Natural Hazards

, Volume 59, Issue 2, pp 1055–1075 | Cite as

Social vulnerability index for coastal communities at risk to hurricane hazard and a changing climate

  • Sigridur BjarnadottirEmail author
  • Yue Li
  • Mark G. Stewart
Original Paper


This paper presents the development of the Coastal Community Social Vulnerability Index (CCSVI) in order to quantify the social vulnerability of hurricane-prone areas under various scenarios of climate change. The 2004–2005 Atlantic hurricane seasons is estimated to have caused $150 billion dollars in damages, and in recent years, the annual hurricane damage in the United States is estimated at around $6 billion. Hurricane intensity or/and frequency may change due to the increase in sea surface temperature as a result of climate change. Climate change is also predicted to cause a rise in sea levels, potentially resulting in higher storm surges. The CCSVI combines the intensity of hurricanes and hurricane-induced surge to create a comprehensive index that considers the effects of a changing climate. The main contributing factors of social vulnerability (such as race, age, gender, and socioeconomic status) in hurricane-prone areas are identified through a principal components analysis. The impact of social characteristics on the potential hurricane damage under various scenarios of climate change are evaluated using Miami-Dade County, Florida, as a case study location. This study finds that climate change may have a significant impact on the CCSVI.


Climate change Social vulnerability Hurricane risk Uncertainty Surge 


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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2011

Authors and Affiliations

  • Sigridur Bjarnadottir
    • 1
    Email author
  • Yue Li
    • 1
  • Mark G. Stewart
    • 2
  1. 1.Department of Civil and Environmental EngineeringMichigan Technological UniversityHoughtonUSA
  2. 2.Center for Infrastructure Performance and Reliability, School of EngineeringThe University of NewcastleCallaghanAustralia

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