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Land use and management change under climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies: a U.S. case study

  • Jianhong E. MuEmail author
  • Anne M. Wein
  • Bruce A. McCarl
Original Article

Abstract

We examine the effects of crop management adaptation and climate mitigation strategies on land use and land management, plus on related environmental and economic outcomes. We find that crop management adaptation (e.g. crop mix, new species) increases Greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 1.7 % under a more severe climate projection while a carbon price reduces total forest and agriculture GHG annual flux by 15 % and 9 %, respectively. This shows that trade-offs are likely between mitigation and adaptation. Climate change coupled with crop management adaptation has small and mostly negative effects on welfare; mitigation, which is implemented as a carbon price starting at $15 per metric ton carbon dioxide (CO2) equivalent with a 5 % annual increase rate, bolsters welfare carbon payments. When both crop management adaptation and carbon price are implemented the effects of the latter dominates.

Keywords

Land use and management change Climate change Adaptation Mitigation Greenhouse gas emissions 

Notes

Acknowledgments

We thank Jinxun Liu, the editor and two anonymous referees for their comments and suggestions. This research was partially funded by the U.S. Geological Survey Land Change Science Program managed by Jonathan Smith.

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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2013

Authors and Affiliations

  • Jianhong E. Mu
    • 1
    Email author
  • Anne M. Wein
    • 2
  • Bruce A. McCarl
    • 3
  1. 1.Department of Applied EconomicsOregon State UniversityCorvallisUSA
  2. 2.Western Geographic Science CenterU.S. Geological SurveyMenlo ParkUSA
  3. 3.Department of Agricultural EconomicsTexas A&M UniversityCollege StationUSA

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