Skip to main content
Log in

The Effect of Loans on the Persistence and Attainment of Community College Students

  • Published:
Research in Higher Education Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This study informs public policies regarding the use of subsidized loans as financial aid for community college students. Using logistic regression, it analyzes the National Center for Education Statistics’ Beginning Postsecondary Students (BPS 90/94) data to predict persistence to the second year of college and associate’s degree attainment over five years. During the period under study, loans did not contribute to higher persistence and attainment rates. Loans are observed to have a negative effect on persistence and no effect on degree attainment. Estimates of the interaction effects of borrowing and income status are insignificant but demonstrate the need for further testing. The findings are attributed to a combination of the high uncertainty of degree completion among community college students and the negative affective component of indebtedness.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • S. Alon (2005) ArticleTitleModel mis-specification in assessing the impact of financial aid on academic outcomes Research in Higher Education 46 IssueID1 109–125 Occurrence Handle10.1007/s11162-004-6291-x

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • J. G. Altonji (1993) ArticleTitleThe demand for and return to education when education outcomes are uncertain Journal of Labor Economics 11 IssueID1 48–83 Occurrence Handle10.1086/298317

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • American Association of Community Colleges position on reauthorization of the Higher Education Act. (n.d.). Retrieved February 2, 2003, from http://www.aacc.nche.edu

  • T. L. Baker W. Velez (1996) ArticleTitleAccess to and opportunity in postsecondary education in the United States: A review Sociology of Education SI IssueIDSI 82–101

    Google Scholar 

  • J. P. Bean B. S. Metzner (1985) ArticleTitleA conceptual model of nontraditional undergraduate student attrition Review of Educational Research 55 IssueID4 485–540

    Google Scholar 

  • G. S. Becker (1976) The Economic Approach to Human Behavior University of Chicago Press Chicago

    Google Scholar 

  • G. S. Becker (1993) Human Capital EditionNumber3 University of Chicago Press Chicago

    Google Scholar 

  • S. Beekhoven U. Jong ParticleDe H. Hout ParticleVan (2002) ArticleTitleExplaining academic progress via combining concepts of integration theory and rational choice theory Research in Higher Education 43 IssueID5 577–600 Occurrence Handle10.1023/A:1020166215457

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Beginning Postsecondary Students Longitudinal Study Second Follow-up (BPS:90/94) Final Technical Report. (No. NCES 96–153)(1996). U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Washington, D.C

  • Berkner, L. (2000). Trends in Undergraduate Borrowing: Federal Student Loans in 1989–90, 1992–93, and 1995–96 (Statistical Analysis Report No. NCES 2000–151): U. S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics

  • Berkner, L., Berker, A., Rooney, K., and Katharin, P. (2002). Student Financing of Undergraduate Education: 1999–2000 (Statistical Analysis Report No. NCES 2002–167): U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics

  • L. Berkner S. Cuccaro-Alamin A. C. McCormick (1996) Descriptive Summary of 1989–90 Beginning Postsecondary Students: Five Years Later U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics Washington D.C.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bettinger, E. (2002). How Financial Aid Affects Persistence (manuscript): Case Western Reserve

  • E. Bradburn (2002) Short-term Enrollment in Postsecondary Education: Student Background and Institutional Differences in Reasons for Early Departure, 1996–98 U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics Washington, D.C.

    Google Scholar 

  • Burd, S. (2003, January 24). How much is too much? College groups are at odds over raising the limits on federal student loans. Chronicle of Higher Education, p. A18

  • A. F. Cabrera et al. (1990) ArticleTitleExploring the effects of ability to pay on persistence in college Review of Higher Education 13 IssueID3 303–336

    Google Scholar 

  • A. F. Cabrera A. Nora M. B. Castañeda (1992) ArticleTitleThe role of finances in the persistence process: A structural model Research in Higher Education 33 IssueID5 571–593 Occurrence Handle10.1007/BF00973759

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • A. F. Cabrera A. Nora M. B. Castañeda (1993) ArticleTitleCollege persistence: Structural equations modeling test of an integrated model of student retention Journal of Higher Education 64 IssueID2 123–139

    Google Scholar 

  • Challenging Times, Clear Choices: An Action Agenda for College Access and Success. (National Dialogue on Student Financial Aid)(2003). The College Board; Pathways to College Network

  • J. Cofer P. Somers (1999) A National Study of Persistence at Two-year Colleges (Conference Paper) American Educational Research Association Annual Meeting Montreal

    Google Scholar 

  • S. Cuccaro-Alamin S. P. Choy (1998) Postsecondary Financing Strategies: How Undergraduates Combine Work, Borrowing, and Attendance U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics Washington, D.C.

    Google Scholar 

  • J. S. Davis (2000) College Affordability: Overlooked Long-term Trends and Recent 50-State Patterns USA Group Foundation Indianapolis, Indiana

    Google Scholar 

  • S. L. DesJardins D. A. Ahlburg B. P. McCall (2002) ArticleTitleA temporal investigation of factors related to timely degree completion Journal of Higher Education 73 IssueID5 555–581

    Google Scholar 

  • Dowd, A. C. (2004, May 12). Income and Financial Aid Effects on Persistence and Degree Attainment in Public Colleges. Retrieved May 12, 2004, from http://epaa.asu.edu/epaa/v12n21/

  • S. Dynarski (2002a) ArticleTitleThe behavioral and distributional implications of aid for college American Economic Review 92 IssueID2 279–285

    Google Scholar 

  • S. Dynarski (2002b) Loans, Liquidity, and Schooling Decisions Harvard University Kennedy School of Government Boston, MA

    Google Scholar 

  • J. Elster (1986) Rational Choice New York University Press New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Gidjunis, J. (2004). Relatively few Students Complete Main Federal Financial-Aid Form, report says. Retrieved October 12, 2004, from http://chronicle.com

  • W. N. Grubb (1997) ArticleTitleThe returns to education in the sub-baccalaureate labor market, 1984–1990 Economics of Education Review 16 IssueID3 231–245

    Google Scholar 

  • J. Heckman (1979) ArticleTitleSample selection bias as specification error Econometrica 47 IssueID1 153–161

    Google Scholar 

  • D. E. Heller (1997) ArticleTitleStudent price response in higher education Journal of Higher Education 68 IssueID6 624–659

    Google Scholar 

  • D. E. Heller (1999) ArticleTitleThe effects of tuition and state financial aid on public college enrollment The Review of Higher Education 23 IssueID1 65–89

    Google Scholar 

  • M. J. Hilmer (1998) ArticleTitlePost-secondary fees and the decision to attend a university or a community college Journal of Public Economics 67 329–348 Occurrence Handle10.1016/S0047-2727(97)00075-3

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • D. G. Hippensteel E. P. St. John J. B. Starkey (1996) ArticleTitleInfluence of tuition and student aid on within-year persistence by adults in two-year colleges Community College Journal of Research and Practice 20 233–242

    Google Scholar 

  • L. Horn K. Peter K. Rooney (2002) Profile of Undergraduates in U.S. Secondary Educational Institutions: 1999–2000 U.S. Department of Education National Center for Education Statistics Washington D.C.

    Google Scholar 

  • D. W. Hosmer S. Lemeshow (2000) Applied Logistic Regression EditionNumber2 John Wiley and Sons New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Jackson, G. (1990). Financial aid, college entry, and affirmative action. American Journal of Education August: 523–550

  • T. J. Kane (1999) The Price of Admission: Rethinking How Americans Pay for College Brookings Institution Press Washington DC

    Google Scholar 

  • B. E. Kaufman (1999) ArticleTitleExpanding the behavioral foundations of labor economics Industrial and Labor Relations Review 52 IssueID3 361–392

    Google Scholar 

  • J. E. King (2002) Crucial Choices: How Students’ Financial Decisions Affect their Academic Success American Council on Education Washington, D.C

    Google Scholar 

  • S. M. Kipp SuffixIII D. V. Price J. K. Wohlford (2002) Unequal Opportunity: Disparities in College Access among the 50 States Lumina Foundation for Education Indianapolis, IN

    Google Scholar 

  • L. L. Leslie P. T. Brinkman (1988) The Economic Value of Higher Education American Council on Education New York

    Google Scholar 

  • D. M. Linsenmeier H. S. Rosen C. E. Rouse (2001) Financial Aid Packages and College Enrollment Decisions: An Econometric Case Study Princeton University, Industrial Relations Section Princeton, NJ

    Google Scholar 

  • J. S. Long (1997) Regression Models for Categorical and Limited Dependent Variables Sage Publications Thousand Oaks

    Google Scholar 

  • Long, J. S., and Freese, J. (2001a). Regression Models for Categorical Dependent Variables using Stata. Stata Press

  • Long, J. S., and Freese, J. (2001b). Spost Ado Files for Post-estimation Interpretation of Regression Models for Categorical and Limited Dependent Variables. Retrieved January 4, 2002, from http://www.indiana.edu/~jsl650/spost.htm

  • M. S. McPherson M. O. Schapiro (1998) The Student Aid Game: Meeting Need and Rewarding Talent in American Higher Education Princeton University Press Princeton

    Google Scholar 

  • S. Menard (1995) Applied Logistic Regression Analysis NumberInSeries(Vol. 07–106). Sage Publications Thousand Oaks

    Google Scholar 

  • J. P. Merisotis T. R. Wolanin (2000) Community College Financing: Strategies and Challenges .New Expeditions: Charting the Second Century of Community Colleges. Issues Paper No. 5 (No. 1523) American Association of Community Colleges Association of Community College Trustees Annapolis Junction, MD

    Google Scholar 

  • Millimet, D. (2001). What is the Difference between ‘Endogeneity’ and ‘Sample Selection’ Bias? Retrieved September 16, 2002, from http://www.stata.com/support/faqs/stat/bias.html

  • Monaghan, P. (2001). Researchers Note Correlation between Students’ Race and Willingness to take on College Loans. Retrieved April 17, 2001, from http://chronicle.com

  • A. Nora (2001–2002) ArticleTitleThe depiction of significant others in Tinto’s “rites of passage”: A reconceptualization of the influence of family and community in the persistence process Journal of College Student Retention 3 IssueID1 41–56

    Google Scholar 

  • A. Nora F. Horvath (1989) ArticleTitleFinancial assistance: Minority enrollments and persistence Education and Urban Society 21 IssueID3 299–311

    Google Scholar 

  • M. A. Olivas (1985) ArticleTitleFinancial aid packaging policies: Access and ideology Journal of Higher Education 56 IssueID4 462–475

    Google Scholar 

  • M. A. Olivas (1986) ArticleTitleFinancial aid and self-reports by disadvantaged students: The importance of being earnest Research in Higher Education 25 IssueID3 245–252 Occurrence Handle10.1007/BF00991789

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • M. B. Paulsen E. P. St. John (2002) ArticleTitleSocial class and college costs: Examining the financial nexus between college choice and persistence Journal of Higher Education 73 IssueID2 189–236

    Google Scholar 

  • C.-Y. J. Peng T.-S. H. So F. K. Stage E. P. St. John (2002) ArticleTitleThe use and interpretation of logistic regression in higher education journals: 1988–1999 Research in Higher Education 43 IssueID3 259–293 Occurrence Handle10.1023/A:1014858517172

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Policy of Choice: Expanding Student Options in Higher Education. (New Millennium Project on Higher Education Costs, Pricing, and Productivity)(2002). Institute for Higher Education Policy, Washington, D.C.

  • L. Rendón R. E. Jalomo A. Nora (2000) Theoretical considerations in the study of minority student retention in higher education J. M Braxton (Eds) Reworking the Student Departure Puzzle Vanderbilt University Press Nashville

    Google Scholar 

  • C. E. Rouse (1994) What to do after high school: The two-year versus four-year college enrollment decision R. G. Ehrenberg (Eds) Choices and Consequences ILR Press Ithaca, NY

    Google Scholar 

  • C. E. Rouse (1998) ArticleTitleDo two-year colleges increase overall educational attainment? Policy Analysis and Management 17 IssueID4 595–620

    Google Scholar 

  • L. D. Singell (2002) Come and Stay Awhile: Does Financial Aid Effect Enrollment and Retention at a Large Public University? University of Oregon Eugene, OR

    Google Scholar 

  • C. J. Skinner D. Holt T. M. F. Smith (Eds) (1989) Analysis of Complex Surveys John Wiley and Sons New York

    Google Scholar 

  • E. P. St. John (1990a) ArticleTitlePrice response in enrollment decisions Research in Higher Education 31 IssueID2 161–178 Occurrence Handle10.1007/BF00992260

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • E. P. St. John (1990b) ArticleTitlePrice response in persistence decision: An analysis of the High School and Beyond senior cohort Research in Higher Education 31 IssueID4 387–403 Occurrence Handle10.1007/BF00992274

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • E. P. St. John S. Andrieu J. Oescher J. B. Starkey (1994) ArticleTitleThe influence of student aid on within-year persistence by traditional college-age students in four-year colleges Research in Higher Education 35 IssueID4 455–480

    Google Scholar 

  • E. P. St. John A. F. Cabrera A. Nora E. H. Asker (2000) Economic influences on persistence reconsidered: How can finance research inform the reconceptualization of persistence models? J. M. Braxton (Eds) Reworking the Student Departure Puzzle Vanderbilt University Press Nashville

    Google Scholar 

  • E. P. St. John J. B. Starkey (1994) ArticleTitleThe influence of costs on persistence by traditional college-age students in community colleges Community College Journal of Research and Practice 18 201–213

    Google Scholar 

  • E. P. St. John J. B. Starkey (1995) ArticleTitleAn alternative to net price: Assessing the influence of prices and subsidies on within-year persistence Journal of Higher Education 66 IssueID2 156–186

    Google Scholar 

  • J. O. Stampen A. F. Cabrera (1988) ArticleTitleThe targeting and packaging of student aid and its effect on attrition Economics of Education Review 7 IssueID1 29–46

    Google Scholar 

  • Stata Programming Manual Release 7 (2001a). Stata Press, College Station, Texas

  • Stata User’s Guide Release 7 (2001b). Stata Press, College Station, Texas

  • S. L. Thomas R. H. Heck (2001) ArticleTitleAnalysis of large-scale secondary data in higher education research: Potential perils associated with complex sampling designs Research in Higher Education 42 IssueID5 517–540 Occurrence Handle10.1023/A:1011098109834

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • V. Tinto (1975) ArticleTitleDropout from higher education: A theoretical synthesis of recent research Review of Educational Research 45 IssueID1 89–125

    Google Scholar 

  • V. Tinto (1987) Leaving College: Rethinking the Causes and Cures of Student Attrition EditionNumber2 University of Chicago Press Chicago

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Alicia C. Dowd.

Additional information

Earlier versions of this paper were presented at the American Education Finance Association Annual Meeting (Austin, Texas, March, 2000) and at the AIR Forum (Cincinnati, Ohio, May 2000). It has also appeared as a working paper of the Institute for Higher Education Law and Governance at the University of Houston, Texas (IHELG Monograph 01–07).This paper is based upon work supported by the Association for Institutional Research, the National Center for Education Statistics and the National Science Foundation under Association for Institutional Research Grant No. 99-128-0.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Dowd, A.C., Coury, T. The Effect of Loans on the Persistence and Attainment of Community College Students. Res High Educ 47, 33–62 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11162-005-8151-8

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11162-005-8151-8

Keywords

Navigation