Natural Hazards

, Volume 60, Issue 3, pp 1211–1229 | Cite as

Coastal flood risks and seasonal tourism: analysing the effects of tourism dynamics on casualty calculations

  • Wim Kellens
  • Tijs Neutens
  • Pieter Deckers
  • Johan Reyns
  • Philippe De Maeyer
Original Paper


Since coastal tourism is one of the fastest growing sectors of tourism industry, coastal areas have become increasingly vulnerable in the case of flooding. While in recent years a number of different methods have been put forward to map coastal flood risks, the implications of tourism dynamics for the assessment of human casualties has remained largely overlooked in these models. This chapter examines to what extent the ignorance of (residential) coastal tourism may bias the calculations of human casualties. To this end, a case study has been conducted on the Belgian coast. Both the dynamic nature of coastal tourism and the behaviour of residential tourists in storm surge scenarios are considered. The results of this study show that including tourism dynamics in flood risk management is justified and appropriate, depending on the tourist attractiveness of the flood-prone area and its temporal fluctuations.


Coastal flood risks Flood casualties Tourism dynamics Tourist behaviour GIS 



Financial support for this work was granted by the Research Foundation—Flanders. The authors further acknowledge the aid of Flanders Hydraulics Research (Flemish Authorities).


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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2011

Authors and Affiliations

  • Wim Kellens
    • 1
  • Tijs Neutens
    • 1
  • Pieter Deckers
    • 1
    • 2
  • Johan Reyns
    • 2
  • Philippe De Maeyer
    • 1
  1. 1.Department of GeographyGhent UniversityGhentBelgium
  2. 2.Flanders Hydraulics ResearchBorgerhoutBelgium

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