The Interaction between Mortgage Financing and Housing Prices in Greece

Article

Abstract

Although the close empirical relationship between the evolution of mortgage lending and housing prices is well established in the literature, the direction of causation is less clear from a theoretical standpoint. We apply multivariate cointegration techniques in order to address this issue empirically for the Greek economy. Our results, based on a cointegration relationship that we identify as a mortgage loan demand equation, indicate that housing prices do not adjust to disequilibria in the market for housing loans. This suggests that in the long run the causation does not run from mortgage lending to housing prices. In the short run we find evidence of a contemporaneous bi-directional dependence.

Keywords

Housing loans Housing prices Multivariate cointegration 

Notes

Acknowledgments

We would like to thank Heather Gibson, Dora Kosma and Nikos Magginas for helpful comments and discussions, and Vassilis Georgakopoulos for sharing his interest rate series. Helpful comments from two anonymous referees are also gratefully acknowledged. The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the Bank of Greece.

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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2008

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Economic Research DepartmentBank of GreeceAthensGreece
  2. 2.Department of EconomicsUniversity of PiraeusPiraeusGreece

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