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Theory and Decision

, Volume 85, Issue 3–4, pp 303–319 | Cite as

Ambiguous life expectancy and the demand for annuities

  • Hippolyte d’Albis
  • Emmanuel Thibault
Article
  • 102 Downloads

Abstract

In this paper, ambiguity aversion to uncertain survival probabilities is introduced in a static life-cycle model with a bequest motive to study the optimal demand for annuities. Provided that annuities’ return is sufficiently large, and notably when it is fair, positive annuitization is known to be the optimal strategy of ambiguity neutral individuals. Conversely, we show that the demand for annuities decreases with ambiguity aversion and that there exists a finite degree of aversion above which the demand is non-positive: the optimal strategy is then to either sell annuities short or to hold zero annuities if the former option is not available. To conclude, ambiguity aversion appears to be a relevant candidate for explaining the annuity puzzle.

Keywords

Demand for annuities Uncertain survival probabilities Ambiguity aversion 

Supplementary material

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Paris School of EconomicsCNRSParisFrance
  2. 2.Toulouse School of EconomicsCDED and University of PerpignanPerpignanFrance

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