Natural Hazards

, Volume 46, Issue 1, pp 35–52 | Cite as

Developing tsunami warnings from numerical model output

  • S. C. R. AllenEmail author
  • D. J. M. Greenslade
Original Paper


A method is introduced for issuing tsunami warnings in the Australian region based on numerical model output. The method considers the maximum modelled wave amplitude within pre-defined coastal waters zones and uses this as a proxy for the potential impact on the coast. A three-level stratified warning is proposed: (1) No threat, (2) Marine threat and (3) Land threat. This method is applied to several case studies and the resulting warning characteristics are shown. While the method has its limitations, it is a significant improvement over current operational warning strategies, which are typically based solely on the magnitude of the earthquake and distance from the source.


Tsunamis Coastal Regions Warnings Tsunami Modelling Australia 



The authors wish to thank Arthur Simanjuntak, Tony Leggett, Geoff Crane and the rest of the ATWS team within the Bureau of Meteorology and Geoscience Australia for very useful discussions and John Bally, Matthew Wheeler and an anonymous reviewer for their useful and constructive reviews.


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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2007

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.BMRCBureau of MeteorologyMelbourneAustralia

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