# Does physical activity modify the risk of obesity for type 2 diabetes: a review of epidemiological data

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## Abstract

Obesity and physical inactivity are both risk factors for type 2 diabetes. Since they are strongly associated, it has been suggested that they might interact. In this study, we summarized the evidence on this interaction by conducting a systematic review. Two types of interaction have been discerned, statistical and biological interaction, which could give different results. Therefore, we calculated both types of interaction for the studies in our review. Cohort studies, published between 1999 and 2008, that investigated the effects of obesity and physical activity on the risk of type 2 diabetes were included. We calculated both biological and statistical interaction in these studies. Eight studies were included of which five were suitable to calculate interaction. All studies showed positive biological interaction, meaning that the joint effect was more than the sum of the individual effects. However, there was inconsistent statistical interaction; in some studies the joint effect was more than the product of the individual effects, in other studies it was less. The results show that obesity and physical inactivity interact on an additive scale. This means that prevention of either obesity or physical inactivity, not only reduces the risk of diabetes by taking away the independent effect of this factor, but also by preventing the cases that were caused by the interaction between both factors. Furthermore, this review clearly showed that results can differ depending on what method is used to assess interaction.

### Keywords

Type 2 diabetes Obesity Physical activity Biological interaction Statistical interaction## Introduction

Obesity and physical inactivity are both independent risk factors for type 2 diabetes. The excessive free fatty acid released by adipose tissue leads to a decrease in insulin sensitivity of muscle, fat and liver, which is followed by raised glucose levels, insulin resistance and type 2 diabetes [1, 2, 3, 4]. Physical inactivity accelerates the pathogenesis of type 2 diabetes and subsequently leads to excess morbidity and mortality [5].

It has been suggested that obesity and physical inactivity interact with each other. Physical activity may counteract the diabetogenic impact of obesity by reducing fat mass, increasing fat oxidative capability or through other biological pathways, and obesity may be less detrimental to physically fit individuals with or without diabetes [6, 7]. However, the pathophysiological mechanisms are not fully understood. From public health and clinical perspectives, a well understanding of the interaction between obesity and physical activity is important to identify target groups and implement primary prevention strategies for type 2 diabetes.

Interaction refers to a situation where the effect of one risk factor on a certain disease outcome is different across strata of another risk factor. Rothman [8, 9] described two types of interaction: statistical and biological. First, statistical interaction is departure from the underlying form of a statistical model, and it can be assessed by entering a product term in statistical models. Because there are various statistical models, statistical interaction does not have a consistent meaning. For instance, an interaction term in a linear regression model, refers to interaction as departure from additivity; an interaction term in a logistic regression model, refers to interaction as departure from multiplicativity [8, 10]. Second, biological interaction is defined as two causes acting in the same sufficient-component model to cause disease. Biological interaction should be assessed as departure from additivity rather than multiplicativity [8, 9]. In epidemiological research, logistic regression or Cox proportional hazards models, which are inherently multiplicative, are often used. In that case, assessment of statistical interaction could lead to different results than assessment of biological interaction (Appendix).

Although the independent effects of obesity and physical activity have been extensively studied, only a small number of studies investigated interaction between obesity and physical activity on the risk of type 2 diabetes. To summarize the evidence for this interaction, we conducted a systematic literature review. Furthermore, since there are two types of interaction, which could give different results, we calculated both statistical interaction and biological interaction for the included studies in our review.

## Methods

### Study selection

A literature search was carried out in PubMed in August 2008. We used the following search terms: (Obesity OR Overweight OR “body mass index” OR “body fat” OR “body weight” OR “abdominal fat”) AND (“Physical Activity” OR exercise) AND “Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2”[Mesh]). We limited our search to studies in humans, studies that were published in the last 10 years (1999–2008) and studies written in English. We also checked the references of the selected articles for additional publications.

We included cohort studies that reported relative risks or incidences of type 2 diabetes. As body mass index (BMI) is a common measure of obesity, studies using BMI to define obesity were included. Studies that used metabolic equivalent score (METs) or the duration or intensity of physical activity to define categories of physical activity were included.

### Data extraction

We extracted the following of all studies: number of patients, age, sex, follow-up duration, method of assessment of obesity and physical activity, the type of stratification, confounders adjusted for, statistical model used, and whether interaction was analysed. Three relative risks of each study were extracted: (1) the relative risk representing the individual effect of obesity (the risk in obese and physically active individuals relative to the risk in normal weight and physically active individuals), (2) the relative risk representing the individual effect of physical inactivity (the risk in normal weight and physically inactive individuals relative to the risk in normal weight and physically active individuals), (3) the relative risk representing the joint effect of obesity and physical inactivity (the risk in obese and physically inactive individuals relative to the risk in normal weight and physically active individuals). Normal weight was defined as <25 kg m^{−2}, obesity was defined as BMI ≥ 30 kg m^{−2}, physically active was defined as ≥21.8 MET h^{−1} week^{−1}, and physically inactive was defined as <2.1 MET h^{−1} week^{−1}. If studies did not use these exact cut-points, we used the available category in the study which was closest to our definition.

### Calculation of interaction

For the studies that reported the relative risk for the individual effect of obesity, the individual effect of physical inactivity and their joint effect, we calculated statistical and biological interaction as described below.

#### Statistical interaction

_{A}, RR

_{B}and RR

_{AB}denote the relative risks for the independent effect of A, the independent effect of B, and the joint effect of A and B. Statistical interaction is then assessed by adding a product term (A × B) in a regression model. In logistic regression or a Cox proportional hazards model, the exponential transformation of the regression coefficient of this product term (

*β*

_{A×B}) quantifies interaction on a multiplicative scale (INT

_{M}). Interaction on a multiplicative scale can also be calculated by using the relative risks of the individual and joint effects of both exposures. INT

_{M}is,

*β*

_{A×B}= 0, INT

_{M}= 1, RR

_{AB}= RR

_{A}× RR

_{B}, there is no interaction as departure from multiplicativity; if

*β*

_{A×B}> 0, INT

_{M}> 1, there is positive interaction as departure from multiplicativity.

#### Biological interaction

_{A}), the independent effect of B (RR

_{B}), and the joint effect of A and B (RR

_{AB}) in the formula gives the RERI:

_{AB}= RR

_{A}+ RR

_{B}− 1, there is no interaction as departure from additivity; if RERI > 0, then RR

_{AB}> RR

_{A}+ RR

_{B}− 1, there is positive interaction as departure from additivity.

## Results

Characteristics of included epidemiological studies for the review, and the studies used to estimate biological interaction (RERI) and multiplicative statistical interaction (INT_{M})

Study | Participants | Follow-up (years) | Physical activity | Obesity | Type of stratification | Confounders | Statistical model | Interaction analysis presented | Interaction calculation possible |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Hu 1999 [11] | 70,102 Female nurses aged 30–55 years, no diabetes, cardiovascular disease or cancer at baseline | 8 | Self-report five quintiles (MET h | Two BMI categories | The presentation of individual effects of both exposures and their joint effect, each relative to no exposure | Age, study year, smoking status, alcohol drinking, menopausal status, family history of diabetes, history of high cholesterol, history of hypertension | Pooled logistic regression model | No | Yes |

Hu 2001 [12] | 37,918 Male aged 40–75 years, no diabetes, cardiovascular disease or cancer at baseline | 10 | Self-report five quintiles (MET h | Three BMI categories | The presentation of individual effects of both exposures and their joint effect, each relative to no exposure | Age, smoking status, family history of diabetes, alcohol intake, vitamin E supplement use | Pooled logistic regression model | No | Yes |

Hu 2001 [17] | 84,941 Female aged 30–55 years, no diabetes, cardiovascular disease and cancer at baseline | 16 | Self-report five quintiles (h week | Three BMI categories | The presentation of effect estimates of exposure and outcome in strata of the suspected effect-modifying exposure | Age, time, family history of diabetes, menopausal status, postmenopausal hormone use | Pooled logistic regression model | No | No |

Hu 2004 [13] | 2,017 Finnish men and 2,352 women aged 45–64 years, no diabetes history at baseline | 9.4 | Self-report three categories (low, moderate, high) | Two BMI categories | The presentation of individual effects of both exposures and their joint effect, each relative to no exposure | Age, sex, study year, blood pressure, BMI, smoking status, education | Cox proportional hazard model | No | Yes |

Kriska 2003 [14] | 1,728 Nondiabetic Pima individuals aged 15–59 years at baseline | 6 | Self-report two categories (MET h | Three BMI categories | Age | Cox proportional hazard model | Yes | No | |

Meisinger 2005 [18] | 4,069 Men and 4,034 women aged 25–74 years, no diabetes at base line | 7.4 | Self-report three categories (moderate to high activity, low activity, inactivity | Two BMI categories | The presentation of effect estimates of exposure and outcome in strata of the suspected effect-modifying exposure | Age, study year, hypertension, deslipdaemia, parental history of diabetes, smoking, alcohol drinking, education | Cox proportional hazard model | No | No |

Weinstein 2004 [16] | 37,878 US female health care professional aged ≥45 years, free of cardiovascular disease, cancer and diabetes at baseline | 6.9 | Self-report two categories (active, inactive) | Three BMI categories | Age | Cox proportional hazard model | Yes | Yes | |

Rana 2007 [15] | 68, 907 America female nurses aged 30–55 years, no diabetes, cardiovascular disease and cancer at baseline | 16 | Self-report five quintiles (MET h | Three BMI categories | Age, smoking status, alcohol drinking, menopausal status, postmenopausal hormone use, family history of diabetes | Cox proportional hazard model | Yes | Yes |

In general, obesity was a stronger independent risk factor than physical inactivity for type 2 diabetes. Some studies concluded that the risk of physical inactivity differed between categories of BMI [11, 12, 13, 15]. It was suggested that increased physical activity may, at least in part, counteract the detrimental effects of obesity, particularly in obese individuals. However, other studies found that diabetes risk increased dramatically over BMI categories, and the beneficial effect of physical activity was minimal [14, 16, 17, 18]. Furthermore, two studies suggested that physical activity may be more beneficial for normal weight than obese individuals [17, 18]. Only three studies formally assessed interaction and two presented that there was no significant *P* value for interaction between BMI and physical activity in the Cox proportional hazard model [14, 15, 16].

_{M}) showed inconsistent results. Two studies [12, 13] had INT

_{M}> 1, suggesting positive interaction as departure from multiplicativity; three studies [11, 15, 16] had INT

_{M}< 1, suggesting negative interaction as departure from multiplicativity. This means that the joint effect of obesity and physical inactivity is larger (in two of the studies) or smaller (in three studies) than the product of the individual effects of obesity and physical inactivity.

Estimation of multiplicative statistical interaction (INT_{M}), biological interaction (RERI) and attributable proportion due to biological interaction (AP)

Study | Relative risk joint effect | Relative risk individual effect obesity | Relative risk individual effect physical inactivity | INT | RERI | AP (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

1. Hu et al. [13] | 9.86 | 4.10 | 2.18 | 1.10 | 4.58 | 46.4 |

2. Hu et al. [12] | 9.87 | 5.62 | 1.12 | 1.56 | 4.12 | 41.7 |

3. Rana et al. [15] | 16.75 (13.99–20.04) | 10.74 (8.74–13.18) | 2.08 (1.66–2.61) | 0.75 | 4.93 | 29.4 |

4. Hu et al. [11] | 12.50 | 8.75 | 2.00 | 0.71 | 2.75 | 22.0 |

5. Weinstein et al. [16] | 18.6 (13.9–24.8) | 17.5 (12.9–23.9) | 1.25 (0.91–1.72) | 0.85 | 0.85 | 4.6 |

## Discussion

We found eight studies that looked at the joint effect of obesity and physical activity on type 2 diabetes. Three studies analysed whether interaction was present between obesity and physical activity. The results of the stratified analyses presented in the papers varied and did not answer the question whether obesity and physical activity interact. We calculated interaction from the included studies and showed that there was positive interaction on an additive scale, while the results for interaction on a multiplicative scale were inconsistent.

Physical activity may increase insulin sensitivity, glucose disposal and free fatty acids oxidative capability [5]. However, results from intervention studies indicate that exercise has no noticeable effect on glucose regulation and insulin action in obese individuals without additional weight loss [19, 20]. Exercise is associated with a reduction in subcutaneous and visceral fat beyond weight loss, but the improvement of insulin sensitivity would be small without significant weight loss [19, 20, 21, 22]. Furthermore, the additional beneficial effect of exercise on metabolic complications seems only relevant when accompanied by certain amount of weight loss [19, 20, 23]. The positive biological interaction between obesity and physical inactivity support this combined pathophysiology.

All studies in our review showed positive interaction on an additive scale, which is the recommended method to assess biologic interaction [8, 9]. This positive interaction means that the risk of type 2 diabetes in individuals who are both obese and physically inactive is more than what would be expected if the effect of obesity and physical inactivity are summed. So if obesity or physical inactivity is (partly) prevented, this will not only reduce the cases of type 2 diabetes that are caused by one of the factors but also the cases that are caused by the interaction of the two factors. In addition, we found that the proportion of diabetes cases that could be attributed to biological interaction was higher than the proportion that could be attributed to the independent effect of physical inactivity. This indicates that physical inactivity mainly interacts with obesity to cause diabetes, instead of its independent effect, which makes it even more important to increase physical activity.

Interaction is often assessed by including a product (or interaction) term in a regression model. If this model is a multiplicative model, such as logistic regression or Cox proportional hazards model, the product term assesses interaction on a multiplicative scale. We found inconsistent results regarding interaction on a multiplicative scale; in some studies this interaction was positive, while in others it was negative. This means that the risk of type 2 diabetes in individuals who are both obese and physically inactive is more (in case of positive interaction) or less (in case of negative interaction) than what would be expected if the effect of obesity and physical inactivity are *multiplied*. This statistical interaction has no direct relevance to biological interaction [24, 25], but only refers to which statistical model fits best.

Interestingly, six of the eight studies that we included in our review, presented individual and joint effects of obesity and physical inactivity using one reference category (normal weight and high level of physical activity). This way of presenting has been recommended [26, 27, 28] because such reporting allows readers to calculate interaction on an additive as well as on a multiplicative scale. In a recent study, it was shown that only 10% of observational studies use this method of presentation [27]. None of the included studies in our review calculated interaction on an additive scale. This is in line with results of a review where only 3 out of 225 published epidemiological studies mentioned the additive scale for the interpretation of interaction [27].

A limitation of our study is that we were not able to calculate confidence intervals around the estimates of interaction because the included studies did not provide enough information. We also could not calculate a pooled estimate of interaction because of lack of information. Another limitation is that inconsistent adjustment and over-adjustment for confounders could have increased the heterogeneity of relative risks across studies, which might also have increased the variability of the estimates of interaction.

In this review of eight studies that investigated the interaction between obesity and physical inactivity on the risk of type 2 diabetes, we found evidence for positive interaction on an additive scale. This means that prevention of either obesity or physical inactivity, not only reduces the risk of diabetes by taking away the independent effect of this factor but also by preventing the cases that are caused by the interaction between both factors. Furthermore, this review clearly showed that results can differ depending on what method is used to assess interaction. Researchers should be aware of these different methods and should motivate why they choose a certain method to assess interaction.

## Acknowledgments

We thank Dr. C.M. Schooling from Department of Community Medicine, Hong Kong University, for her useful suggestions on a draft version of the manuscript.

### Open Access

This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Noncommercial License which permits any noncommercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author(s) and source are credited.