Natural Hazards

, Volume 65, Issue 2, pp 1179–1195 | Cite as

Assessment of seismic hazard and liquefaction potential of Gujarat based on probabilistic approaches

  • K. S. Vipin
  • T. G. SitharamEmail author
  • S. Kolathayar
Original Paper


Gujarat is one of the fastest-growing states of India with high industrial activities coming up in major cities of the state. It is indispensable to analyse seismic hazard as the region is considered to be most seismically active in stable continental region of India. The Bhuj earthquake of 2001 has caused extensive damage in terms of causality and economic loss. In the present study, the seismic hazard of Gujarat evaluated using a probabilistic approach with the use of logic tree framework that minimizes the uncertainties in hazard assessment. The peak horizontal acceleration (PHA) and spectral acceleration (Sa) values were evaluated for 10 and 2 % probability of exceedance in 50 years. Two important geotechnical effects of earthquakes, site amplification and liquefaction, are also evaluated, considering site characterization based on site classes. The liquefaction return period for the entire state of Gujarat is evaluated using a performance-based approach. The maps of PHA and PGA values prepared in this study are very useful for seismic hazard mitigation of the region in future.


Probabilistic seismic hazard PHA Site response Liquefaction SPT 



The first author acknowledges the funding received from Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore, in the form of Senior Research Fellowship for carrying out this work. The authors also thank Ministry of Earth Sciences, New Delhi, for funding the project “Site Characterization of Indo Gangetic Plain (Lucknow and Kanpur) with Studies on Site Response and Liquefaction”, and the Space Technology Cell, IISc Bangalore, for Funding the project “Assessment of Seismicity of Peninsular India—Using Remote Sensing and GIS”.


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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2012

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Department of Civil EngineeringIndian Institute of Science (IISc)BangaloreIndia

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