Progressive taxes and firm births
- 627 Downloads
- 4 Citations
Abstract
Tax reform proposals in the spirit of the “flat tax” model typically aim to reduce three parameters: the average tax burden, the progressivity of the tax schedule, and the complexity of the tax code. We explore the implications of changes in these parameters for entrepreneurial activity, measured by counts of firm births. The Swiss fiscal system offers sufficient intra-national variation in tax codes to allow us to estimate such effects with considerable precision. We find that high average taxes and complicated tax codes depress firm birth rates, while tax progressivity per se promotes firm births. The latter result supports the existence of an insurance effect from progressive corporate income taxes for risk-averse entrepreneurs. However, implied elasticities with respect to the level and complexity of corporate taxes are an order of magnitude larger than elasticities with respect to the progressivity of tax schedules.
Keywords
Progressive taxation Entrepreneurship Risk taking Firm location Count modelsJEL Classification
H32 H2 H7 R3Notes
Acknowledgements
We thank the editor (Dhammika Dharmapala), two anonymous referees, Thiess Buettner, Mario Jametti and seminar participants at the University of Barcelona (IEB) for helpful comments; and Roland Aregger (Aargau tax authority), Andrea Grossi (Federal Statistical Office), Dieter Marmet (Wüest & Partner), Raphaël Parchet and Werner Tanner (State Secretariat for Economic Affairs) for the generous provision of data. Financial support from the EU’s Sixth Framework Programme (“Micro-Dyn”project) and from the Swiss National Science Foundation (grants 612-065970, CRSI11_130648 and “NCCR Trade”) is gratefully acknowledged.
References
- Ahsan, S. M. (1974). Progression and risk-taking. Oxford Economic Papers, 26, 318–328. Google Scholar
- Audretsch, D. B., & Fritsch, M. (2002). Growth regimes over time and space. Regional Studies, 36(2), 113–124. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Becker, R., & Henderson, V. (2000). Effects of air quality regulations on polluting industries. Journal of Political Economy, 108, 379–421. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Brülhart, M., & Jametti, M. (2006). Vertical versus horizontal tax externalities: an empirical test. Journal of Public Economics, 90(10–11), 2027–2062. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Brülhart, M., Jametti, M., & Schmidheiny, K. (2012) Do agglomeration economies reduce the sensitivity of firm location to tax differentials? Economic Journal, forthcoming. Google Scholar
- Cameron, A. C., & Trivedi, P. K. (1998). Regression analysis of count data. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Cameron, A. C., Gelbach, J. B., & Miller, D. L. (2011). Robust inference with multi-way clustering. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 29(2), 238–249. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Carlton, D. (1983). The location and employment choices of new firms: an econometric model with discrete and continuous endogenous variables. Review of Economics and Statistics, 65, 440–449. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Cowell, F. A. (1975). Some notes on progression and risk-taking. Economica, 42, 313–318. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Cullen, J. B., & Gordon, R. (2006a). Tax reform and entrepreneurial activity. In J.M. Poterba (Ed.), Tax policy and the economy (Vol. 20, pp. 41–71). Cambridge: MIT Press. Google Scholar
- Cullen, J. B., & Gordon, R. (2006b). How do taxes affect entrepreneurial activity? A comparison of U.S. and Swedish law (in Swedish). In P. Braunerhjelm & J. Wiklund (Eds.), Entreprenörskap och tillväxt (pp. 71–93). Stockholm: Swedish Foundation for Small Business Research. Google Scholar
- Cullen, J. B., & Gordon, R. H. (2007). Taxes and entrepreneurial risk-taking: theory and evidence for the U.S. Journal of Public Economics, 91, 1479–1505. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Da Rin, M., Di Giacomo, M., & Sembenelli, A. (2011). Entrepreneurship, firm entry, and the taxation of corporate income: Evidence from Europe. Journal of Public Economics, 95(9–10), 1048–1066. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- de Mooij, R. A., & Ederveen, S. (2003). Taxation and foreign direct investment: a synthesis of empirical research. International Tax and Public Finance, 10, 673–693. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- de Mooij, R. A., & Nicodème, G. (2008). Corporate tax policy, entrepreneurship and incorporation in the EU. International Tax and Public Finance, 15, 478–498. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Domar, E. D., & Musgrave, R. A. (1944). Proportional income taxation and risk-taking. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 58, 388–422. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Duranton, G., Gobillon, L., & Overman, H. G. (2011). Assessing the effects of local taxation using microgeographic data. Economic Journal, 121(555), 1017–1046. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Edmiston, K., Mudd, S., & Valev, N. (2004). Tax structures and FDI: the deterrent effects of complexity and uncertainty. Fiscal Studies, 24, 341–359. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Feld, L. P., & Kirchgässner, G. (2003). The impact of corporate and personal income taxes on the location of firms and on employment: some panel evidence for the Swiss cantons. Journal of Public Economics, 87, 129–155. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Feldstein, M. (1969). The effects of taxation on risk taking. Journal of Political Economy, 77, 755–764. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Fritsch, M. (2008). How does new business formation affect regional development? Introduction to the special issue. Small Business Economics, 30(1), 1–14. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Gentry, W. M., & Hubbard, G. (2000). Tax policy and entrepreneurial entry. American Economic Review, 90, 283–287. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Gentry, W. M., & Hubbard, G. (2005). “Success taxes”, entrepreneurial entry and innovation. In A. B. Jaffe, J. Lerner, & S. Stern (Eds.), Innovation policy and the economy (Vol. 5). Cambridge: NBER/MIT Press. Google Scholar
- Glaeser, E. L., Kallal, H. D., Scheinkman, J. A., & Shleifer, A. (1992). Growth in cities. Journal of Political Economy, 100(6), 1126–1152. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Goolsbee, A. (2004). The impact of the corporate income tax: evidence from state organizational form data. Journal of Public Economics, 88, 2283–2299. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Gordon, R. H. (1985). Taxation of corporate capital income: tax revenues versus tax distortions. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 100(1), 1–27. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Gordon, R. H., & Slemrod, J. (2000). Are “real” responses to taxes simply income shifting between corporate and personal tax bases. In J. Slemrod (Ed.), Does atlas shrug? The economic consequences of taxing the rich. Cambridge: Harvard University Press. Google Scholar
- Guimaraes, P., Figuieredo, O., & Woodward, D. (2003). A tractable approach to the firm location decision problem. Review of Economics and Statistics, 85, 201–204. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Guimaraes, P., Figueiredo, O., & Woodward, D. (2004). Industrial location modeling: extending the random utility framework. Journal of Regional Science, 44, 1–20. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Hagen, K. P., & Sannarnes, J. G. (2007). Taxation of uncertain business profits, private risk markets and optimal allocation of risk. Journal of Public Economics, 91, 1507–1517. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Hall, R. E., & Rabushka, A. (2007). The flat tax (2nd ed.). Stanford: Hoover Institution, Stanford University. Google Scholar
- Henneberger, F., & Ziegler, A. (2008). Eine Methode zur objektiven Bestimmung von Ober- und Untergrenzen marktkonformer Aktionä rsgehälter. Der Schweizer Treuhänder, 2008(1–2), 69–79. Google Scholar
- Hines, J. R. (2007). Corporate taxation and international competition. In A. J. Auerbach, J. R. Hines, & J. Slemrod (Eds.), Taxing corporate income in the 21st century. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Google Scholar
- Keen, M., Kim, Y., & Varsano, R. (2008). The flat tax(es): principles and evidence. International Tax and Public Finance, 15, 712–751. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Kesselman, J. R., & Cheung, R. (2004). Tax incidence, progressivity, and inequality in Canada. Canadian Tax Journal, 52, 709–789. Google Scholar
- Keuschnigg, C., & Nielsen, S. B. (2004). Progressive taxation, moral hazard, and entrepreneurship. Journal of Public Economic Theory, 6, 471–490. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Keuschnigg, C., & Ribi, E. (2009). Profit taxation and finance constraints (CEPR Discussion Paper#7433). London: Centre for Economic Policy Research. Google Scholar
- Michelacci, C. (2003). Low returns in R&D due to the lack of entrepreneurial skills. Economic Journal, 113(484), 207–225. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Moulton, B. R. (1986). Random group effects and the precision of regression estimates. Journal of Econometrics, 32(3), 385–397. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Murphy, K. M., Shleifer, A., & Vishny, R. W. (1991). The allocation of talent: implications for growth. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106(2), 503–530. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Rathelot, R., & Sillard, P. (2008). The importance of local corporate taxes in business location decisions: evidence from French micro data. Economic Journal, 118, 499–514. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Reynolds, P. D., Miller, B., & Maki, W. R. (1995). Explaining regional variation in business births and deaths: US 1976–1988. Small Business Economics, 7(5), 389–407. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Schmidheiny, K., & Brülhart, M. (2011). On the equivalence of location choice models: conditional logit, nested logit and Poisson. Journal of Urban Economics, 69(2), 214–222. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Slemrod, J. (2005). The etiology of tax complexity: evidence from U.S. state income tax systems. Public Finance Review, 33, 279–299. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Slemrod, J., & Bakija, J. (2004). Taxing ourselves (3rd ed.). Cambridge: MIT Press. Google Scholar
- Varian, H. R. (1980). Redistributive taxation as social insurance. Journal of Public Economics, 14(1), 49–68. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Waterson, M. (1985). On progressive taxation and risk-taking. Oxford Economic Papers, 37, 510–519. Google Scholar