Journal of Productivity Analysis

, Volume 35, Issue 1, pp 25–35 | Cite as

From college to the pros: predicting the NBA amateur player draft

  • David J. BerriEmail author
  • Stacey L. Brook
  • Aju J. Fenn


The reverse-order amateur draft is an institution common to each of the major North American professional team sports. The draft is designed to give the weaker teams access to the future stars of the sport. The focus of our inquiry is how information on amateur player performance is employed by decision-makers in one sport, the National Basketball Association. Our analysis will suggest that future NBA players who score in college will see their draft position improved. This focus, though, appears to impair the ability of poor teams to improve.


Sports economics Reverse-order drafts Behavior economics 

JEL Classification

J44 L83 


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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2010

Authors and Affiliations

  • David J. Berri
    • 1
    Email author
  • Stacey L. Brook
    • 2
  • Aju J. Fenn
    • 3
  1. 1.Department of Economics and FinanceSouthern Utah UniversityCedar CityUSA
  2. 2.Department of Economics, Tippie School of BusinessUniversity of IowaIowa CityUSA
  3. 3.Department of Economics and BusinessColorado CollegeColorado SpringsUSA

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