Science in China Series E: Technological Sciences

, Volume 51, Issue 7, pp 1038–1048

Typhoon disaster zoning and prevention criteria—A double layer nested multi-objective probability model and its application

Article

Abstract

For prevention and mitigation of typhoon disasters in China, in this paper a double layer nested multi-objective probability model of typhoon disaster zoning and prevention criteria is proposed. The multivariate compound extreme value distribution (MCEVD) is used to predict the joint probability of seven typhoon characteristics and corresponding typhoon induced disasters. Predicted results can be used for both typhoon disaster zoning and corresponding prevention criteria along China coast.

Keywords

typhoon disaster zoning prevention criteria multivariate compound extreme value distribution stochastic simulation joint probability prediction 

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Copyright information

© Science in China Press and Springer-Verlag GmbH 2008

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Disaster Prevention Research InstituteOcean University of ChinaQingdaoChina
  2. 2.College of EngineeringOcean University of ChinaQingdaoChina
  3. 3.Hydrographic Bureau of Zhejiang ProvinceHangzhouChina

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