Central European Journal of Physics

, Volume 4, Issue 1, pp 58–72

Stock mechanics: Predicting recession in S&P500, DJIA and NASDAQ

  • Çağlar Tuncay

DOI: 10.1007/s11534-005-0006-6

Cite this article as:
Tuncay, Ç. centr.eur.j.phys. (2006) 4: 58. doi:10.1007/s11534-005-0006-6


Proposed in this paper is an original method assuming potential and kinetic energies for prices and for the conservation of their sum that has been developed for forecasting exchanges. Connections with a power law are shown. Semiempirical applications on the S&P500, DJIA, and NASDAQ predict a forthcoming recession in them. An emerging market, the Istanbul Stock Exchange index ISE-100 is found harboring a potential to continue to rise.


Potential and kinetic energy equations of motion power law oscillations crashes portfolio growths 

PACS (2006)



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Copyright information

© Central European Science Journals Warsaw and Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2006

Authors and Affiliations

  • Çağlar Tuncay
    • 1
  1. 1.Department of PhysicsMiddle East Technical UniversityAnkaraTurkey

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