, Volume 42, Issue 1, pp 109–129 | Cite as

Exchange-rate volatility and commodity trade between the E.U. and Egypt: evidence from 59 industries

  • Mohsen Bahmani-OskooeeEmail author
  • Scott W. Hegerty
  • Amr Hosny
Original Paper


In recent years, the effects of exchange-rate risk on trade flows have been studied for numerous cases, with studies focusing on disaggregated, industry-level exports and imports for a pair of countries’ import and export volumes. This study examines the specific case of Egypt’s trade with the European Union, applying cointegration analysis to quarterly data for 59 industries’ export and import flows. We find that, compared to studies of other countries, relatively few trade flows respond to increased risk in the short run. In the long run, however, a large proportion responds negatively. These include the major industries of petroleum and gas. Further analysis suggests that non-manufactures are particularly susceptible to increased risk, particularly for Egyptian exports.


Exchange rate volatility Industry data Egypt European Union Bounds testing 

JEL Classification




Authors would like to appreciate the valuable comments of two anonymous referees.


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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media New York 2014

Authors and Affiliations

  • Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee
    • 1
    Email author
  • Scott W. Hegerty
    • 2
  • Amr Hosny
    • 3
  1. 1.Center for Research on International EconomicsUniversity of Wisconsin-MilwaukeeMilwaukeeUSA
  2. 2.Department of EconomicsNortheastern Illinois UniversityChicagoUSA
  3. 3.International Monetary FundWashingtonUSA

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