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Review of climate change impacts on predicted river streamflow in tropical rivers

  • Mahsa Jahandideh-TehraniEmail author
  • Hong Zhang
  • Fernanda Helfer
  • Yingying Yu
Article
  • 77 Downloads

Abstract

Tropical regions are characterized by hydrological extreme events, which are likely to be exacerbated by climate change. Therefore, quantifying the extent to which climate change may damage a hydrological system becomes crucial. This paper aims to evaluate the findings from previous research on projected impacts of climate change on hydrological systems located in regions bounded by the Tropic of Cancer and the Tropic of Capricorn. It intends to provide an in-depth understanding of the climatic conditions, applied approaches, climate change impacts on future streamflow, and measures to reduce prediction uncertainty in the tropics. The review revealed that there is a significant variation in the magnitude of climate change impacts on streamflow in the tropics. The reason for the inconsistent trend prediction is that projections are heavily dependent on the trajectory of greenhouse gas emissions, climate model structural differences, and uncertainty of downscaling methods and hydrological models. Therefore, to minimize the uncertainty and maximize confidence in streamflow projections, it is essential to apply multi-member model ensembles and to clarify the adaptation strategy (coping, adjusting, or transforming).

Keywords

Climate change projections River discharge Model uncertainty Downscaling method Bias correction Hydrological model 

Notes

Funding Information

Funding for this project has been provided by Griffith University Postgraduate Research School through the GUPRS scholarship, and Griffith University International Postgraduate Research School through the GUIPRS scholarship.

Supplemental Data

No data, models, or code were generated or used during the study.

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© Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2019

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.School of EngineeringGriffith UniversityGold CoastAustralia
  2. 2.CSIRO Land and WaterCanberraAustralia

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