Natural Hazards

, Volume 71, Issue 3, pp 1617–1638 | Cite as

The reconstruction of a glacial lake outburst flood using HEC-RAS and its significance for future hazard assessments: an example from Lake 513 in the Cordillera Blanca, Peru

  • Jan Klimeš
  • Miroslava Benešová
  • Vít Vilímek
  • Petr Bouška
  • Alejo Cochachin Rapre
Original Paper

Abstract

In April 2010, an ice/rockfall into Lake 513 triggered a glacial lake outburst flood (GLOF) along the Chucchun River in the Cordillera Blanca of Peru. This paper reconstructs the hydrological characteristics of this as yet undocumented event using a 1D flood model prepared with HEC-RAS. The principle model inputs were obtained during detailed field surveys of surface characteristics and topography within the river and across the adjacent floodplain; a total of 120 cross-sections were surveyed. These inputs were refined further by eyewitness accounts and additional geomorphological observations. The flood modelling has enabled us to constrain the extent of the water surface and its elevation at each cross-section in addition to defining the peak discharge (580 m3 s−1). These modelling results show good agreement with other information about the flood including: flood marks and minimum flood levels; the lake displacement wave height; the extent of the flooded area; and the travel time from Lake 513 to the confluence with the Santa River. This demonstrates that the model offers a reliable reconstruction of the basic hydrological characteristics of the GLOF. It provides important information about the flood intensity and significantly improves our ability to model future flood scenarios along both the studied river and within neighbouring catchments. The flood hazard, defined by the flood depth during peak discharge, shows that the majority of the damaged infrastructure (houses, bridges, and a drinking water treatment plant) was only subjected to low or medium flood intensities (defined by a maximum water depth of less than 2 m). These low flood intensities help to explain why the flooding caused comparatively minor damage despite the significant public attention it attracted.

Keywords

GLOFs Debris flow Natural hazard HEC-RAS Cordillera Blanca Peru 

Notes

Acknowledgments

The authors wish to acknowledge the financial support provided by the Czech Science Foundation (Grant No. P209/11/1000).

Supplementary material

11069_2013_968_MOESM1_ESM.pdf (50 kb)
Supplementary material 1 (PDF 49 kb)
11069_2013_968_MOESM2_ESM.sdf (169 kb)
Supplementary material 2 (SDF 169 kb)
11069_2013_968_MOESM3_ESM.pdf (32 kb)
Supplementary material 3 (PDF 32 kb)

References

  1. Awal R, Nakagawa H, Kawaike K, Baba Y, Zhang H (2011) Study on moraine dam failure and resulting flood/debris flow hydrograph due to waves overtopping and erosion. In: Proceedings of the international conference on debris-flow hazards mitigation: mechanics, prediction, and assessment, Padua, Italy, 14–17 June 2011, 3–12Google Scholar
  2. Bajracharya B, Shrestha AB, Rajbhandari L (2007) Glacial lake outburst floods in the Sagarmatha region. Mt Res Dev 27:336–344CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  3. Bohorquez P, Darby SE (2008) The use of one- and two-dimensional hydraulic modelling to reconstruct a glacial outburst flood in a steep Alpine valley. J Hydrol 361:240–261CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  4. Bolch T, Buchroithner MF, Peters J, Bassler M, Bajracharya S (2008) Identification of glacier motion and potentially dangerous glacial lakes in the Mt. Everest region/Nepal using spaceborne imagery. Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci 8:1329–1340CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  5. Brunner GW (2010) HEC-RAS river analysis system hydraulic reference manual. US Army Corps of Engineers, Hydrologic Engineering CenterGoogle Scholar
  6. Carey M (2010) In the shadow of melting glaciers—climate change and Andean Society. Oxford University Press, OxfordCrossRefGoogle Scholar
  7. Carey M, Huggel Ch, Bury J, Portocarrero C, Haeberli W (2012) An integrated socio-environmental framework for glacier hazard management and climate change adaptation: lessons from Lake 513, Cordillera Blanca, Peru. Clim Chang 112:733–767CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  8. Carrivick JL (2006) Application of 2D hydrodynamic modelling to high-magnitude outburst floods: an example from Kverkfjöll, Iceland. J Hydrol 321:187–199CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  9. Cenderelli DA, Wohl EE (2001) Peak discharge estimates of glacial-lake outburst floods and “normal” climatic floods in the Mount Everest region, Nepal. Geomorphology 40:57–90CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  10. Chow TV (1959) Open channel hydraulics. McGraw-Hill, New YorkGoogle Scholar
  11. Clague JJ, Mathews WH (1973) The magnitude of jökulhlaups. J Glaciol 12:501–504Google Scholar
  12. Clauge JJ, Evans SG (2000) A review of catastrophic drainage of moraine-dammed lakes in British Columbia. Quat Sci Rev 19:1763–1783CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  13. Costa JE, Schuster RL (1988) The formation and failure of natural dams. Geol Soc Am Bull 100:1054–1068CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  14. Dussaillant A, Benito G, Buytaert W, Carling P, Meier C, Espinoza F (2010) Repeated glacial-lake outburst floods in Patagonia: an increasing hazard? Nat Hazards 54:469–481CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  15. Emmer A (2011) The analysis of moraine-dammed lake destructions. BSc Thesis, Charles University in PragueGoogle Scholar
  16. Emmer A, Cochachin A (2013) Causes and mechanisms of moraine dammed lake failures in Cordillera Blanca (Peru), North American Cordillera, and Central Asia. AUC Geogr 48:5–15Google Scholar
  17. Emmer A, Vilímek V, Klimeš J, Cochachin A (2014) Glacier retreat, lakes develoment and associated natural hazards in Cordilera Blanca, Peru. In: Shan W, Guo Y, Wang F, Marui H, Strom A (eds) Landslides in cold regions in the context of climate change, Springer, pp 231–252. doi: 10.1007/978-3-319-00867-7_17
  18. Evans SG, Clague JJ (1994) Recent climatic change and catastrophic geomorphic processes in mountain environments. Geomorphology 10:107–128CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  19. Haeberli W (2013) Mountain permafros – research frontiers and a special long-term change. Cold Reg Sci Technol 96:71–76. doi: 10.1016/j.coldregions.2013.02.004 Google Scholar
  20. Hubbard B, Heald A, Reynolds JM, Quincey D, Richardson SD, Luyo MZ, Portilla NS, Hambrey MJ (2005) Impact of a rock avalanche on a moraine-dammed proglacial lake: Laguna Safuna Alta, Cordillera Blanca, Peru. Earth Surf Process Landf 30:1251–1264CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  21. Huggel C, Kääb A, Haeberli W, Krummenacher B (2003) Regional-scale GIS-models for assessment of hazards from glacier lake outbursts: evaluation and application in the Swiss Alps. Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci 3:647–662CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  22. Huggel C, Cochachin A, Frey H, García J, Giráldez C, Gómez J, Haeberli W, Ludeña S, Portocarrero C, Price K, Rohrer M, Salzmann N, Schleiss A, Schneider D, Silvestre E (2012) Integrated assessment of high mountain hazards, related risk reduction and climate change adaptation strategies in Peruvian Cordilleras. In: Extended abstracts of international disaster and risk conference, Davos, Switzerland, 26–30 August, 329–332Google Scholar
  23. Jarrett RD (1992) Hydraulics of Mountain Rivers. In: Yen BC (ed) Channel flow resistance—centennial of manning’s formula: international conference for the centennial of manning’s and Kuichling’s rational formula. Water Resources Publications, Littleton, CO, pp 287–298Google Scholar
  24. Kershaw JA, Clauge JJ, Evans SG (2005) Geomorphic and sedimentological signature of a two-phase outburst flood from moraine-dammed Queen Bess Lake, British Columbia, Canada. Earth Surf Process Landf 30:1–25CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  25. Lateltin O, Haemmig Ch, Raetzo H, Bonnard Ch (2005) Landslide risk management in Switzerland. Landslides 2:313–320CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  26. Lliboutry L, Morales BA, Pautre A, Schneider B (1977) Glaciological problems set by the control of dangerous lakes in Cordillera Blanca, Peru, historical failures of moranic dams, their causes and prevention. J Glaciol 18:239–254Google Scholar
  27. Loat R, Petrascheck A (1997) Berücksichtigung der Hochwassergefahren bei raumwirksamen Tätigkeiten. Empfehlungen 1997, BWW/BRP/BUWAL. http://www.bafu.admin.ch/publikationen/publikation/00786 (in German)
  28. Matoušek V, Hejduková L, Krupička J, Sklenář P (2011) Sběr a zpracování dat z polního měření k určení hydraulické drsnosti koryta (Acquisition and processing of information from field measurements for channel hydraulic roughness estimation). ČVUT, Prague (in Czech)Google Scholar
  29. Narama C, Duishonakunov M, Kääb A, Daiyrov M, Abdrakhmatov K (2010) The 24 July 2008 outburst flood at the western Zyndan glacier lake and recent regional changes in glacier lakes of the Teskey Ala-Too range, Tien Shan, Kyrgyzstan. Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci 10:647–659CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  30. Novotný J, Klimeš J (submitted) The mechanical properties of soils within the Cordillera Blanca, Peru: an overlooked factor in determining moraine dam stability. J Mt SciGoogle Scholar
  31. Plafker G, Ericksen GE (1978) Nevados Huascaran avalanches, Peru. In: Voight B (ed) Rockslides and avalanches: natural phenomena. Elsevier, Amsterdam, pp 277–314CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  32. Reynolds JM, Dolecki A, Portocarrero C (1998) The construction of a drainage tunnel as part of glacial lake hazard mitigation at Hualcán, Cordillera Blanca, Peru. In: Maund J, Eddleston M (eds) Geohazards in engineering geology. Geological Society Engineering Group Special Publication No. 15, pp 41–48Google Scholar
  33. Schneider D, Frey H, García J, Giráldez C, Guillén S, Haeberli W, Huggel Ch, Rohrer M, Salzmann N, Schleiss A (2012) Climate change adaptation and disaster risk reduction due to glacial recession in the Cordillera Blanca, Peru, unpublished report, University of ZurichGoogle Scholar
  34. Somos-Valenzuela M, McKinney DC (2011) Modeling a glacial lake outburst flood (GLOF) from Palcacocha Lake, Peru. http://www.caee.utexas.edu/prof/mckinney/research/high-mountain-glacial-water/reports.html. Accessed 06.05.2013
  35. Valderrama MP, Vilca O (2010) Dinámica del aluvión de la Laguna 513, Cordillera Blanca, Ancash Perú: primeros alcances. Congreso Peruano de Geología, Cusco, PE. 27th September-1st October 2010. Extended abstracts, Sociedad Geológica del Perú, Lima, pp 336–341Google Scholar
  36. Valderrama MP, Cádenas J, Carlotto V (2007) Simulación FLOW 2D en las ciudades Urubamba y Ollantantambo, Cusco. Sociedad Geológica del Perú, Boletín 102:43–62Google Scholar
  37. Vilímek V, Zapata ML, Klimeš J, Patzelt Z, Santillán N (2005) Influence of glacial retreat on natural hazards of the Palcacocha Lake area, Peru. Landslides 2:107–115CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  38. Walder JS, Costa JE (1996) Outburst floods from glacier-dammed lakes: the effect of mode of lake drainage on food magnitude. Earth Surf Process Landf 21:701–723CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  39. Wang X, Liu S, Guo W, Xu J (2008) Assessment and simulation of glacier lake outburst floods for Longbasaba and Pida lakes, China. Mt Res Dev 28:310–317CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  40. Wilson J, Reyes L, Garayar J (1995) Geología de los cuadrángulos de Pallasca, Tayabamba, Corongo, Pomabamba, Carhuaz y Huari, Boletín No. 16, Boletín No. 60, INGEMET, LimaGoogle Scholar
  41. Worni R, Stoffel M, Huggel CH, Volz C, Casteller A, Luckman B (2012) Analysis and dynamic modeling of a moraine failure and glacier lake outburst flood at Ventisquero Negro, Patagonian Andes (Argentina). J Hydrol 11:134–145CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  42. Yochum SE, Bledsoe BP, David GCL, Wohl E (2012) Velocity prediction in high-gradient channels. J Hydrol 424–425:84–98CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  43. Zapata ML (2002) La dinamica glaciar en lagunas de la Cordillera Blanca. Acta Montana 123:37–60Google Scholar

Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2013

Authors and Affiliations

  • Jan Klimeš
    • 1
  • Miroslava Benešová
    • 2
  • Vít Vilímek
    • 3
  • Petr Bouška
    • 2
  • Alejo Cochachin Rapre
    • 4
  1. 1.Department of Engineering Geology, Institute of Rock Structure and Mechanics, p.r.i.Academy of Sciences of the Czech RepublicPrague 8Czech Republic
  2. 2.Department of HydraulicsT.G. Masaryk Water Research Institute, p.r.i.Prague 6Czech Republic
  3. 3.Department of Physical Geography and Geoecology, Faculty of ScienceCharles University in PraguePrague 2Czech Republic
  4. 4.Autoridad Nacional del AguaUnidad de Glaciología y Recursos HídricosHuarazPeru

Personalised recommendations