ecological monitoring and experimental studies. Here, we review spatial and temporal patterns and trends in reactive N emissions, and the interactions between N and other important elements that dictate their delivery from terrestrial to aquatic ecosystems, and the impacts of N on biodiversity and human society. Integrated international and long-term collaborative studies covering research gaps will reduce uncertainties and promote further understanding of the nitrogen cycle in various ecosystems.
KeywordsAtmospheric deposition Biogeochemistry Water quality N2O Nitrogen leaching
Nitrogen (N) is an essential nutrient, but reactive N has well-known deleterious effects in high concentrations. Agriculture and industry have strongly altered the N cycle in ways that impact the environment from local to global scales by contributing to increasing greenhouse gas emissions, acidic deposition, and impairing the functioning of ecosystems through the eutrophication of soils and waters. The N cycle is thus intrinsically coupled with various environmental processes and factors including the transformation of land-use, energy and food production and consumption, climate change, exploitation of natural resources, air, soil and water pollution, human health, ecosystem services, and other natural and anthropogenic drivers (Galloway et al. 2004). Future sustainable management and stewardship of both less disturbed and highly managed ecosystems require a more integrated approach to the assessment of linkages between these systems and their interaction with the human society (Collins et al. 2011).
Increased anthropogenic nitrogen emissions
Humans create more reactive N (Nr) than natural ecosystems do (Galloway et al. 2003), principally nitrogen oxides (NOx-N, i.e., sum of N2O, NO, and NO2) and ammonia (NH3), mostly through food and energy production and consumption, and their various byproducts. Reactive N emissions into the atmosphere contribute to increasing greenhouse gasses, acidic deposition, as well as excess inputs of N nutrients to receiving environments. One of the Nr forms, N2O, is an important greenhouse gas with an exceptionally long atmospheric half-life that is emitted through agricultural activities as well as natural processes such as denitrification within wetlands. Here, we review the long-term trends of Nr and N2O emissions and their current knowledge gaps.
Global long-term trends in anthropogenic emissions of reactive nitrogen
Greenhouse gas emissions
Nitrous oxide is a potent greenhouse gas with a global warming potential that is ~300 times greater than CO2 on a per molecule basis. The production of N2O occurs during both denitrification and nitrification. N2O in the atmosphere is estimated to have increased by 18% from its pre-industrial level (IPCC 2007). The rise is attributed primarily to human activities, particularly from agriculture and land-use change.
Information on the processes influencing N2O emissions from soils is sparse, particularly that on the roles of temperature, moisture, redox potential, pH, and substrate availability (Wallenstein et al. 2006). While agricultural soils are considered a major source of N2O, the effect of N-fertilizer on soil N2O emissions remains highly uncertain (Davidson 2009; Zaehle et al. 2011). Emission factors (N2O emissions per unit N addition) have been reported to vary between 0.1 and 7% of the N applied (Skiba and Smith 2000). Since multiple processes and drivers are involved, N2O emissions are highly variable and often associated with “hotspots” (high emissions from small areas) and “hot moments” (high emissions for brief periods), making measuring, modeling, and up-scaling challenging (Groffman et al. 2009; Reay et al. 2012).
High variability in the response of N2O to N-inputs indicates nonlinearity of the response function (Hoben et al. 2011). However, there is also large global variation in levels of N-inputs to agricultural systems, ranging from 588 kg N ha−1 year−1 in a wheat-maize double-cropping system in North China to 7 kg N ha−1 year−1 in maize systems in western Kenya, resulting in very large uncertainty over global N2O emissions (Vitousek et al. 2009). Assessing a decade of measurements from an ILTER site in Michigan, USA, Robertson et al. (2000) reported that N2O fluxes were similar among different cropping systems, suggesting that N2O fluxes were driven by soil N availability, rather than by additional N-inputs. In contrast, Van Groenigen et al. (2010) found that N-inputs stimulated a dramatic increase in N2O emissions when fertilizer rates reached 301 kg N ha−1 year−1, while N2O emissions were small when fertilizer rates were ~180 to 190 kg N ha−1 year−1 or lower. Given the paucity of data for areas with low rates of fertilization such as Africa, there is currently insufficient information for establishing the response function of N2O fluxes following addition of N-inputs in these systems (Van Groenigen et al. 2010).
Clearly, there is a need for considerable clarification of the factors determining N2O emissions from N-inputs at representative sites around the globe. For example, assessments are urgently required to determine the global impact of the African Green Revolution, called for by the former United Nation secretary general Kofi Annan. Agricultural productivity across Sub-Saharan Africa is expected to increase substantially by major increases in fertilizer use (up to 100 kg ha−1 year−1, Sanchez et al. 2007). To assess the unintended N2O emissions and N leaching to the local environments, more research is urgently needed to understand the N fluxes in response to inputs.
Altered nitrogen biogeochemistry in ecosystems
Increasing anthropogenic Nr emissions are a significant source of atmospheric N deposition to land and sea (Galloway et al. 2004) and also enhance global warming through N2O emissions (IPCC 2007), disturbing N pools, cycling, and transport in and among ecosystems. In this section, we review the current understanding of the impact of increased N deposition on N biogeochemistry over a period of changing climate in various ecosystems, with special attention to ILTER’s findings.
Long-term effects of N deposition in watershed N cycles and leaching
Excess atmospheric N deposition beyond the N requirement of the biota often causes N saturation, which has been observed in many forest ecosystems of Europe and the USA (Dise and Wright 1995; Aber et al. 1998). Elevated concentrations of NO3− in surface waters derived from non-point or point sources of N pollution usually indicate that there has been sufficient anthropogenic deposition of N for catchment soils to have reached a degree of N saturation (Stoddard 1994).
In recent years, attempts in the USA and Europe to reduce atmospheric emissions of acidic precursors and other pollutants have resulted in widespread reductions in sulfur (S) deposition, with corresponding substantial reductions in sulfate concentrations in runoff. However, in Western Europe, there have been less linear changes of atmospheric deposition with respect to N. While reductions in emissions of N have led to broadly comparable reductions in ammonium (NH4+) deposition, reductions in NO3− deposition have been much lower (Fowler et al. 2007). The combination of uncertainties associated with these non-linearities between reduction of NH4+ and NO3− and the various responses of N leaching to variation in winter climate make the future prediction of NO3− leaching to surface waters and the extent to recovery from acidification very difficult.
In contrast, further increases in N emissions in the East Asia region during the next few decades have been predicted as a consequence of rapid industrialization, urbanization, and economic growth (e.g., Galloway et al. 2003, 2004; Fang et al. 2011). Fang et al. (2011) indicated that N deposition in China ranged 2.6–48 kg N ha−1 year−1, while the threshold of N deposition to N saturation in Chinese forest differs from that in the USA and Europe (i.e., the relatively high N leaching in some Chinese forests receiving low N-input). Niu et al. (2010) reported that an experimental addition of N deposition (100 kg N ha−1 year−1) for 4 years enhanced the ecosystem productivity by 27% in a temperate steppe ecosystem in China. Several comparative studies (Park et al. 2003; Fang et al. 2011; Mitchell 2011) suggest that regional climate, geology, and hydrology result in different patterns and responses to elevated N deposition in forest ecosystems, when compared to previous findings of similar studies in the USA and Europe (Ohte et al. 2001), indicating that more comparative research is needed to generalize the impact of increased N deposition on ecosystems. Long-term studies of watershed N biogeochemistry are clearly limited outside the USA and Europe, especially in East Asia, South America, and Africa, where anthropogenic N deposition will increase in future.
Complex interactions of N with other elements
The N cycle is intimately coupled to the C cycle. Soils with large pools of organic C and high C:N ratios are generally associated with N accumulation and tend to export less NO3– than soils with low C:N ratios (e.g., Aber et al. 1998; Gundersen et al. 1998). When Nr availability is elevated in an N-limited system (e.g., through atmospheric N deposition), soil inorganic N is readily utilized by plants, resulting in increased C uptake (Gruber and Galloway 2008) and reduced below-ground allocation of C (Deegan et al. 2012). Elevated Nr in soil can also change the soil microbial community by, for example, a reduction of fungal:bacterial biomass ratios (Högberg et al. 2007; Boberg et al. 2010). These studies emphasize the importance of taking N–C interactions into account when considering the possible impact of climate change on ecosystems, carbon sequestration, and in the development of earth system models (Thornton et al. 2009). Various mechanisms have been proposed to explain the changes in N–C interactions following increased N availability: biomass increase with allocation changes in plants (i.e., reduction of below-ground C allocation due to the N-increase) (Högberg et al. 2010); enhanced soil respiration reflecting an increase in soil microbial activity with an increase in N availability (Gärdenäs et al. 2011); inhibition of litter decomposition through a change in litter quality with elevated N (Knorr et al. 2005; Pregitzer et al. 2008); a change in plant uptake of organic N as a nutrient source in N-limited environments (Gärdenäs et al. 2011); altered interaction with dissolved organic carbon [e.g., enhanced mineralization of DOC due to increased abundance of electron acceptors in the form of NO3− in anoxic soil micro-sites (Kopáček et al. 2013c)]; and changes in abiotic N–C interactions in soil (e.g., abiotic reaction of nitrite with dissolved organic matter through nitration and nitrosation of aromatic ring structures) (Davidson et al. 2003).
Phosphorus (P) is also an essential nutrient for biota. N–C-P interactions in soil vary among biomes. Where P limits primary production, such as in some tropical ecosystems or acid alpine grasslands, increases in N deposition may have little impact on productivity (Matson et al. 1999), a finding that has recently been documented by field experiments at ILTER sites (Bowman et al. 2008; Cusack et al. 2011). In both N- and P-limited tundra ecosystems, C fluxes were found to respond positively to additions of both elements, although responses to P tended to be stronger than to N (Shaver et al. 1998). Bergström and Jansson (2006) have shown that increased N deposition may have changed lakes from N-limitation to P-limitation in remote and small lakes across the northern hemisphere, an observation supported by nutrient addition experiments in UK upland streams (Maberly et al. 2002). On the other hand, an assessment of long-term data from a Spanish ILTER lake site by Camarero and Catalan (2012) suggested that atmospheric P deposition may cause lakes to revert from P-limitation to N-limitation. There are clear needs for research into long-term C–N–P interactions for a much wider range of biomes.
Nitrogen deposition can serve as an acidifying as well as eutrophying agent (Oulehle et al. 2008). Bowman et al. (2008) reported that long-term acid deposition in the Western Tatra Mountains of Slovakia, central Europe has altered soil systems in alpine grasslands to an extreme level of acidification usually associated with soils exposed to acid mine drainage. They showed that increases in N deposition had resulted in a depletion of base cations, increases in aluminum (Al) and extractable iron (Fe) in soil, and a reduction in the biomass of vascular plants associated with a decrease in shoot calcium and magnesium concentrations. They suggested that acidifying soils in central Europe have reached an unprecedented level of toxicity in which Al release into soil water has been superseded by Fe release (Bowman et al. 2008).
N leaching in dormant season
Seasonal changes in nitrogen behavior of ecosystems are mostly driven by seasonal fluctuations of physical drivers (i.e., weather conditions) and biological factors (i.e., phenology in plant and microbial activity). The seasonality of plant growth in many biomes results in a seasonal N demand, while (with the exception of heavily N-saturated soils and catchments with little soil cover) most NO3− leached into surface, and ground waters are increasingly being found to have undergone soil microbial processing (Stoddard 1994; Piatek et al. 2005; Curtis et al. 2012). Consequently, the dependence of biological systems on soil microclimate can lead to strong seasonal variation in N fluxes and concentrations in soils and drainage waters.
Time series analyses from boreal to temperate forested, moorland and alpine systems emphasize the importance of winter temperatures and snow cover in determining the export of NO3− in soil, ground, and surface waters. Although winter has sometimes been considered to be the “dormant season,” due to cold temperatures, vegetation dormancy, and a persistent snow cover, microbial processes can persist and exert a critical impact on N cycling (Campbell et al. 2005; Makoto et al. 2013). Snow also allows solutes to accumulate in the soil (Kurian et al. 2012) leading to pronounced fluxes when the snow melts. Watersheds throughout the Northeast USA export more than 85% of the annual NO3− loss during winter (Mitchell et al. 1996), with most of this export occurring during spring snowmelt (Campbell et al. 2005), but mid-winter melt events and rain-on-snow events can also influence winter NO3− loads to streams (Casson et al. 2010). Individual rain-on-snow events can contribute as much as 40% of annual NO3− export from forested watersheds in southeast Canada, and the contribution of rain-on-snow events to annual and winter NO3− loads has generally increased in recent decades (Eimers et al. 2007).
The insulating properties of snow can maintain soil temperatures sufficiently high to allow root growth, microbial respiration, and other biotic activities to continue (Groffman et al. 2009). Soils devoid of a snowpack are more vulnerable to freezing and hence to physical and chemical changes, including the death of fine roots, cell lysis, and the alteration of soil microbial processes (Tierney et al. 2001; Christopher et al. 2008; Shibata et al. 2013). Experimental snow removal in alpine Europe lowered soil temperatures and increased NO3− release (Freppaz et al. 2008). In mountainous and northern regions, soil temperatures and ecosystem respiration rates tend to be higher in winters with high amounts of snowfall than in winters with less or no snow (Monson et al. 2006). On the other hand, experimental snow manipulation at a mountain site in Norway indicated that no increase of inorganic N fluxes was associated with snow removal (Kaste et al. 2008), suggesting that the effects of decreased snow on the N cycle varies among locations. Coherent patterns of variation in NO3− leaching are sometimes evident over large spatial scales and across catchments covering wide altitudinal gradients and land-use classes (e.g., Rogora et al. 2008; Evans et al. 2010). In the UK, winters when NO3− leaching to remote surface waters have been strongly associated with negative excursions in the winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) Index, most likely due to low winter temperatures, lower than average rainfall and larger contributions from more polluted air masses originating from the European continent (Monteith et al. 2000; George et al. 2004). However, as soil temperature is a dominant driver, opposing inter-annual patterns in NO3− leaching may be observed in regions normally blanketed by snow in winter when they lack snow cover, since snow cover insulates the uppermost soil layer from the atmosphere (Groffman et al. 2009; Makoto et al. 2013). Consequently, relationships between NO3− leaching and the NAO index in the UK and in northern Europe may vary regionally (George et al. 2004; Blenckner et al. 2007; de Wit et al. 2008).
Cascading influences from terrestrial watersheds to estuaries
Nitrogen losses from agricultural land are often several times higher than those from natural systems. In typical agrarian systems, exported N represents 10–40% (~25% on average) of net anthropogenic nitrogen inputs (Howarth et al. 2011), depending on the amounts of leachable NO3– in the soil and surplus water to transport the solutes out of the watershed. Kopáček et al. (2013a, b) indicated that, in Slapy Reservoir, an ILTER site in central Europe, the reservoir of leachable NO3– in agricultural and forested watersheds originates from both external (fertilization and atmospheric deposition) and internal (mineralization of soil organic N) sources, with relative contributions dependent on topography and land-use practices such as drainage and tillage. Fluctuations in the export of N from Slapy Reservoir (Vltava river) from 1920 to 2010 were strongly related to the change in the mineralization of soil organic N enhanced by more drainage of farmlands (up to 43%) rather than to the external N sources (Kopáček et al. (2013a, b). Boyer and Howarth (2002) evaluated the anthropogenic N source in large watersheds based on intensive monitoring of N cycles, indicating that fertilizer N-inputs, N-fixation in crop land, and animal feed N imports were the dominant sources of Nr from agricultural land to the riverine N exports in sixteen large catchments of northeastern USA.
At watershed, landscape and regional scales, cascades, and interactions are key to understanding N dynamics. Riparian zones function as the interface (“buffer zone”) between terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems, and may act as either net sources or sinks of N depending on timescales, hydrological conditions, and the history of N-inputs. Anaerobic conditions in shallow groundwater in the riparian zone stimulate denitrification (microbial transformation of NO3− to reduced gaseous forms such as N2O and N2), thus reducing the potential flux of NO3− leaching to stream water (Chestnut and McDowell 2000). Hyporheic exchange, mixing saturated ground water (relatively anaerobic) with stream water (mostly aerobic), may provide “hot spots” for dynamic microbial N transformation near riparian boundaries and at the surfaces of channel beds (Shibata et al. 2004).
A substantial proportion of Nr can be buried in accumulating sediments of lakes and swamps (Noe and Hupp 2005). However, sediment anoxia may lead to the reduction of NO3− and nitrite (NO2−) to N2 (or N2O) by denitrification (Rissanen et al. 2011). Recently, “anaerobic ammonium oxidation” (anammox) has been identified as another process of N2 release under anoxic conditions (Jetten et al. 2005).
Impact on biodiversity and human society
As described above, increases of anthropogenic Nr emission and deposition substantially alter N pools, cycles, and transport among ecosystems. The altered N behavior also influences structures and characteristics of organisms in natural ecosystems and anthropogenically dominated systems. Here, we review how increased Nr affects (i) biological structures in the context of biodiversity and also (ii) human society in the context of human health and ecosystem services.
Terrestrial biodiversity impacts
Numerous studies have reported a decline in species diversity (vascular plants, lichens, mosses, phytoplankton microbes, etc.) associated with both N-fertilization and N-gradients across a range of different ecosystem types in forest and semi-natural areas (Clark and Tilman 2008; Bobbink et al. 2010). Clark and Tilman (2008) demonstrated that chronic low-level nitrogen addition (10 kg N ha−1 year−1 above ambient atmospheric N deposition) reduced plant species numbers by 17% relative to controls receiving ambient N deposition based on the multi-decadal experiment of N-fertilization in the grassland ecosystem of Cedar Creek LTER. Recent studies suggested that even low-level N deposition could influence the changes in ground vegetation (Johansson et al. 2012; Hedwall et al. 2013). Nitrogen pollution stimulates competitive interactions that lead to compositional change, making conditions unfavorable for some species (Bobbink et al. 2010; Bobbink and Hettelingh 2011). Deprivation of light and nutrients resulting from the increased cover of aggressive dominant species can outweigh the potential benefits of N-fertilization for subordinate species. These changes in biodiversity can have cascading impacts on primary production, soil C storage, microbial activity, rates of decomposition, N mineralization and immobilization, tissue chemistry, trophic interactions (herbivory), and can ultimately disrupt ecosystem functions and services (Dias et al. 2011; Ochoa-Hueso et al. 2011).
The sensitivity of terrestrial biodiversity to the deposition of oxidized and reduced N provides the basis for setting critical loads for N deposition both in Europe and North America (Cape et al. 2009; Bobbink and Hettelingh 2011; Pinho et al. 2011, 2012). Independently derived critical levels for lichens and moss diversity have been found to be similar for northern and southern Europe, thus emphasizing the universal applicability of these plant groups as ecological indicators of N deposition. Pardo et al. (2011) showed that, in the USA, empirical critical loads for N tend to increase according to the following sequence: lichens and bryophytes, mycorrhizal fungi, herbaceous plants and shrubs, and trees. In several studies in the USA, lichens invariably showed the lowest NH3 critical levels (1 µg m−3) and N critical loads (1 kg N ha−1 year−1) of all biological indicators (Jovan et al. 2012).
Currently, there is no coordinated global observation system capable of providing real-time tracking of biodiversity change around the globe (Pereira et al. 2013). The scientific understanding of how biodiversity is reacting to increasing N-inputs, and how this is affecting ecosystem resilience and ecosystem services remains limited. However, biodiversity seems to be a relatively sensitive metric for measuring the effects of N at the ecosystem level, i.e., loss of particular species from an ecosystem (Cape et al. 2009). Changes in biodiversity can also be used to help identify those species most sensitive to increased N. We expect that various assessments of biodiversity will exhibit differences in scalability, temporal sensitivity, feasibility, and relevance.
Human-induced changes in response to changes in the N cycle also have both negative and positive implications for human health. The most obvious health benefit of increased use of Nr is decreased hunger and malnutrition through the use of fertilizers, while N-related air pollutants are hazardous for humans. Atmospheric N pollution can affect human health by increasing respiratory problems especially those caused by smaller particulate matter (PM2.5), since they have the ability to penetrate deeper into the respiratory tract. Approximately, 40% of PMs are NH4+ and NO3−. High levels of atmospheric NOx lead to increases in tropospheric O3 that strongly affect human respiratory function (von Mutius 2000). In addition, high concentrations of NO2 in urban air can lengthen and worsen common viral infections such as human rhinovirus, significantly elevating the risks to asthmatics and individuals with compromised immune systems (Spannhake et al. 2002).
Nitrogen also affects human health via water pollution. Concentrations of NO3− in drinking water exceeding 10 mg L−1 put children at risk of methemoglobinemia (“blue-baby” syndrome; Gupta et al. 2000). Even nitrate levels below the WHO standard may stimulate the endogenous formation of N-nitrosamines (Van Maanen et al. 1996), compounds strongly implicated in cancer risks. Long-term consumption of water with NO3− concentrations of 6.3 mg L−1 and above has been linked to a higher risk for Non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma (Ward et al. 1996). In Iowa, rising NO3− levels well below the 10 mg L−1 standard were associated with an increased risk of bladder and ovarian cancers (Weyer et al. 2001).
One way to maintain good nourishment of the human population while decreasing fertilizer consumption would be to reduce meat consumption and increase consumption of a diversity of vegetables. Typically, most NO3− exposure (86%) to humans comes from vegetables, whereas the primary contributors to nitrite (NO2−) intake are cured meats (39%), baked goods and cereals (34%), and vegetables (16%). It is possible that a diet based on a diversity of vegetables provides man with adequate levels of NO2− which contributes to the whole-body NO production and homeostasis (Landberg et al. 2011).
Global food and feed trades are one of the important drivers of global, regional, and local N circulation (Galloway et al. 2008). International trade in N has increased eightfold (from 3 to 24 Tg N) during 1961–2010 and a small number of countries (e.g., USA, Argentina, and Brazil) currently feed much of the rest of the world in terms of proteins and N (Lassaletta et al. 2014). The spatial imbalance of production and consumption of feed and food contributes to the spatial imbalance of risk for human health and environment quality (e.g., animal feed imports from Africa, where the export of N contributed to N-limitation of human food production with negative consequences for human health locally). Also, the influence of the global trade in N is more complex than merely the N flows associated with import or export of food and feed because part of the reactive N added by fertilizers and feed during the production of crop and animal products is lost to the environment, becoming a source of water and air pollution (Leach et al. 2012).
Impact on societal and economic value
The concept of ecosystem services (Millennium Ecosystem Assessment Board 2005) recognizes the vital importance of the natural environment and the biodiversity it supports in underpinning human wellbeing. The nitrogen cycle is central to several key ecosystem processes including water quality regulation (regulating services); ecosystem productivity that is often limited by N (provision of services via food, timber, and fiber); and C sequestration and control of N2O emissions (via climate regulation services). Nitrogen also indirectly impacts all ecosystem services through its influence on biodiversity (e.g., Suddick and Davidson 2012). Clearly, a range of N-related ecosystem services may be threatened by anthropogenic disturbances of biogeochemical cycles.
To date, economic valuation of N-related ecosystem services and human health has been conducted mainly in Europe and the USA (Compton et al. 2011; Sutton et al. 2011), while assessment in other region such as Asia-Pacific, Africa, and South America is still limited and entails great uncertainty. The European Nitrogen Assessment (ENA) estimated that the highest social costs of N are associated with air pollution effects of NOx on human health (10–30€ per kg of N). A similar value ($28 per kg NOx–N) relating to the USA was obtained by Compton et al. (2011). The effects of N loss to water on aquatic ecosystems were evaluated by the ENA as 5–20€ per kg of N. The ENA also estimated N-related environmental damage from agriculture in the EU to be 20–150 billion € year−1, which is comparable with a benefit of N-fertilizer for farmers of 10–100 billion € per year−1 (Sutton et al. 2011).
The need for international integration of long-term ecosystem research
Based on the above literature review, we propose that several areas require more attention to develop a better understanding and reduce uncertainties with respect to the environmental effects of N.
The long-term monitoring and analysis of N deposition, N cycles in various ecosystems, biodiversity, and N export to water are needed to provide the fundamental information necessary to address a spectrum of research questions concerning N dynamics in coupled human and ecological systems (Driscoll et al. 2012; Robertson et al. 2012). Modeling and analysis coupled with long-term monitoring and field experiments provide powerful research tools to help understand the dynamic features of the N cycle driven by multiple environmental factors, and to address new parameters to be monitored or examined (e.g., Aber et al. 2002; Driscoll et al. 2003). There are clearly regional research gaps in the context of long-term site-based research on N biogeochemistry: East Asia, South America, and Africa (e.g., Anderson et al. 2012; Urakawa et al. 2012), where increased Nr pollution has been predicted for the coming decades (Galloway et al. 2004). Also, long-term research sites in agricultural and urban ecosystems are currently limited despite their large importance in global N cycles. Increased international collaboration and integration offers the potential for further significant scientific advances, particularly with respect to the elucidation of (i) responses of N2O emission to elevated Nr inputs; (ii) biodiversity changes associated with changes in N deposition; (iii) spatial heterogeneity of temporal trends among different deposited N species; (iv) spatial patterns in N leaching from a wide spectrum of catchments including a range of altitudinal and latitudinal gradients and different land-use types; and (v) long-term trends in N concentrations in surface waters and potential linkages with inter-annual climate change.
Second, studying N dynamics at the ecosystem level should be coupled with socio-economic issues. Reactive nitrogen in the environment presents society with a global problem that must be addressed at a global scale over the long term by uniting the analyses of natural and human systems. Continued maintenance of our best long-term environmental observation systems and the development of new long-term experiments will be necessary to clarify these complex interactions and their long- and short-term impacts.
To what extent do ecosystems exhibit common or unique responses to elevated Nr across different environmental and social landscapes?
What features of socio-ecological N-interactions are likely to be most sensitive to global changes in human population and climate?
What are the political and management options to mitigate or adapt the N-related social issues (e.g., diet, human health, and ecosystem services)?
Will future climate changes have major impacts on N biogeochemistry, and what feedbacks from N cycling will be most important in influencing the climate?
Even though the answers to these questions remain unclear, some strategies need to be developed. For example, some previous studies have suggested that very sensitive organisms, such as lichens and mosses, could be effective early-warning indicators of atmospheric Nr pollution in the early stages of anthropogenic disturbance of N cycles in an ecosystem (Pinho et al. 2011). The functional diversity of lichens and/or mosses coupled with measures of their nitrogen content and isotopic composition has the potential to be explicit spatial indicators of the early effects of Nr pollution. It would, therefore, be possible to use lichens and mosses in the long-term ecological site to develop an early-warning biological monitoring system of atmospheric N pollution in regional and global scales. Other responses of ecosystem structure and functioning to altered N cycle often vary among sites, influenced not only by current driving factors but also by long-term socio-ecological legacies (Aber et al. 1998). Therefore, investigations need to include international comparisons of the impact of socio-ecological legacies on current N cycling processes by analyzing the relationship between current monitoring data and previous land history and other parameters. The historical records of site-management, land-use, natural disturbances, climate, atmospheric deposition, etc. should be used to help understand how historical factors are affecting current N cycles. Such analyses should be facilitated using the results from long-term ecological sites such as the ILTER worldwide network. Meta-analysis of comprehensive and integrated N databases and the organization of workshops on focused topics using international researchers networks (e.g., ILTER) should be encouraged. The outcomes of collaborative international research should also include analyses of the complete spectrum of socio-ecological factors related to N. This information must to be provided to both the scientific community as well as other stakeholders, including policy makers.
We thank the ILTER network for giving us this opportunity to develop the ILTER-N initiative, and for funding support to organize the workshop to develop the manuscript. We also thank all of the participants in the workshop for valuable discussions and helpful comments for this paper. This paper contributes to the synthesis of the Global Land Project (IGBP/IHDP). The synthesis activity was also partly supported by the Environmental research and technology development fund (S-9-3) of the Ministry of the Environment, Japan.
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