The Journal of Supercomputing

, Volume 38, Issue 2, pp 143–154 | Cite as

Creative destruction of computing systems: analysis and modeling

  • Natali HritonenkoEmail author
  • Yuri Yatsenko


The paper analyzes the problem of rational replacement of computing systems. Such systems, especially high-performance computers, are expensive, but quickly become obsolete. A system analysis of the replacement problem is provided and the relevant modeling problems are identified and studied. The obtained results give certain rules for calculating the optimal lifetime of computing systems, which are based on the given rates of technological change in the related computer industry. Two simulation examples estimate the optimal lifetime of PCs and high-performance computers in the current US economy. The results are in good agreement with other recommendations and existing business practice.


Computing systems High-performance computers Technological change Economics of networks Vintage capital models Equipment lifetime Optimization 


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© Springer Science + Business Media, LLC 2006

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Department of MathematicsPrairie View A & M UniversityPrairie ViewUSA
  2. 2.College of Business and EconomicsHouston Baptist UniversityHoustonUSA

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