Financial statement comparability and credit risk
- 3.8k Downloads
- 26 Citations
Abstract
Prior research shows that firms’ financial statement comparability improves the accuracy of market participants’ valuation judgments and thus may reduce firms’ costs of capital. Distinct from prior research focusing on the equity market, we develop measures of comparability relevant to debt market participants based on the within-industry variability of Moody’s adjustments to reported accounting numbers for the purposes of credit rating. We examine two sets of adjustments: (1) to the interest coverage ratio and (2) to non-recurring income items. We validate these comparability measures by providing evidence that greater comparability is associated with lower frequency and magnitude of split ratings by credit rating agencies. We predict and find that greater comparability is associated with (1) lower estimated bid-ask spreads for traded bonds, (2) lower credit spreads for both bonds and five-year credit default swaps, and (3) a steeper one- to five-year credit default swap term structure. Our results are consistent with financial statement comparability reducing debt market participants’ uncertainty about and pricing of firms’ credit risk.
Keywords
Comparability Corporate credit risk Credit rating agency Bond market liquidityJEL Classification
M41 G32 G24Notes
Acknowledgments
We thank Brian Akins, Navneet Arora (the discussant), Karthik Balakrishnan, Anne Beatty, Gus De Franco, Mirko Heinle, Cathy Schrand, Minye Tang, Lakshmanan Shivakumar (the editor), and Rodrigo Verdi. We also thank participants at the RAST 2012 conference and at the CFEA 2012 conference, as well as workshop participants at the University of Missouri, the University of Pennsylvania, Tel Aviv University, New York University summer camp, and Quantitative Management Associates for constructive feedback, questions and suggestions. We gratefully acknowledge the financial support provided by NYU Stern School of Business and University of Pennsylvania Wharton School of Business. Kim gratefully acknowledges financial support from the Samsung Scholarship.
References
- Akins, B. (2012). Financial reporting quality and uncertainty about credit risk among the ratings agencies. Working Paper.Google Scholar
- Akins, B., Ng, J., & Verdi, R. (2012). Investor competition over information and the pricing of information asymmetry. The Accounting Review, 87(1), 35–58.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Altman, E. I. (1968). Financial ratios, discriminant analysis and the prediction of corporate bankruptcy. The Journal of Finance, 23(4), 589–609.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Armstrong, C. S., Core, J. E., Taylor, D. J., & Verrecchia, R. E. (2011). When does information asymmetry affect the cost of capital?. Journal of Accounting Research, 49(1), 1–40.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Arora, N., Richardson, S., & Tuna, I. (2011). Asset measurement uncertainty and credit term-structure. Working Paper.Google Scholar
- Baiman, S., & Verrecchia, R. E. (1996). The relation among capital markets, financial disclosure, production efficiency, and insider trading. Journal of Accounting Research, 34(1), 1–22.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Ball, R., Jayaraman, S., & Shivakumar, L. (2012). Mark-to-market accounting and information asymmetry in banks. Working Paper.Google Scholar
- Ball, R., Robin, A., & Wu, J. S. (2003). Incentives versus standards: Properties of accounting income in four east asian countries. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 36(1-3), 235–270.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Ball, R., & Shivakumar, L. (2006). The role of accruals in asymmetrically timely gain and loss recognition. Journal of Accounting Research, 44(2), 207–242.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Bao, J., Pan, J., & Wang, J. (2011). The illiquidity of corporate bonds. Journal of Finance, 66(3), 911–946.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Barth, M., Hodder, L. D., & Stubben, S. E. (2008). Fair value accounting for liabilities and own credit risk. The Accounting Review, 83(3), 629–664.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Barth, M., Landsman, W. R., Lang, M., & Williams, C. (2012). Are IFRS-based and US GAAP-based accounting amounts comparable?. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 54(1), 68–93.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Batta, G., Ganguly, A., & Rosner, J. (2012). Financial statement recasting and credit risk assessment. Working Paper.Google Scholar
- Beaver, W. H. (1966). Financial ratios as predictors of failure. Journal of Accounting Research, 4, 71–111.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Beaver, W. H., Correia, M., & McNichols, M. F. (2010). Financial statement analysis and the prediction of financial distress. Foundations and Trends in Accounting, 5(2), 99–173.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Berger, P. G., & Hann, R. N. (2007). Segment profitability and the proprietary and agency costs of disclosure. The Accounting Review, 82(4), 869–906.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Bharath, S. T., Sunder, J., & Sunder, S. V. (2008). Accounting quality and debt contracting. The Accounting Review, 83(1), 1–28.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Bhojraj, S., & Lee, C. (2002). Who is my peer? A valuation-based approach to the selection of comparable firms. Journal of Accounting Research, 40(2), 407–439.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Blume, M. E., Lim, F., & Mackinley, A. C. (2006). The declining credit quality of US corporate debt: Myth or reality?. Journal of Finance, 53(4), 1389–1413.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Bradshaw, M. T., Bushee, B. J., & Miller, G. S. (2004). Accounting choice, home bias, and US investment in non-US firms. Journal of Accounting Research, 42(5), 795–841.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Bradshaw, M. T., Miller, G. S., & Serafeim, G. (2009). Accounting method heterogeneity and analysts’ forecasts. Working Paper.Google Scholar
- Cantor, R., & Packer, F. (1997). Differences of opinion and selection bias in the credit rating industry. Journal of Banking & Finance, 21(10), 1395–1417.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Chen, L., Lesmond, D. A., & Wei, J. (2007). Corporate yield spreads and bond liquidity. Journal of Finance, 62(1), 119–149.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Cheng, L. (2012). Loan loss provisioning and differences of opinion. Working Paper.Google Scholar
- Collin-Dufresne, P., Goldstein, R. S., & Martin, J. S. (2001). The determinants of credit spread changes. The Journal of Finance, 56(6), 2177–2207.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Copeland, T. E., & Galai, D. (1983). Information effects on the bid-ask spread. The Journal of Finance, 38(5), 1457–1469.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Damodaran, A. (2012). Investment valuation: Tools and techniques for determining the value of any asset (2 ed.). Hoboken, NJ: Wiley.Google Scholar
- De Franco, G., Kothari, S., & Verdi, R. S. (2011a). The benefits of financial statement comparability. Journal of Accounting Research, 49(4), 895–931.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- De Franco, G., Wong, F., & Zhou, Y. (2011b). Accounting adjustments and the valuation of financial statement note information in 10-K filings. The Accounting Review, 86(5), 1577–1604.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Dechow, P. M., & Dichev, I. D. (2002). The quality of accruals and earnings: The role of accrual estimation errors. The Accounting Review, 77, 35–59.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Dechow, P. M., Sloan, R. G., & Sweeney, A. P. (1995). Detecting earnings management. The Accounting Review, 70(2), 193–225.Google Scholar
- Diamond, D. W., & Verrecchia, R. E. (1991). Disclosure, liquidity, and the cost of capital. The Journal of Finance, 46(4), 1325–1359.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Dichev, I. D., & Piotroski, J. D. (2001). The long-run stock returns following bond ratings changes. Journal of Finance, 56(1), 173–203.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Dick-Nielsen, J. (2009). Liquidity biases in TRACE. Journal of Fixed Income, 19(2), 43–55.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Dick-Nielsen, J., Feldhuetter, P., & Lando, D. (2012). Corporate bond liquidity before and after the onset of the subprime crisis. Journal of Financial Economics, 103(3), 471–492.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Doidge, C., Karolyi, G. A., & Stulz, R. M. (2004). Why are foreign firms listed in the US worth more?. Journal of Financial Economics, 71(2), 205–238.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Duffie, D., & Lando, D. (2001). Term structures of credit spreads with incomplete accounting information. Econometrica, 69(3), 633–664.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Ederington, L. H. (1986). Why split ratings occur. Financial Management, 15(1), 37–47.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Elton, E. J., Gruber, M. J. Agrawal, D., & Mann, C. (2001). Explaining the rate spread on corporate bonds. Journal of Finance, 56(1), 247–278.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Fang, V. W., M. Maffett, & B. Zhang (2012). The effect of foreign institutional investment on financial reporting comparability. Working Paper.Google Scholar
- FASB. (2010). Statement of financial accounting concepts no. 8. Conceptual framework for finanical reporting.Google Scholar
- Glosten, L. R., & Milgrom, P. R. (1985). Bid, ask and transaction prices in a specialist market with heterogeneously informed traders. Journal of Financial Economics, 14(1), 71–100.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Gow, I. D., Taylor, D., & Verrecchia, R. (2011). Disclosure and the cost of capital: Evidence of information complementarities. Working Paper.Google Scholar
- Gu, Z., & Chen, T. (2004). Analysts’ treatment of nonrecurring items in street earnings. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 38(1), 129–170.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Hand, J. R. M., Holthausen, R. W., & Leftwich, R. W. (1992). The effect of bond rating agency announcements on bond and stock prices. Journal of Finance, 47(2), 733–752.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Healy, P. M., Hutton, A. P., & Palepu, K. G. (1999). Stock performance and intermediation changes surrounding sustained increases in disclosure. Contemporary Accounting Research, 16(3), 485–520.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Hillegeist, S. A., Keating, E. K., Cram, D. P., & Lundstedt, K. G. (2004). Assessing the probability of bankruptcy. Review of Accounting Studies, 9(1), 5–34.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Holthausen, R. W., & Leftwich, R. W. (1986). The effect of bond rating changes on common stock prices. Journal of Financial Economics, 17(1), 57–89.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Huang, J., & Huang, M. (2012). How much of the corporate-treasury yield spread is due to credit risk?. Review of Asset Pricing Studies, 2(2), 153–202.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Jones, J. (1991). Earnings management during import relief investigations. Journal of Accounting Research, 29(2), 193–228.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Joos, P., & Lang, M. (1994). The effects of accounting diversity: Evidence from the European Union. Journal of Accounting Research, 32, 141–168.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Jorion, P., Liu, Z., & Shi, C. (2005). Informational effects of Regulation FD: Evidence from rating agencies. Journal of Financial Economics, 76(2), 309–330.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Jorion, P., & Zhang, G. (2007). Good and bad credit contagion: Evidence from credit default swaps. Journal of Financial Economics, 84(3), 860–883.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Kaplan, R. S., & Urwitz, G. (1979). Statistical models of bond ratings: A methodological inquiry. Journal of Business, 52(2), 231–61.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Khanna, T., Palepu, K. G., & Srinivasan, S. (2004). Disclosure practices of foreign companies interacting with US markets. Journal of Accounting Research, 42(2), 475–508.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Kim, O., & Verrecchia, R. E. (1994). Market liquidity and volume around earnings announcements. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 17(12), 41–67.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Kothari, S., Leone, A. J., & Wasley, C. E. (2005). Performance matched discretionary accrual measures. Journal of Accounting & Economics, 39(1), 163–197.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Kraft, P. (2010). Rating agency adjustments to GAAP financial statements and their effect on ratings and bond yields. Working Paper.Google Scholar
- Kyle, A. S. (1985). Continuous auctions and insider trading. Econometrica, 53(6), 1315–1335.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Lambert, R., Leuz, C., & Verrecchia, R. E. (2007). Accounting information, disclosure, and the cost of capital. Journal of Accounting Research, 45(2), 385–420.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Lambert, R. A., Leuz, C., & Verrecchia, R. E. (2012). Information asymmetry, information precision, and the cost of capital. Review of Finance, 16(1), 1–29.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Land, J., & Lang, M. H. (2002). Empirical evidence on the evolution of international earnings. The Accounting Review, 77, 115–133.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Leftwich, R. (1983). Accounting information in private markets: Evidence from private lending agreements. The Accounting Review, 58(1), 23–42.Google Scholar
- Leuz, C. (2003). IAS versus US GAAP: Information asymmetry-based evidence from Germany’s New Market. Journal of Accounting Research, 41(3), 445–472.Google Scholar
- Leuz, C., & Verrecchia, R. E. (2000). The economic consequences of increased disclosure. Journal of Accounting Research, 38(Supplement), 91–124.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Li, N. (2010). Negotiated measurement rules in debt contracts. Journal of Accounting Research, 48(5), 1103–1144.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Livingston, M., Naranjo, A., & Zhou, L. (2007). Asset opaqueness and split bond ratings. Financial Management, 36(3), 49–62.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Longstaff, F. A., Mithal, S., & Neis, E. (2005). Corporate yield spreads: Default risk or liquidity? new evidence from the credit default swap market. Journal of Finance, 60(5), 2213–2253.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Mansi, S. A., Maxwell, W. F., & Miller, D. P. (2004). Does auditor quality and tenure matter to investors? Evidence from the bond market. Journal of Accounting Research, 42(4), 755–793.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Moody’s. (2006). Moody’s approach to global standard adjustments in the analysis of financial statements for non-financial corporations—part I.Google Scholar
- Morgan, D. P. (2002). Rating banks: Risk and uncertainty in an opaque industry. The American Economic Review, 92(4), 874–888.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Patell, J. M. (1979). The API and the design of experiments. Journal of Accounting Research, 17(2), 528–549.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Roll, R. (1984). A simple implicit measure of the effective bid-ask spread in an efficient market. The Journal of Finance, 39(4), 1127–1139.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Standard & Poor’s. (2008). Corporate ratings criteria.Google Scholar
- Welker, M. (1995). Disclosure policy, information asymmetry, and liquidity in equity markets. Contemporary Accounting Research, 11(2), 801–827.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Yu, F. (2005). Accounting transparency and the term structure of credit spreads. Journal of Financial Economics, 75(1), 53–84.CrossRefGoogle Scholar