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Water Resources Management

, Volume 24, Issue 6, pp 1161–1194 | Cite as

An Operational Model for Support of Integrated Watershed Management

  • Predrag Prodanovic
  • Slobodan P. Simonovic
Article

Abstract

This paper presents a computer simulation-based methodology for operational support of integrated water resources management. The methodology is based on the systems approach, and use of feedback to capture physical and socio-economic processes occurring within a watershed. The approach integrates well established simulation models of physical processes with simulation models that describe socio-economic processes. The proposed methodology is illustrated by the evaluation of risk and vulnerability to changing climatic and socio-economic conditions in the Upper Thames watershed (south-western Ontario, Canada).The model results indicate that flooding in the watershed will be more severe as a result of climate change, while low flows are expected to remain at their current level. The most significant socio-economic factor in the Upper Thames watershed is water availability, shown to become under climate change a limiting factor for future growth and development.

Keywords

Integrated water resources management Continuous hydrologic modeling Climate change impact on hydrologic regime Flood and low flow frequency analysis Socio-economic modeling with system dynamics 

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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2009

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Riggs Engineering Ltd.LondonCanada
  2. 2.Department of Civil and Environmental EngineeringThe University of Western OntarioLondonCanada

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