Migrants’ Remittances and Home Country Elections: Cross-National and Subnational Evidence
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Elections in developing countries have increasingly become international events. Previous scholarship identifies many examples in which migrants from developing countries have played a role in financing elections in their home countries and provides cross-national evidence that migrants increase remittances in election years. However, previous cross-national analyses have been limited by their reliance on annual national-level data. This article provides statistical analyses of quarterly subnational data of remittance inflows to Mexican states and new monthly national-level data on remittance inflows for nine countries. These analyses demonstrate that political remittance cycles appear in the quarter prior to an election, can exist both for national and subnational elections, and are influenced by both economic conditions in migrants’ host countries and political conditions in their home countries.
KeywordsRemittances Elections Migration
The authors wish to thank the editors and reviewers in particular for their comments on this article, as well as the participants at conferences and presentations at Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económica, the Southern California Comparative Political Institutions Conference, the University of Southern California, and the Canadian Institute for Advanced Research Institutions, Organizations and Growth Program.
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