Small Business Economics

, Volume 24, Issue 4, pp 365–380 | Cite as

Success and Risk Factors in the Pre-Startup Phase

  • Marco van GelderenEmail author
  • Roy Thurik
  • Niels Bosma


Why does one person actually succeed in starting a business, while a second person gives up? In order to answer this question, a sample of 517 nascent entrepreneurs (people in the process of setting up a business) was followed over a three-year period. After this period, it was established that 195 efforts were successful and that 115 startup efforts were abandoned. Our research focuses on estimating the relative importance of a variety of approaches and variables in explaining pre-startup success. These influences are organized in terms of Gartner’s (Academy of Management Review 10(4), 696–706 [1985]) framework of new venture creation. This framework suggests that start-up efforts differ in terms of the characteristics of the individual(s) who start the venture, the organization that they create, the environment surrounding the new venture, and the process by which the new venture is started. Logistic regression analyses are run for the sample as a whole as well as for subgroups within the sample, namely for those with high ambition vs. low ambition and for those with substantial vs. limited experience. The results point to the importance of perceived risk of the market as a predictor of getting started vs. abandoning the startup effort.


performance survival nascent entrepreneurs start-ups 

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Copyright information

© Springer 2005

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Department of Management and International BusinessAlbany Campus Massey UniversityAucklandNew Zealand
  2. 2.Rotterdam School of Economics, Erasmus University, EIM Business and Policy Research Zoetermeer Max Planck Institute for Research into Economic Systems JenaRotterdamThe Netherlands
  3. 3.EIM Business and Policy ResearchAA ZoetermeerThe Netherlands

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