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Water Resources Assessment at Piracicaba, Capivari and Jundiaí River Basins: A Dynamic Systems Approach

Abstract

The Piracicaba, Capivari, and Jundiaí River Basins (RB-PCJ) are mainly located in the State of São Paulo, Brazil. Using a dynamics systems simulation model (WRM-PCJ) to assess water resources sustainability, five 50-year simulations were run. WRM-PCJ was developed as a tool to aid decision and policy makers on the RB-PCJ Watershed Committee. The model has 254 variables. The model was calibrated and validated using available information from the 80s. Falkenmark Water Stress Index went from 1,403 m3 person − 1 year − 1 in 2004 to 734 m3 P − 1 year − 1 in 2054, and Xu Sustainability Index from 0.44 to 0.20. In 2004, the Keller River Basin Development Phase was Conservation, and by 2054 was Augmentation. The three criteria used to evaluate water resources showed that the watershed is at crucial water resources management turning point. The WRM-PCJ performed well, and it proved to be an excellent tool for decision and policy makers at RB-PCJ.

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Correspondence to Rodrigo Máximo Sánchez-Román.

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Sánchez-Román, R.M., Folegatti, M.V. & Orellana González, A.M.G. Water Resources Assessment at Piracicaba, Capivari and Jundiaí River Basins: A Dynamic Systems Approach. Water Resour Manage 24, 761–773 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-009-9470-x

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Keywords

  • Water stress
  • Water management
  • Watershed
  • Modeling