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The returns to continuous training in Germany: new evidence from propensity score matching estimators

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Abstract

The present paper examines the wage effects of continuous training programs using individual-level data from the German Socio Economic Panel (GSOEP). In order to account for selectivity in training participation we estimate average treatment effects (ATE and ATT) of general and firm-specific continuous training programs using several state-of-the-art propensity score matching (PSM) estimators. Additionally, we also apply a combined matching difference-in-differences (MDiD) estimator to account for unobserved individual characteristics (e.g. motivation, ability). While the estimated ATE and ATT for general training are significant ranging between about 4 and 7.5%, the corresponding wage effects of firm-specific training are mostly insignificant. Using the more appropriate MDiD estimator, however, we find a more precise and highly significant wage effect of about 5–6%, though only for general training and not for firm-specific training. These results are consistent with standard human capital theory insofar as general training is associated with larger wage increases than firm-specific training. Furthermore, we conclude that firms may intend to use specific training to adjust to new job requirements, while career-relevant changes may be conditioned to general training.

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Notes

  1. The terms ‘training’ and ‘continuous training’ are used synonymously in this paper. By continuous training we mean the individual’s participation in job-related courses and seminars. These courses and seminars are either conducted internally (i.e. within the firm) or outside by external institutions and providers. Some examples of possible training measures are language courses, courses for improving technical skills, and computer courses.

  2. Valuable surveys on the effects of training on wages are provided by Bishop (1997) and Leuven (2004).

  3. Evidence for other European countries is rather sparse. See for France Goux and Maurin (2000), for Norway Schøne (2002), for Switzerland Gerfin (2004) and Gerfin et al. (2003), for the Netherlands Leuven and Oosterbeek (2002), and for Portugal Budria and Pereira (2004).

  4. Sometimes the estimated wage effects of continuous training appear to be quite unrealistic with respect to magnitude ranging from −62.5 to 52.9% (see e.g. Budria and Pereira 2004).

  5. See Loewenstein and Spletzer (1999) for an analogous approach using data from the National Longitudinal Survey of the Youth (NLSY).

  6. However, we use the data of the least recent training course in one of our robustness checks in Sect. 4.

  7. We use the natural logarithm of this income and exclude responses below 600 Euros to avoid implausible information in our sample of full-time employed males.

  8. The results remain unchanged when using educational degree instead of years of schooling.

  9. In the standard Mincer wage function, log wages is regressed on education and job experience (original and squared observations). The Mincer wage function is based upon the schooling function that assumes an exponential relation between wages and the years of schooling. For further details, see Mincer (1974), Chiswick (2003), and Heckman et al. (2006).

  10. We use tenure instead of total working experience. The reason for this proceeding is that experience cannot directly be observed in our data. We would have to approximate experience by individual’s age minus years of schooling minus 6 (the age at which children usually start schooling in Germany), which is a relatively imprecise measure of effective working experience.

  11. In our analysis, we use kernel weights to account for the closeness in outcomes of participants and non-participants.

  12. Re-weighting is necessary if the group of the treated individuals is larger than the group of controls due to oversampling of treated individuals. As this is not the case in our GSOEP data, we do not re-weight the sample.

  13. These matching estimators are commonly used in evaluative studies and are extensively described, for example, in Blundell and Costa Dias (2002), Blundell et al. (2005), Caliendo and Hujer (2006), Caliendo and Kopeinig (2006), and Cameron and Trivedi (2005).

  14. The question of whether all or almost all individuals in the control group are used depends on the choice of the kernel function (Calienedo and Kopeinig 2006).

  15. This bias does not completely diminish because due to unobserved characteristics training participants and non-participants are selected groups earning different wages, even in the absence of continuous training programs.

  16. We performed robustness checks on that. See Sect. 4 for details.

  17. The effects of the sector and regional dummies are not displayed in the Appendix. They are available from the authors upon request. Both sets of dummies show mostly insignificant coefficients.

  18. The fact that we observe relatively volatile wage effects of our measures for continuous training (and schooling), while the coefficients for our control variables remain quite stable in different model specifications, may not solely indicate an omitted variables bias. It can also be viewed as an indication for a selectivity bias.

  19. HS is a dummy variable, which equals one when the individual executes high-skilled white collar work or managerial activities. The variable SK equals one if the individual executes skilled blue or white collar work. The reference category is US which is equal to one if the individual executes unskilled blue or white collar work.

  20. The variable we use to get this information is the same as in the 2004 questionnaire. See Sect. 2 for details. We again regard individuals as participants in continuous training when they stated to have participated in professionally oriented courses.

  21. Plotting the density of the propensity score distribution reveals that the treated and control individuals differ. Especially in the higher propensity scores we have a quite substantial amount of treated observations but relatively few controls. Nevertheless, we can assure common support.

  22. The matched non-participants are drawn by performing the nearest neighbour matching as before (four nearest neighbours, replacement) for our three variables of interest.

  23. Alternatively, one may argue that differences in prosperity between firms affect their motivation to provide general or firm-specific training. Specifically, general training may be more likely to be offered by prosperous firms (e.g. as a kind of bonus), while firm-specific training may be offered by firms regardless whether they prosper or not. As a consequence, prosper firms offering general training may be more likely to pay higher wages than less prosper firms, which tend to offer firm-specific training. Although we are not able to explicitly control for establishment prosperity, we address this issue indirectly by controlling for firm size and regional affiliation.

  24. We decided not to use the first training course respondents could name, neither for the analysis nor for the sensitivity check. Here, the individuals are explicitly asked for the most recent or current course and we do not expect to see wage effects from that training, mostly because of the fact that this course may just have been finished or might even last.

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Acknowledgments

The authors gratefully acknowledge financial support from the German Research Foundation (DFG). In addition, we have benefited a lot from the discussions with Andreas Ammermueller, Todd Bradley, Bernd Fitzenberger, Dietmar Harhoff, Olaf Huebler, Eva Muthmann, and Stephan Lothar Thomsen whose suggestions have been of great value. We are also indebted to Todd Bradley for improving our English. Any remaining errors are, of course, our own.

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Correspondence to Michael Beckmann.

Appendix

Appendix

Table 6 Description of variables
Table 7 Descriptive statistics of the variables
Table 8 OLS estimates for the explanatory variables not displayed in Table 2
Table 9 Probit estimates of the propensity scores
Table 10 Matching estimators for an alternative specification of the dependent variables general and firm-specific training
Table 11 Matching estimators for different forms of continuous training on wages using information from the least recent training
Table 12 MDiD estimators resulting from different matching procedures
Fig. 1
figure 1

Yearly wage development of training participants, non-participants and matched controls. Note The matched non-participants are drawn from the nearest neighbour matching for CT, allowing for replacement and using the four closest matches. Source German Socio Economic Panel (waves 1997–2004), own calculations

Table 13 Yearly wage development of training participants, non-participants and matched controls

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Muehler, G., Beckmann, M. & Schauenberg, B. The returns to continuous training in Germany: new evidence from propensity score matching estimators. RMS 1, 209–235 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11846-007-0014-6

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