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Nonlinear Dynamics

, Volume 85, Issue 3, pp 1547–1560 | Cite as

Analysis of global terrorism dynamics by means of entropy and state space portrait

  • António M. LopesEmail author
  • J. A. Tenreiro Machado
  • Maria Eugénia Mata
Original Paper

Abstract

This paper studies the global terrorism dynamics over the period 1970–2014. Data about terrorist events are analyzed by means of several mathematical tools, namely fractal dimension, entropy, state space portrait and multidimensional scaling, that reflect the dynamics in time and space. In a first phase, we consider worldwide events and we unveil the space–time characteristics exhibited by the global terrorism statistics. In a second phase, we group the events into eight geographic regions, and we analyze terrorism dynamics in a regional perspective. Finally, in a third phase, we adopt a complementary analysis of global terrorism based on multidimensional scaling and clustering techniques. The proposed methodology reveals to support new directions for exploring terrorism data.

Keywords

Dynamical systems Entropy Fractal dimension State space portrait Multidimensional scaling Terrorism 

Notes

Acknowledgments

The authors acknowledge the National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START) for the Global Terrorism Database (http://www.start.umd.edu/gtd).

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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2016

Authors and Affiliations

  • António M. Lopes
    • 1
    Email author
  • J. A. Tenreiro Machado
    • 2
  • Maria Eugénia Mata
    • 3
  1. 1.UISPA–LAETA/INEGI, Faculty of EngineeringUniversity of PortoPortoPortugal
  2. 2.Department of Electrical Engineering, Institute of EngineeringPolytechnic of PortoPortoPortugal
  3. 3.Faculdade de Economia, Nova SBEUniversidade Nova de LisboaLisbonPortugal

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