The Journal of Economic Inequality

, Volume 10, Issue 2, pp 191–217

Measuring the effect of spell recurrence on poverty dynamics—evidence from Spain


DOI: 10.1007/s10888-011-9191-2

Cite this article as:
Arranz, J.M. & Cantó, O. J Econ Inequal (2012) 10: 191. doi:10.1007/s10888-011-9191-2


Accounting for the time individuals spend below the poverty line is an important dimension in order to design social policies to fight against poverty. The literature is currently aiming to construct a consistent aggregate measure of poverty over time that takes into account individual income lifetime profiles. It is however, far from clear which aspects of the specific patterns of poverty spells should be included. Using longitudinal data for Spain, this paper shows that the effect of spell recurrence on poverty dynamics is relevant. Poverty exit and re-entry rates vary not only with personal or household characteristics but also with spell accumulation and the duration of current and past spells. In general, our main findings support that an aggregate intertemporal poverty index should incorporate full individual poverty lifetime trajectories accounting for both poverty and non-poverty spell durations.


Poverty dynamics Multiple spells Recurrence 

JEL Classification

C41 D31 I32 

Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media, LLC. 2011

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Dept. Estadística, Estructura Económica y OEIUniversidad de AlcaláAlcalá de HenaresSpain
  2. 2.Instituto de Estudios Fiscales and Universidade de VigoMadridSpain

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