Transitions in the negotiations on climate change: from prisoner’s dilemma to chicken and beyond
Original Paper
First Online:
Accepted:
- 805 Downloads
- 9 Citations
Abstract
Frequently, international environmental negotiations have been analyzed in two-agent (2 × 2) games. Yet, in order to involve additional strategies, (3 × 3) games gained attention recently. We employ such a (3 × 3) game setting in order to depict international negotiations on climate change and integrate both the prisoner’s dilemma and the chicken games in this setting. We analyze transitions of negotiation states and describe how ancillary benefits and first-mover advantages influence agents’ behavior in the negotiations, when three different strategies or levels of climate protection efforts are available. Finally, we also integrate strategies to mitigate and to adapt to climate change into the analysis in the (3 × 3) game setting.
Keywords
2-Person games Adaptation Ancillary benefits Climate change First-mover advantage International negotiations Chicken game Prisoner’s dilemma gameReferences
- Aggarwal, V. K., & Dupont, C. (2002). “Goods, games, and institutions”: A reply. International Political Science Review, 23, 402–410.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Altemeyer-Bartscher, M., Rübbelke, D. T. G., & Sheshinski, E. (2010). Environmental protection and the private provision of international public goods. Economica, forthcoming.Google Scholar
- Arce, D. G., & Sandler, T. (2005a). Counterterrorism—A game-theoretic analysis. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 49, 183–200.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Arce, D. G., & Sandler, T. (2005b). The dilemma of the prisoner’s dilemmas. Kyklos, 58, 3–24.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Barker, T., Johnstone, N., & O’Shea, T. (1993). The CEC Carbon/Energy Tax and Secondary Transport-related Benefits. Energy-environment-economy modelling discussion paper No. 5, University of Cambridge, Cambridge.Google Scholar
- Barrett, S. (1992). Strategy and the environment. Columbia Journal of World Business, 27, 202–208.Google Scholar
- Böhringer, C., & Vogt, C. (2003). Economic and environmental impacts of the Kyoto protocol. Canadian Journal of Economics, 36, 475–494.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Bovenberg, A. L. (1999). Green tax reforms and the double dividend: An updated reader’s guide. International Tax and Public Finance, 6, 421–443.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Buchholz, W., Cornes, R. C., & Peters, W. (2006). Lindahl equilibrium versus voluntary contribution to a public good: The role of the income distribution. FinanzArchiv, 62, 28–49.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Burtraw, D., Krupnick, A., Palmer, K., Paul, A., Toman, M., & Bloyd, C. (2003). Ancillary benefits of reduced air pollution in the U.S. from moderate greenhouse gas mitigation policies in the electricity sector. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 45, 650–673.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Campbell-Lendrum, D., & Corvalán, C. (2007). Climate change and developing-country cities: Implications for environmental health and equity. Journal of Urban Health: Bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine, 84, 109–117.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Canan, P., & Reichman, N. (2001). Ozone connections: Expert networks in global environmental governance. Sheffield: Greenleaf Publishing.Google Scholar
- Carraro, C., & Siniscalco, D. (1993). Strategies for the international protection of the environment. Journal of Public Economics, 52, 309–328.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- DeCanio, S. J. (2005). Descriptive or conceptual models? Contributions of economics to the climate policy debate. International Environmental Agreements, 5, 415–427.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Elbakidze, L., & McCarl, B. A. (2007). Sequestration offsets versus direct emission reductions: Consideration of environmental co-effects. Ecological Economics, 60, 564–571.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Endres, A., & Ohl, C. (2002). Introducing “cooperative push”: How inefficient environmental policy (sometimes!) protects the global commons better. Public Choice, 111, 285–302.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Eyckmans, J., & Finus, M. (2007). Measures to enhance the success of global climate treaties. International Environmental Agreements, 7, 73–97.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Golombek, R., & Hoel, M. (2005). Climate policy under technology spillovers. Environmental & Resource Economics, 31, 201–227.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Hauert, C., & Doebeli, M. (2004). Spatial structure often inhibits the evolution of cooperation in the snowdrift game. Nature, 428, 643–646.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- IEA. (2007). Energy security and climate policy—Assessing interactions. Paris: OECD/IEA.Google Scholar
- IPCC. (1996). Climate change 1995—Economic and social dimensions of climate change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
- IPCC. (2001). Climate change 2001—Mitigation. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
- Kohlberg, E., & Mertens, J.-F. (1986). On the strategic stability of equilibria. Econometrica, 54, 1003–1037.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Krupnick, A., Burtraw, D., & Markandya, A. (2000). The ancillary benefits and costs of climate change mitigation: A conceptual framework. In Ancillary benefits and costs of greenhouse gas mitigation (pp. 53–93). OECD.Google Scholar
- Lange, A., & Vogt, C. (2003). Cooperation in international environmental negotiations due to a preference for equity. Journal of Public Economics, 87, 2049–2067.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Lipman, B. L. (1986). Cooperation among egoists in prisoners’ dilemma and chicken games. Public Choice, 51, 315–331.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Markandya, A., & Rübbelke, D. T. G. (2004). Ancillary benefits of climate policy. Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik, 224, 488–503.Google Scholar
- Molina, M. J., & Rowland, F. S. (1974). Stratospheric Sink for chlorofluoromethanes: Chlorine atom-catalysed destruction of ozone. Nature, 249, 810–812.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Nair, K. G. K., & Ranjith, G. (1999). Solution of 3 x 3 games using graphical method. European Journal of Operational Research, 112, 472–478.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Nash, J. (1953). Two-person cooperative games. Econometrica, 21, 128–140.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Pearce, D. (1992). Secondary benefits of greenhouse gas control. CSERGE Working Paper 92–12, London.Google Scholar
- Pearce, D. (2000). Policy framework for the ancillary benefits of climate change policies. In Ancillary Benefits and Costs of Greenhouse Gas Mitigation (pp. 517–560). Paris: OECD.Google Scholar
- Pittel, K., & Rübbelke, D. T. G. (2008). Climate policy and ancillary benefits—A survey and integration into the modelling of international negotiations on climate change. Ecological Economics, 68, 210–220.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Plambeck, E. L., Hope, C., & Anderson, J. (1997). The page 95 model: Integrating the science and economics of global warming. Energy Economics, 19, 77–101.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Porter, M. (1991). America’s green strategy. Scientific American, 264, 96.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Rabin, M. (1993). Incorporating fairness into game theory and economics. American Economic Review, 83, 1281–1302.Google Scholar
- Rapoport, A., & Chammah, A. M. (1966). The game of chicken. American Behavioral Scientist, 10, 10–28.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Rotillon, G., & Tazdaϊt, T. (1996). International bargaining in the presence of global environmental change. Environmental & Resource Economics, 8, 293–314.Google Scholar
- Sagar, A. D. (2005). Alleviating energy poverty for the world’s poor. Energy Policy, 33, 1367–1372.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Sandler, T., & Siqueira, K. (2009). Games and terrorism—Recent developments. Simulation & Gaming, 40, 164–192.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Schelling, T. C. (1992). Some economics of global warming. American Economic Review, 82, 1–14.Google Scholar
- Schelling, T. C. (1997). The cost of combating global warming. Foreign Affairs, 76, 8–14.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Schelling, T. C. (2007). Climate change: The uncertainties, the certainties, and what they imply about action. Economists’ Voice, 4, 1–5.Google Scholar
- Selten, R., Abbink, K., Buchta, J., & Sadrieh, A. (2003). How to play (3 x 3)-games. A strategy method experiment. Games and Economic Behavior, 45, 19–37.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Smith, S., & Swierzbinski, J. (2007). Assessing the performance of the UK emissions trading scheme. Environmental & Resource Economics, 37, 131–158.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Snyder, G. H. (1971). “Prisoner’s Dilemma” and “Chicken” models in international politics. International Studies Quarterly, 15, 66–103.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Wallner, K. (2002). The provision of public goods in international relations: A comment on “goods, games, and institutions”. International Political Science Review, 23, 393–401.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Copyright information
© Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2010