Journal of Statistical Physics

, Volume 151, Issue 1–2, pp 131–149 | Cite as

The Role of Noise and Initial Conditions in the Asymptotic Solution of a Bounded Confidence, Continuous-Opinion Model

  • Adrián Carro
  • Raúl ToralEmail author
  • Maxi San Miguel


We study a model for continuous-opinion dynamics under bounded confidence. In particular, we analyze the importance of the initial distribution of opinions in determining the asymptotic configuration. Thus, we sketch the structure of attractors of the dynamical system, by means of the numerical computation of the time evolution of the agents density. We show that, for a given bound of confidence, a consensus can be encouraged or prevented by certain initial conditions. Furthermore, a noisy perturbation is added to the system with the purpose of modeling the free will of the agents. As a consequence, the importance of the initial condition is partially replaced by that of the statistical distribution of the noise. Nevertheless, we still find evidence of the influence of the initial state upon the final configuration for a short range of the bound of confidence parameter.


Social simulation Opinion dynamics Continuous opinions Bounded confidence 



This work was supported by MINECO (Spain), Comunitat Autónoma de les Illes Balears, FEDER, and the European Commission under project FIS2007-60327. AC is supported by a PhD grant from the University of the Balearic Islands.


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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media New York 2012

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Instituto de Física Interdisciplinar y Sistemas Complejos IFISC (CSIC-UIB)Campus Universitat Illes BalearsPalma de MallorcaSpain

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