Topoi

, Volume 30, Issue 1, pp 39–45 | Cite as

Conditionals and Supposition-Based Reasoning

Article

Abstract

Case-based reasoning is a familiar method of evaluating sentences. But when applied to conditionals, it seems to lead to implausible conclusions. In this paper I argue that the problem arises from equating the probability of a conditional sentence on the evidential supposition of some condition with the conditional probability of the former, given the latter.

Keywords

Conditionals Supposition Case-based reasoning Probability 

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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2011

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Department of Philosophy, Logic and Scientific MethodLondon School of EconomicsLondonUK

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