Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting

, Volume 33, Issue 2, pp 91–111

Analysts’ recommendations: from which signal does the market take its lead?

Original Research

DOI: 10.1007/s11156-009-0107-1

Cite this article as:
Brown, R., Chan, H.W.H. & Ho, Y.K. Rev Quant Finan Acc (2009) 33: 91. doi:10.1007/s11156-009-0107-1

Abstract

The stock market may respond to the difference between an analyst’s recommendation and that analyst’s previous recommendation and/or to the difference between the analyst’s recommendation and the consensus recommendation. We show that for the short-term market response the former is the clearer signal when both are examined simultaneously. We also show that the market’s reaction is strongly influenced by the analyst’s reputation, the divergence of opinion among analysts and the number of analysts following the stock. Previous studies have been hampered by having a low proportion of negative recommendations. We overcome this deficiency by studying the Australian market, in which institutional differences lead to analysts releasing many more negative recommendations.

Keywords

Analysts’ recommendations Market consensus Signal metrics 

JEL Classification

G14 

Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2009

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Department of FinanceUniversity of MelbourneParkvilleAustralia
  2. 2.Department of Accounting, School of BusinessNational University of SingaporeSingaporeSingapore

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