Quality & Quantity

, Volume 52, Issue 3, pp 1069–1079 | Cite as

A multiplicative process for generating the rank-order distribution of UK election results

Article

Abstract

Human dynamics and sociophysics suggest statistical models that may explain and provide us with a better understanding of social phenomena. Here we propose a generative multiplicative decrease model that gives rise to a rank-order distribution and allows us to analyse the results of the last three UK parliamentary elections. We provide empirical evidence that the additive Weibull distribution, which can be generated from our model, is a close fit to the electoral data, offering a novel interpretation of the recent election results.

Keywords

Election results Generative model Multiplicative process Rank-order distribution Additive Weibull distribution 

Notes

Acknowledgements

We would like to thank Muawya Eldaw, who preprocessed the election data sets.

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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2017

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Department of Computer Science and Information SystemsBirkbeck, University of LondonLondonUK

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